How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 -0.9
-1.2
+0.5
-0.3
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.2
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.1
-0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town-1.6-0.7+1.8
-2.6-1.0+2.8
+2.4+0.4-2.4
-1.0-0.3+1.0
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.2
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.1+0.1-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.0-0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town-1.6-0.5+2.0
-2.5-0.8+3.1
+2.1+0.2-2.4
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Harrogate Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
105-122YesYes100No202,538*
10432-3-498.2%98.2%982No56*
101-103YesYes100No837*
10030-5-499.999.91000No910*
9930-4-5YesYes100No1,759*
9829-6-4100.0100.01000No3,000*
9729-5-599.999.91000No5,322*
9629-4-699.999.91000No9,262*
9528-6-599.999.91000No15,665*
9428-5-699.9100.01000No26,397*
9328-4-799.999.91000No42,888*
9227-6-699.999.91000No68,587*
9127-5-799.899.91000No108,442*
9026-7-699.799.81000No168,388*
8926-6-799.699.710000No257,876*
8826-5-899.399.59910No385,443*
8725-7-798.999.29910No571,449*
8625-6-898.498.89820No829,369*
8525-5-997.798.298200No1,187,516*
8424-7-896.597.497300No1,672,637*
8324-6-995.096.295500No2,322,629*
8223-8-892.994.793700No3,178,252*
8123-7-990.092.5901000No4,282,137*
8023-6-1086.389.78613100No5,685,815*
7922-8-981.586.18117100No7,436,185*
7822-7-1075.581.675222000No9,583,139*
7722-6-1168.376.268284000No12,183,126*
7621-8-1059.969.9603361000No15,263,274*
7521-7-1150.562.95138101000No18,852,781*
7421-6-1240.755.541411530000No22,956,606*
7320-8-1130.848.131422151000No27,571,120*
7220-7-1221.741.3224027920000No32,661,941*
7119-9-1114.035.414353215400000No38,135,282*
7019-8-128.130.78273421710000No43,939,052*
6919-7-134.127.0419322813410000No49,913,374*
6818-9-121.823.92112631208200000No55,916,797*
6718-8-130.620.41518292715510000No61,815,270*
6618-7-140.216.1021023292210310000No67,370,911*
6517-9-130.011.0014142528188200000No72,447,109*
6417-8-140.06.20016172726156100000No76,841,058*
6317-7-150.02.700028192724134100000No80,367,583*
6216-9-140.00.8000031021272211410000No82,908,048*
6116-8-150.00.20000141222272110310000No84,373,473*
6016-7-16No0.0000014132327209300000No84,675,169*
5915-9-15No0.0000015142427198200000No83,775,481*
5815-8-16No0.000001514252718820000No81,770,016*
5715-7-17No0.0000016152526177200000.0%78,691,815*
5614-9-16NoNo000016162626166100000.074,657,292*
5514-8-17NoNo00002718272515510000.069,849,648*
5413-10-16NoNo000002819282413410000.164,421,148*
5313-9-17NoNo000003102128231130000.558,554,406*
5213-8-18NoNo00000141224282082002.052,445,612*
5112-10-17NoNo000016162728165106.246,307,137*
5012-9-18NoNo000028203025123014.640,297,338*
4912-8-19NoNo000013122631206127.434,530,591*
4811-10-18NoNo00001618312813243.229,145,820*
4711-9-19NoNo0000311273421559.424,234,150*
4611-8-20NoNo00016203529973.319,828,523*
4510-10-19NoNo000031332371584.015,981,464*
4410-9-20NoNo0001826412491.112,676,174*
4310-8-21NoNo000420433395.49,893,726*
429-10-20NoNo000214414397.87,590,470*
419-9-21NoNo00019375399.05,731,827*
409-8-22NoNo0006326299.64,252,813*
398-10-21NoNo003267099.83,098,675*
388-9-22NoNo002217799.92,221,002*
378-8-23NoNo0011683100.01,564,399*
367-10-22NoNo001287100.01,080,430*
357-9-23NoNo00991100.0731,898*
347-8-24NoNo00694100.0486,290*
336-10-23NoNo0496Yes317,490*
326-9-24NoNo0397Yes203,164*
316-8-25NoNo0298Yes126,479*
306-7-26NoNo0199Yes77,348*
295-9-25NoNo199Yes46,015*
285-8-26NoNo00100Yes26,686*
275-7-27NoNo0100Yes15,317*
264-9-26NoNo0100Yes8,482*
254-8-27NoNo0100Yes4,636*
244-7-28NoNo0100Yes2,392*
5-23NoNo100Yes204,846*
Total:5.4%11.1%56666655555555444433226.9%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship