Gloucester City Title Chances 2013-2014Tied Brackley Town 2-2, title odds down 0.07 to 0.2% 9 points 2-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 9/14 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Workington 4 Gloucester City 2 | -0.3 | | -0.9 | | +2.5 | | -0.8 | | Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2 | -0.1 | | -0.2 | | +0.2 | | -0.1 | | Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Boston United 3 Guiseley 0 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2 | | | | | +0.3 | | | | Oxford City 1 Boston United 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Worcester City 2 Gainsborough Tr 2 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Stockport County 1 Leamington 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Gainsborough Tr 2 Barrow 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | Vauxhall Motors 2 Stockport County 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Barrow 1 Colwyn Bay 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Guiseley 0 Bradford Park A 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/21 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Altrincham vs Gloucester City | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | | -0.4-0.1+0.8 | | +2.5-0.2-4.4 | | -0.6-0.0+1.1 | | Gloucester City vs Boston United | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | +0.6-0.2-0.5 | | -3.8+0.6+3.4 | | +1.0-0.2-0.8 | | Guiseley vs Hednesford Town | | | | | +0.4-0.0-0.3 | | | | Bradford Park A vs Solihull Moors | | | | | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | | | | Boston United vs Bradford Park A | | | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Barrow vs Histon | | | | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester City | | | | | -0.2-0.0+0.4 | | | | AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn Bay | | | | | -0.1*-0.0+0.1 | | | | Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford City | | | | | -0.2-0.0+0.3 | | | | Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport County | | | | | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | | | | Worcester City vs Workington | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Leamington vs Gainsborough Tr | | | | | +0.0-0.2+0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Gloucester City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,332 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 98.1 | % | 98.1 | % | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54 | * | 90 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 99.0 | | 99.0 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 97 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 98.8 | | 98.8 | | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 97.1 | | 97.8 | | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 313 | * | 87 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 96.1 | | 96.9 | | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 589 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 94.0 | | 95.5 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,103 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 4 | 91.8 | | 93.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,925 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 89.2 | | 91.9 | | 89 | 10 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,336 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 83.9 | | 87.9 | | 84 | 16 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,610 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 78.9 | | 84.2 | | 79 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,652 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 72.6 | | 79.5 | | 73 | 25 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,357 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 64.6 | | 73.4 | | 65 | 31 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,586 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 56.3 | | 67.2 | | 56 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,699 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 47.6 | | 60.7 | | 48 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,403 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 38.3 | | 53.7 | | 38 | 43 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 89,349 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 29.3 | | 47.0 | | 29 | 43 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 132,347 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 21.1 | | 40.8 | | 21 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 194,045 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 14.2 | | 35.6 | | 14 | 36 | 33 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 278,240 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 8.8 | | 31.4 | | 9 | 30 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 391,965 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 5.0 | | 28.2 | | 5 | 22 | 35 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 541,802 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 2.5 | | 25.6 | | 2 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 737,457 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 1.1 | | 23.3 | | 1 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 984,953 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 0.4 | | 20.6 | | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,295,055 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 0.1 | | 17.3 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,673,594 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 13.2 | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,125,054 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 0.0 | | 9.1 | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,655,883 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.0 | | 5.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,264,489 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,942,063 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 10 | No | 1.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 4,688,262 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | 0.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 5,475,864 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 0.1 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,289,153 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 11 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 7,112,986 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,906,597 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,631,407 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 9,274,851 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 9,795,572 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 10,173,222 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 10,383,268 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 10,414,919 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 10,271,249 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 9,957,419 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 29 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | | 9,468,090 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | | 8,857,387 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.6 | | 8,128,916 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 30 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 12.6 | | 7,326,684 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 27 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 23.6 | | 6,488,410 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 37.9 | | 5,633,758 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 4 | 53.6 | | 4,796,661 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 35 | 26 | 7 | 68.4 | | 4,007,753 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 34 | 34 | 13 | 80.2 | | 3,279,351 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 29 | 40 | 20 | 88.7 | | 2,632,803 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 43 | 29 | 94.1 | | 2,067,075 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 42 | 39 | 97.2 | | 1,591,947 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 98.8 | | 1,197,958 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 60 | 99.5 | | 883,705 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 27 | 69 | 99.8 | | 633,985 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 77 | 99.9 | | 446,494 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | 100.0 | | 306,117 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 100.0 | | 204,749 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 133,429 | * | 31 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 85,017 | * | 30 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 52,277 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 31,564 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 18,322 | * | 27 | | 3 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 10,165 | * | 26 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 5,696 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,985 | * | 24 | | 2 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,520 | * | 9 | -23 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 23,604 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.2 | % | 1.3 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 11.7 | % | 197,180,716 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |