How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1 +4.4
+5.5
-0.1
+0.8
Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 +2.3
+3.4
-0.3
+0.7
Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 -0.4
-0.4
Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 -0.4
-0.5
Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 +0.4
+0.3
Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 +0.3
+0.4
Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 +0.3
+0.3
North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 -0.2
-0.3
Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1 +0.2
+0.1
Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 +0.1
+0.2
Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 +0.1
+0.2
Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 -0.1
-0.1
Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0 *+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Guiseley vs Hednesford Town-4.5-1.8+4.4
-5.0-1.8+4.8
+0.1-0.0-0.0
-0.6-0.2+0.5
Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town+0.8+0.4-1.2
+0.5+0.4-0.9
Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors+0.8+0.3-0.9
+0.6+0.3-0.8
Altrincham vs Gloucester City-0.6+0.4+0.7
-0.6+0.4+0.7
North Ferriby U vs Altrincham+0.1+0.4-0.4
*+0.0+0.4-0.3
Gloucester City vs Boston United+0.3+0.1-0.4
+0.3+0.2-0.4
Boston United vs Bradford Park A-0.3+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.2+0.3
Barrow vs Histon+0.2+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.4
AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City-0.1+0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Hednesford Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
101-121YesYes100No28,946*
10025-6-3100.0%100.0%1000No5,354*
9925-5-499.9100.01000No9,095*
9825-4-599.9100.01000No15,031*
9724-6-499.9100.01000No24,957*
9624-5-599.999.91000No39,646*
9523-7-499.899.91000No61,562*
9423-6-599.799.81000No95,396*
9323-5-699.799.71000No142,875*
9222-7-599.499.69910No209,983*
9122-6-699.199.39910No301,554*
9021-8-598.799.09910No428,261*
8921-7-698.098.59820No595,682*
8821-6-797.097.897300No811,217*
8720-8-695.696.796400No1,081,545*
8620-7-793.895.494600No1,419,259*
8520-6-891.293.491900No1,830,460*
8419-8-788.091.0881200No2,317,126*
8319-7-883.987.98415100No2,879,074*
8218-9-778.784.07920100No3,516,499*
8118-8-872.479.37225300No4,224,089*
8018-7-965.173.865304000No4,990,244*
7917-9-856.967.757367100No5,785,904*
7817-8-948.061.04840111000No6,600,515*
7717-7-1039.054.23943152000No7,396,063*
7616-9-930.147.63044214000No8,155,548*
7516-8-1022.041.522422781000No8,833,485*
7416-7-1115.036.2153833122000No9,410,740*
7315-9-109.531.9931361851000No9,862,298*
7215-8-115.428.7524362581000No10,153,912*
7114-10-102.826.231633301430000No10,283,425*
7014-9-111.324.011027332171000No10,239,362*
6914-8-120.521.515193227123000No10,028,677*
6813-10-110.218.5021227311961000No9,656,808*
6713-9-120.014.70162031261230000No9,138,746*
6613-8-130.010.40031226311971000No8,501,672*
6512-10-120.06.500161930271341000No7,776,428*
6412-9-130.03.4000311253121820000No6,983,974*
6312-8-14No1.500151629281651000No6,166,275*
6211-10-13No0.5000282130241130000No5,351,188*
6111-9-14No0.100031326301971000No4,558,958*
6011-8-15No0.0000161729271541000No3,818,567*
5910-10-14No0.0000292230241130000No3,137,020*
5810-9-15No0.000031225292082000No2,535,639*
5710-8-16NoNo00151628271651000No2,009,645*
569-10-15NoNo000282029251241000No1,559,964*
559-9-16NoNo00031123292292000No1,191,556*
548-11-15NoNo001414262818720000.0%891,144*
538-10-16NoNo0001617282615510000.0654,225*
528-9-17NoNo000292129241131000.0468,681*
517-11-16NoNo0001412242920820000.3330,055*
507-10-17NoNo000151627281651001.1227,614*
497-9-18NoNo00028202925123003.6152,915*
487-8-19NoNo0003122530218109.2101,468*
476-10-18NoNo0016172928154019.165,657*
466-9-19NoNo002102331238132.741,624*
456-8-20NoNo001516303115348.525,700*
445-10-19NoNo029243524664.515,081*
435-9-20NoNo0141734321177.78,977*
425-8-21NoNo021130391886.85,208*
414-10-20NoNo01624402993.02,813*
404-9-21NoNo0316433796.51,467*
394-8-22NoNo0212394797.7817*
383-10-21NoNo07365799.7368*
373-9-22NoNo52570Yes203*
363-8-23NoNo21979Yes112*
353-7-24NoNo51878Yes40*
342-9-23NoNo1981Yes21*
332-8-24NoNo1090Yes10*
19-32NoNo100Yes22,292*
Total:19.0%31.8%191614129865332111000000000.1%197,180,716

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)