Hayes & Yeading United Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Lost to Truro City 0-1, title odds down 0.002 to 0.0001%
40 points 11-7-13
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | -0.4 | +1.7 | -1.0 | |||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | +0.1 | |||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.1 | -0.3 | ||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | +0.1 | |||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | |||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.2 | |||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||
| Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3 | -0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Bath City | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | -2.3+0.1+2.3 | +1.3-0.3-1.1 | |||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.2*-0.0+0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.5-0.1+0.6 | |||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +0.4-0.1-0.4 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Billericay Town | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | |||||
| Billericay Town vs Staines Town | -0.0-0.1+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Hayes and Y finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 73 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.7 | % | 25.5 | % | 1 | 14 | 50 | 31 | 4 | 0 | No | 1,789 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 24.4 | 3 | 33 | 43 | 18 | 2 | 0 | No | 1,869 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 23.7 | 1 | 21 | 45 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,767 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 22.1 | 0 | 13 | 40 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 6,584 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 19.5 | 0 | 6 | 30 | 41 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,619 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 15.7 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 40 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 27,191 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 11.3 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 58,746 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 6.9 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 102,851 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 3.4 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 150,067 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 253,624 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 62 | 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 224,918 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 134,006 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 383,200 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 93,433 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 548,146 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 112,922 | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 409,458 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 392,491 | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 31 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 767,999 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 176,500 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 30 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 823,471 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 284,094 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 56 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 670,430 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 497,641 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 958,448 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 131,658 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 112,136 | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 823,256 | |||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 380,290 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 670,848 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 432,124 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 769,070 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 211,866 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 549,012 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | 288,609 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 2.9 | 402,335 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | 251,138 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 10.7 | 384,080 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 33 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 10.0 | 106,032 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 36 | 22 | 5 | 26.4 | 237,720 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 35 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 21.7 | 112,903 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 36 | 32 | 10 | 0 | 42.5 | 134,128 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 34 | 35 | 12 | 47.1 | 90,643 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 27 | 42 | 23 | 0 | 64.9 | 135,740 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 43 | 38 | 0 | 80.9 | 77,603 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 55 | 0 | 91.4 | 37,816 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 0 | 96.7 | 16,393 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 81 | 1 | 99.0 | 6,625 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 7 | 90 | 2 | 99.7 | 1,944 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 94 | 2 | 99.9 | 1,735 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3.5 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
