Hereford Title Chances 2018-2019 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.01 to 0.2% 14 points 3-5-7 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | National League | 100.0* | Demotion | 100.0* | Average seed | Stockport County 1 Hereford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | +0.9 | | -0.2 | | Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | Southport 1 York City 2 | | | | | -0.4 | | | | Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Hereford finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | National | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Demotion | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 85 | -95 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 92,673 | * | 84 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 99.2 | % | 99.2 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 360 | * | 83 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 98.8 | | 99.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 765 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 97.8 | | 98.1 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,531 | * | 81 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 95.9 | | 96.6 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,084 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 94.2 | | 95.1 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,201 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 91.1 | | 92.6 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,653 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 87.3 | | 89.4 | | 87 | 12 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,623 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 82.3 | | 85.2 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,753 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 75.3 | | 79.4 | | 75 | 22 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,696 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 67.4 | | 72.8 | | 67 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,700 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 58.0 | | 65.0 | | 58 | 34 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 192,650 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 47.4 | | 56.2 | | 47 | 40 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 310,928 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 36.5 | | 47.0 | | 36 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 491,594 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 25.9 | | 38.3 | | 26 | 42 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 755,869 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 16.8 | | 30.7 | | 17 | 38 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,138,785 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 9.7 | | 24.7 | | 10 | 30 | 35 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,675,037 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 4.8 | | 20.7 | | 5 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,411,302 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 2.0 | | 18.3 | | 2 | 12 | 28 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,398,437 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 0.6 | | 17.1 | | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,678,674 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.2 | | 16.4 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,302,285 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 15.3 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,311,569 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 13.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 10,745,239 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 9.6 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 13,602,532 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 5.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 16,869,578 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 2.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 20,486,727 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 24,377,154 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 28,431,118 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 32,490,586 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 36,373,065 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 39,926,325 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 42,945,954 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 45,253,268 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | | 46,721,523 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2.9 | | 47,267,365 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.6 | | 46,841,785 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 19.6 | | 45,459,786 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 35.3 | | 43,189,738 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 3 | 53.0 | | 40,172,760 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 7 | 69.4 | | 36,591,769 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 34 | 35 | 13 | 82.1 | | 32,588,325 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 42 | 21 | 90.6 | | 28,388,407 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 44 | 31 | 95.5 | | 24,183,653 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 42 | 98.0 | | 20,132,915 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 38 | 53 | 99.2 | | 16,366,429 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 99.7 | | 12,993,435 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 72 | 99.9 | | 10,067,898 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | | 7,606,020 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 100.0 | | 5,593,783 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 4,010,198 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 93 | 100.0 | | 2,795,919 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 100.0 | | 1,889,704 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 1,242,181 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 791,516 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 487,547 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 290,299 | * | 29 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 166,898 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 91,956 | * | 27 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 48,612 | * | 26 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 24,645 | * | 25 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 11,987 | * | 24 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,402 | * | 14 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 96,234 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 1.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 28.9 | % | 817,647,404 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |