Harrogate Town Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50Lost to Stalybridge Cel 2-3, title odds down 2.1 to 4.3% 13 points 4-1-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1 | -2.6 | | -3.7 | | +1.3 | | -0.9 | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | -2.0 | | -3.0 | | +1.7 | | -1.0 | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | -0.2 | | -0.3 | | -0.1 | | | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | +0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1 | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | | | Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 | *+0.1 | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Worcester City 2 Gainsborough Tr 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Barrow 1 Colwyn Bay 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Gainsborough Tr 2 Barrow 1 | | | | | *+0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town | +2.0-0.5-1.6 | | +3.2-0.8-2.7 | | -2.2+0.3+2.0 | | +1.1-0.2-1.0 | | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | North Ferriby U vs Altrincham | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Barrow vs Histon | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport County | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Worcester City vs Workington | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Leamington vs Gainsborough Tr | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Harrogate Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 94 | -115 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,537 | * | 93 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.6 | % | 99.6 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 245 | * | 91 | -92 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,188 | * | 90 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,387 | * | 89 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,193 | * | 88 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,648 | * | 87 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.2 | | 99.4 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,921 | * | 86 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 99.3 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,380 | * | 85 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 98.6 | | 98.9 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,376 | * | 84 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 97.9 | | 98.5 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,523 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 96.8 | | 97.6 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,267 | * | 82 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 95.4 | | 96.5 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 49,230 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 93.5 | | 95.1 | | 93 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,052 | * | 80 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 90.4 | | 92.8 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,300 | * | 79 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 86.9 | | 90.2 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 140,888 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 81.9 | | 86.4 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,096 | * | 77 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 75.8 | | 81.9 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 260,810 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 68.5 | | 76.4 | | 69 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 346,158 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 59.9 | | 69.9 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 451,912 | * | 74 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 50.4 | | 62.8 | | 50 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 578,789 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 40.2 | | 55.2 | | 40 | 42 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 729,694 | * | 72 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 30.3 | | 47.7 | | 30 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 906,252 | * | 71 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 21.1 | | 40.8 | | 21 | 40 | 28 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,102,925 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 13.4 | | 34.9 | | 13 | 34 | 33 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,326,227 | * | 69 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 7.5 | | 30.2 | | 8 | 27 | 35 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,563,272 | * | 68 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 3.7 | | 26.7 | | 4 | 18 | 32 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,815,662 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 1.5 | | 23.6 | | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,073,736 | * | 66 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.5 | | 20.1 | | 0 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,330,097 | * | 65 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 0.1 | | 15.6 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,575,165 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 10.4 | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,802,560 | * | 63 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 5.6 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,998,217 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 2.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,157,875 | * | 61 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,271,345 | * | 60 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 3,324,590 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,333,372 | * | 58 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,282,774 | * | 57 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,178,033 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,027,430 | * | 55 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 2,833,218 | * | 54 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 2,605,031 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 2,356,230 | * | 52 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | | 2,090,112 | * | 51 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9 | 21 | 29 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.4 | | 1,823,716 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 9.8 | | 1,560,960 | * | 49 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 0 | 21.2 | | 1,313,011 | * | 48 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 10 | 1 | 36.8 | | 1,083,396 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 54.3 | | 877,338 | * | 46 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 8 | 70.3 | | 696,861 | * | 45 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 36 | 15 | 82.4 | | 542,636 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 23 | 90.5 | | 412,158 | * | 43 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 43 | 33 | 95.4 | | 308,792 | * | 42 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 97.9 | | 225,879 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.1 | | 161,833 | * | 40 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 99.7 | | 112,846 | * | 39 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24 | 73 | 99.9 | | 76,790 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 80 | 100.0 | | 51,317 | * | 37 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 86 | 100.0 | | 33,777 | * | 36 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 90 | 100.0 | | 21,097 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 13,195 | * | 34 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 8,022 | * | 33 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 4,636 | * | 32 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,672 | * | 31 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 1,435 | * | 30 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 762 | * | 13 | -29 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 8,034 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 4.3 | % | 9.9 | % | 4 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5.8 | % | 64,319,880 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |