How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town 2 Wycombe Wanderers 3 -1.0
-2.6
+2.8
-1.0
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.9-0.3-0.8
+2.7-0.7-2.2
-3.7+0.6+3.3
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Lincoln City vs Luton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Grimsby Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
98-129YesYes100No9,790*
9729-7-699.8%Yes1000No539*
9629-6-799.9Yes1000No847*
9528-8-6YesYes100No1,393*
9428-7-799.5Yes1000No2,211*
9328-6-899.7Yes1000No3,579*
9227-8-799.3Yes9910No5,376*
9127-7-898.8Yes991No8,353*
9026-9-798.1Yes982No12,551*
8926-8-897.3Yes9730No18,478*
8826-7-995.9Yes9640No27,320*
8725-9-894.4Yes9460No38,975*
8625-8-991.9Yes9280No55,568*
8525-7-1088.6100.0%891100No77,866*
8424-9-984.4100.08415100No105,797*
8324-8-1079.199.97919200No144,357*
8223-10-972.599.87324300No193,019*
8123-9-1064.499.664305000No255,604*
8023-8-1155.399.055368100No332,326*
7922-10-1045.597.84540132000No428,801*
7822-9-1135.195.535421940000No542,366*
7722-8-1225.491.02541258100No678,701*
7621-10-1116.783.71736311330000No841,354*
7521-9-129.872.510293320610000No1,022,858*
7421-8-135.157.852132261231000No1,230,330*
7320-10-122.241.1212273019820000No1,457,093*
7220-9-130.825.0161829261451000No1,708,188*
7119-11-120.212.402102228221141000No1,970,183*
7019-10-130.04.701413242719931000No2,249,436*
6919-9-140.01.30016152526178200000No2,532,589*
6818-11-130.00.20002716252516720000No2,813,245*
6718-10-14No0.00002717252416720000No3,087,864*
6618-9-15No0.0000027172524167200000No3,339,745*
6517-11-14No0.000002716242416720000No3,565,147*
6417-10-15NoNo000026152425178200000No3,753,379*
6317-9-16NoNo000026142325188310000No3,903,685*
6216-11-15NoNo000015142325199310000No4,010,115*
6116-10-16NoNo000015132226191031000No4,060,276*
6016-9-17NoNo0000151222262010310000.0%4,056,633*
5915-11-16NoNo0000151222262010310000.03,996,237*
5815-10-17NoNo00001513232620930000.03,887,960*
5714-12-16NoNo0000151424271982000.23,731,198*
5614-11-17NoNo000026162627166101.23,529,377*
5514-10-18NoNo00002819282513303.83,295,904*
5413-12-17NoNo00001311233022819.63,029,062*
5313-11-18NoNo0001516293016319.32,746,877*
5213-10-19NoNo000029233425732.32,461,558*
5112-12-18NoNo000141632341347.02,168,713*
5012-11-19NoNo0002927402261.31,888,482*
4912-10-20NoNo0001521423273.51,615,458*
4811-12-19NoNo000214414283.01,362,103*
4711-11-20NoNo00019375389.71,135,533*
4611-10-21NoNo0005316394.1928,607*
4510-12-20NoNo003257296.8748,789*
4410-11-21NoNo002197998.4594,907*
4310-10-22NoNo001158599.2465,096*
429-12-21NoNo00118999.6356,949*
419-11-22NoNo0079299.8270,198*
409-10-23NoNo0059599.9200,593*
398-12-22NoNo0397100.0146,537*
388-11-23NoNo0298100.0105,166*
378-10-24NoNo0199100.074,251*
367-12-23NoNo199Yes51,762*
357-11-24NoNo199Yes34,805*
347-10-25NoNo0100Yes23,295*
336-12-24NoNo0100Yes15,394*
326-11-25NoNo0100Yes9,704*
316-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,241*
306-9-27NoNo100Yes3,827*
295-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,396*
285-10-27NoNo100Yes1,303*
275-9-28NoNo0100Yes759*
3-26NoNo100Yes9,950*
Total:2.1%7.3%22333334444444455555566712.9%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship