Gloucester City Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50Tied Brackley Town 2-2, title odds down 0.3 to 1.5% 9 points 2-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Workington 4 Gloucester City 2 | -1.0 | | -1.9 | | +3.4 | | -1.0 | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | -0.3 | | -0.5 | | +0.6 | | -0.2 | | Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.1 | | | | | | | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Gainsborough Tr 2 Barrow 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Barrow 1 Colwyn Bay 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Vauxhall Motors 2 Stockport County 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.7-0.2+0.8 | | -1.4-0.5+1.8 | | +3.9+0.7-4.3 | | -1.0-0.2+1.2 | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.8-0.2-0.6 | | +1.7-0.5-1.4 | | -4.4+0.7+3.9 | | +1.2-0.2-1.0 | | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.0-0.2 | | | | Harrogate Town vs Brackley Town | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | North Ferriby U vs Altrincham | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | Barrow vs Histon | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | | | | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | -0.2-0.1+0.2 | | | | Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport County | | | | | -0.1-0.1+0.2 | | | | Worcester City vs Workington | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.0 | | | | Leamington vs Gainsborough Tr | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Gloucester City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 93 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,309 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 97.1 | % | 97.1 | % | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 35 | * | 90 | -91 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 190 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.2 | | 99.2 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 241 | * | 88 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 3 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 456 | * | 87 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.3 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 732 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 98.9 | | 99.1 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,243 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 98.9 | | 99.2 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,168 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98.0 | | 98.5 | | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,624 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 97.0 | | 97.8 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,839 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 95.7 | | 96.8 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,262 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 93.5 | | 95.1 | | 93 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,545 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 91.2 | | 93.4 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,169 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 87.4 | | 90.5 | | 87 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 33,340 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 82.7 | | 87.0 | | 83 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,864 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 76.5 | | 82.4 | | 77 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,246 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 69.6 | | 77.2 | | 70 | 27 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 101,071 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 60.9 | | 70.7 | | 61 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 141,661 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 51.6 | | 63.7 | | 52 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,008 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 41.6 | | 56.2 | | 42 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 261,491 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 31.3 | | 48.5 | | 31 | 43 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 346,082 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 22.0 | | 41.5 | | 22 | 41 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 451,391 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 14.1 | | 35.4 | | 14 | 35 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 580,484 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 8.0 | | 30.7 | | 8 | 27 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 728,735 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 4.0 | | 27.0 | | 4 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 905,080 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 1.6 | | 23.8 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,103,779 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 0.5 | | 20.3 | | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,325,130 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 15.9 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,562,901 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 10.7 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 28 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,815,179 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 5.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,075,698 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 2.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,329,793 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 2,577,088 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 2,802,754 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 28 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 2,999,811 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,157,371 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 3,266,061 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 3,330,975 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,330,256 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 3,281,395 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 3,180,391 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | | 3,027,817 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.1 | | 2,832,799 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 9.0 | | 2,605,985 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 28 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 19.8 | | 2,352,067 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 35.1 | | 2,091,499 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 3 | 52.3 | | 1,825,016 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 68.3 | | 1,562,387 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 35 | 13 | 80.9 | | 1,311,675 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 89.5 | | 1,082,419 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 43 | 31 | 94.8 | | 876,512 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 97.6 | | 695,733 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 99.0 | | 542,474 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 32 | 63 | 99.6 | | 413,486 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 99.9 | | 308,104 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 79 | 99.9 | | 225,113 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 100.0 | | 161,691 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 100.0 | | 112,992 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 7 | 93 | Yes | 77,376 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 51,264 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 33,636 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 21,298 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 13,179 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,984 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 4,615 | * | 28 | | 3 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,566 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,438 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 821 | * | 9 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 8,086 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.5 | % | 4.4 | % | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 14.1 | % | 64,319,880 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |