Hednesford Town Title Chances 2013-2014Beat Histon 1-0, title odds up 6.9 to 19% 19 points 6-1-1 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1 | +4.4 | | +5.5 | | -0.1 | | +0.8 | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | +2.3 | | +3.4 | | -0.3 | | +0.7 | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | -0.4 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | +0.4 | | +0.3 | | | | | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | +0.3 | | +0.4 | | | | | | Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 | +0.3 | | +0.3 | | | | | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1 | +0.2 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | -4.5-1.8+4.4 | | -5.0-1.8+4.8 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | -0.6-0.2+0.5 | | Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town | +0.8+0.4-1.2 | | +0.5+0.4-0.9 | | | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | +0.8+0.3-0.9 | | +0.6+0.3-0.8 | | | | | | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.6+0.4+0.7 | | -0.6+0.4+0.7 | | | | | | North Ferriby U vs Altrincham | +0.1+0.4-0.4 | | *+0.0+0.4-0.3 | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | +0.3+0.2-0.4 | | | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | -0.3+0.2+0.3 | | | | | | Barrow vs Histon | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3+0.1-0.4 | | | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Hednesford Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 101 | -121 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,946 | * | 100 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,354 | * | 99 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,095 | * | 98 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,031 | * | 97 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,957 | * | 96 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,646 | * | 95 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,562 | * | 94 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 95,396 | * | 93 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.7 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 142,875 | * | 92 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.4 | | 99.6 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,983 | * | 91 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.1 | | 99.3 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 301,554 | * | 90 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 98.7 | | 99.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 428,261 | * | 89 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 98.0 | | 98.5 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 595,682 | * | 88 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 97.0 | | 97.8 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 811,217 | * | 87 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 95.6 | | 96.7 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,081,545 | * | 86 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 93.8 | | 95.4 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,419,259 | * | 85 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 91.2 | | 93.4 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,830,460 | * | 84 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 88.0 | | 91.0 | | 88 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,317,126 | * | 83 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 83.9 | | 87.9 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,879,074 | * | 82 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 78.7 | | 84.0 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,516,499 | * | 81 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 72.4 | | 79.3 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,224,089 | * | 80 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 65.1 | | 73.8 | | 65 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,990,244 | * | 79 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 56.9 | | 67.7 | | 57 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,785,904 | * | 78 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 48.0 | | 61.0 | | 48 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,600,515 | * | 77 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 39.0 | | 54.2 | | 39 | 43 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,396,063 | * | 76 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 30.1 | | 47.6 | | 30 | 44 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,155,548 | * | 75 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 22.0 | | 41.5 | | 22 | 42 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,833,485 | * | 74 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 15.0 | | 36.2 | | 15 | 38 | 33 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,410,740 | * | 73 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 9.5 | | 31.9 | | 9 | 31 | 36 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,862,298 | * | 72 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 5.4 | | 28.7 | | 5 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,153,912 | * | 71 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 2.8 | | 26.2 | | 3 | 16 | 33 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,283,425 | * | 70 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 1.3 | | 24.0 | | 1 | 10 | 27 | 33 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,239,362 | * | 69 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.5 | | 21.5 | | 1 | 5 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,028,677 | * | 68 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.2 | | 18.5 | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,656,808 | * | 67 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 14.7 | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,138,746 | * | 66 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 10.4 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,501,672 | * | 65 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 6.5 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,776,428 | * | 64 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 3.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,983,974 | * | 63 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | 1.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 6,166,275 | * | 62 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | 0.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 5,351,188 | * | 61 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,558,958 | * | 60 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,818,567 | * | 59 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,137,020 | * | 58 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,535,639 | * | 57 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,009,645 | * | 56 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,559,964 | * | 55 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 1,191,556 | * | 54 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 891,144 | * | 53 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 654,225 | * | 52 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 468,681 | * | 51 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 330,055 | * | 50 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.1 | | 227,614 | * | 49 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | | 152,915 | * | 48 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9.2 | | 101,468 | * | 47 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 19.1 | | 65,657 | * | 46 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 32.7 | | 41,624 | * | 45 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 31 | 15 | 3 | 48.5 | | 25,700 | * | 44 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 24 | 6 | 64.5 | | 15,081 | * | 43 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 77.7 | | 8,977 | * | 42 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 39 | 18 | 86.8 | | 5,208 | * | 41 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 40 | 29 | 93.0 | | 2,813 | * | 40 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 37 | 96.5 | | 1,467 | * | 39 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 39 | 47 | 97.7 | | 817 | * | 38 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 36 | 57 | 99.7 | | 368 | * | 37 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 25 | 70 | Yes | 203 | * | 36 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 19 | 79 | Yes | 112 | * | 35 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 18 | 78 | Yes | 40 | * | 34 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 19 | 81 | Yes | 21 | * | 33 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 10 | 90 | Yes | 10 | * | 19 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 22,292 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 19.0 | % | 31.8 | % | 19 | 16 | 14 | 12 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 197,180,716 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |