How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.7
-1.3
+4.6
-1.0
Gateshead FC 0 Wrexham 3 -0.4
-0.9
+5.4
-1.0
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 *-0.1
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.3
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.2
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.2
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 *+0.1
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC-0.2-0.1+0.3
-0.7-0.2+0.8
+6.0+1.1-6.8
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.3-0.1-0.2
+0.8-0.2-0.7
-6.9+1.1+6.1
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Cambridge United vs Forest Green Ro-0.1-0.0+0.1
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.4-0.1-0.3
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.3-0.1+0.4
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.0-0.0+0.1
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.2-0.1-0.2
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.2-0.1+0.3
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.2-0.1+0.3
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.1-0.1+0.2
Luton Town vs Lincoln City FC+0.1-0.1-0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.3-0.1+0.4
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.3-0.1-0.2
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.3-0.2-0.2
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.1-0.1-0.1
Woking vs Luton Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.2-0.2+0.3
Braintree Town vs Southport+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.3-0.2-0.2
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.1-0.1-0.0
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.2-0.2-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Gateshead FC finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
88-118YesYes100No11,175*
8526-0-1188.9%88.9%8911No9
8225-0-1262.570.863334No24
7924-0-1323.541.2244927No51
7623-0-147.029.1733372111No86
7322-0-150.920.5171532271161No117
7231-2-4YesYes100No1
7021-0-16No5.32613302319321No151
6930-2-5YesYes100No2
6720-0-17NoNo16122328141331No196
6529-1-7YesYes100No2
6419-0-18NoNo24152225171120No229
6228-1-8YesYes100No14
6118-0-19NoNo1316232916740No231
5817-0-20NoNo2416262916411.2%164
5626-1-1088.690.98911No88
5516-0-21NoNo1371525241951126.1153
5215-0-22NoNo510312722584.9106
4914-0-23NoNo3830421897.374
4613-0-24NoNo6193539Yes31
444-25-8NoNo5050Yes2
4312-0-25NoNo42670Yes23
4011-0-26NoNo1090Yes10*
393-23-11NoNo1783Yes6
3710-0-27NoNo2080Yes5*
369-2-26NoNo397Yes312*
359-1-27NoNo496Yes27
342-21-14NoNo89291.712*
31-33NoNo100Yes109*
302-17-18NoNo1396Yes95*
27-29NoNo100Yes537*
263-10-24NoNo000019899.6519*
252-12-23NoNo2119696.5114*
243-8-26NoNo100Yes200*
232-10-25NoNo199Yes108*
21-22NoNo100Yes233*
2014-1-22NoNo0151832311394.41,241*
196-24-7NoNo14272732Yes22*
1810-1-26NoNo793Yes84*
1713-1-23NoNo039236599.81,397*
161-6-30NoNo100Yes1
153-9-25NoNo3395Yes354*
138-2-27NoNo199Yes109*
124-23-10NoNo4555Yes20
1111-1-25NoNo11980Yes176
104-21-121.81.82118898.2170*
929-5-3YesYes100No8*
85-6-260.90.9109999.1586*
70-0-370.20.20010099.811,231*
63-20-1433.133.13326566.9145*
53-19-1530.630.63116869.4288*
48-3-2615.415.515018384.21,022*
327-5-599.399.3991No292*
27-4-2625.325.325017474.51,976*
13-15-1952.352.452104747.11,759*
05-8-2424.524.6241007574.86,421*
-125-7-551.452.0512004646.34,871*
-225-6-679.881.0805001515.24,995*
-324-8-582.584.483701010.07,631*
-424-7-686.289.08611032.610,859*
-524-6-784.588.4841510No16,754*
-623-8-679.684.78019100No25,332*
-723-7-773.980.47423300No37,987*
-823-6-866.274.76629400No56,850*
-922-8-757.868.45834710No80,738*
-1022-7-848.661.4493911100No115,457*
-1121-9-738.754.0394216300No161,234*
-1221-8-829.347.029422261000No221,820*
-1321-7-920.540.320402810200No301,621*
-1420-9-813.234.7133433164100No402,149*
-1520-8-97.630.2826342282000No528,778*
-1620-7-103.826.64183228144100No684,461*
-1719-9-91.623.421025312192000No872,803*
-1819-8-100.519.81517282715510000No1,095,096*
-1919-7-110.215.30292129231241000No1,353,701*
-2018-9-100.010.301413242820930000No1,647,666*
-2118-8-110.05.6001615252617720000No1,970,600*
-2217-10-100.02.30002717262515620000No2,329,214*
-2317-9-110.00.700002819262414510000No2,709,590*
-2417-8-12No0.100003919262313510000No3,101,314*
-2516-10-11No0.0000131020262212510000No3,505,009*
-2616-9-12No0.000013102026221241000No3,895,296*
-2716-8-13No0.0000131020262212410000No4,263,421*
-2815-10-12NoNo0001310202622124100000.04,596,799*
-2915-9-13NoNo000131020262212410000.04,887,387*
-3015-8-14NoNo000131020262212410000.05,116,829*
-3114-10-13NoNo000131121272211410000.15,275,062*
-3214-9-14NoNo0000141222272110310000.65,355,246*
-3313-11-13NoNo00001513232720920002.65,352,638*
-3413-10-14NoNo0000161525271771008.35,268,555*
-3513-9-15NoNo000271827261441019.65,101,526*
-3612-11-14NoNo0000310222923102036.04,866,738*
-3712-10-15NoNo00014142630186154.64,572,569*
-3812-9-16NoNo00002720312712271.34,228,300*
-3911-11-15NoNo0000312273320484.03,848,372*
-4011-10-16NoNo00017213528992.03,439,660*
-4111-9-17NoNo000031432361596.43,031,447*
-4210-11-16NoNo0001827412398.52,627,630*
-4310-10-17NoNo001520433299.42,236,050*
-4410-9-18NoNo00214414299.81,870,644*
-459-11-17NoNo00110385299.91,540,973*
-469-10-18NoNo00063361100.01,245,548*
-479-9-19NoNo0032769100.0986,112*
-488-11-18NoNo0022276100.0770,605*
-498-10-19NoNo011782Yes588,675*
-508-9-20NoNo0011287100.0441,623*
-517-11-19NoNo00991Yes325,736*
-527-10-20NoNo00693Yes234,016*
-537-9-21NoNo0495Yes165,407*
-546-11-20NoNo0397Yes115,214*
-556-10-21NoNo0298Yes77,437*
-566-9-22NoNo0199Yes50,319*
-575-11-21NoNo0199Yes33,140*
-585-10-22NoNo0199Yes19,675*
-595-9-23NoNo0100Yes12,243*
-604-11-22NoNo0100Yes2,831
-614-10-23NoNo0100Yes1,962
-624-9-24NoNo0100Yes1,187
Total:0.5%1.9%11122223334445556667778729.3%107,735,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship