How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 -0.6
-0.8
+0.4
-0.2
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 *-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 *+0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town-1.6-0.6+1.9
-2.5-0.8+3.0
+3.1+0.4-3.3
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town*+0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town-1.6-0.6+1.9
-2.5-0.8+3.0
+3.0+0.4-3.3
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Fylde vs Salford City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Harrogate Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
99-122YesYes100No67,986*
9829-6-499.8%99.8%1000No615*
9729-5-599.999.91000No1,027*
9629-4-699.999.91000No1,833*
9528-6-5100.0100.01000No3,028*
9428-5-6100.0100.01000No5,315*
9328-4-799.999.91000No8,680*
9227-6-699.999.91000No14,496*
9127-5-799.999.91000No23,067*
9026-7-699.899.91000No36,060*
8926-6-799.899.81000No55,913*
8826-5-899.699.71000No84,932*
8725-7-799.499.6991No127,351*
8625-6-899.199.39910No187,560*
8525-5-998.799.09910No272,732*
8424-7-898.098.59820No389,829*
8324-6-997.097.897300No548,622*
8223-8-895.696.796400No761,285*
8123-7-993.795.394600No1,038,584*
8023-6-1091.193.391900No1,399,363*
7922-8-987.690.78812100No1,855,663*
7822-7-1082.987.28316100No2,423,262*
7722-6-1177.082.87721200No3,124,769*
7621-8-1069.877.470273000No3,976,109*
7521-7-1161.371.061326000No4,974,464*
7421-6-1251.763.85237101000No6,148,772*
7320-8-1141.456.04141152000No7,498,303*
7220-7-1231.148.3314221510000No9,009,044*
7119-9-1121.541.1224028920000No10,681,421*
7019-8-1213.535.01334331541000No12,476,190*
6919-7-137.530.17263422820000No14,384,020*
6818-9-123.526.4417312915410000No16,371,761*
6718-8-131.423.0192431229200000No18,352,708*
6618-7-140.419.00415272817610000No20,306,582*
6517-9-130.114.001719282513410000No22,180,315*
6417-8-140.08.60031022282211310000No23,886,162*
6317-7-150.04.10014122328209300000No25,352,089*
6216-9-140.01.400015132427198200000No26,572,461*
6116-8-15No0.300015142527188200000No27,461,096*
6016-7-16No0.0000015152526188200000No27,994,613*
5915-9-15No0.000001515252618720000No28,127,808*
5815-8-16No0.000001515252618820000No27,890,405*
5715-7-17No0.0000015142526188200000.0%27,263,552*
5614-9-16NoNo0000015152526187200000.026,279,008*
5514-8-17NoNo0000016152526177200000.024,991,746*
5413-10-16NoNo00001616262617610000.223,405,690*
5313-9-17NoNo00000271727261551001.021,620,619*
5213-8-18NoNo0000028202825134104.119,695,897*
5112-10-17NoNo000131123292292011.617,678,271*
5012-9-18NoNo000014142730186124.315,628,996*
4912-8-19NoNo00002719312712241.113,618,154*
4811-10-18NoNo0000312263321558.711,696,871*
4711-9-19NoNo0000161934301073.89,883,260*
4611-8-20NoNo000031231371785.08,225,203*
4510-10-19NoNo0001724422692.16,746,854*
4410-9-20NoNo000318423696.25,443,141*
4310-8-21NoNo000212394798.34,318,298*
429-10-20NoNo0017355899.33,368,678*
419-9-21NoNo004296799.72,591,740*
409-8-22NoNo002237599.91,956,193*
398-10-21NoNo0011782100.01,452,338*
388-9-22NoNo0011387100.01,059,823*
378-8-23NoNo00991100.0759,943*
367-10-22NoNo00694100.0533,352*
357-9-23NoNo00496100.0366,990*
347-8-24NoNo0397Yes249,774*
337-7-25NoNo0298Yes164,921*
326-9-24NoNo0199Yes107,097*
316-8-25NoNo199Yes68,127*
306-7-26NoNo0100Yes42,323*
295-9-25NoNo0100Yes26,035*
285-8-26NoNo0100Yes15,583*
275-7-27NoNo0100Yes8,821*
264-9-26NoNo0100Yes5,089*
254-8-27NoNo0100Yes2,783*
5-24NoNo100Yes70,351*
Total:5.3%10.5%555555555555544444444310.4%595,421,816

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship