How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 -1.2
-3.0
+2.5
-1.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 *+0.1
+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.9-0.3+1.1
-2.5-0.8+3.0
+2.9+0.5-3.2
-1.1-0.3+1.2
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lincoln City vs Luton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United*-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Forest Green Ro finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
99-130YesYes100No9,776*
9829-7-699.8%Yes1000No516*
9729-6-7YesYes100No892*
9628-8-699.9Yes1000No1,351*
9528-7-799.9Yes1000No2,219*
9428-6-899.6Yes1000No3,609*
9327-8-799.6Yes1000No5,537*
9227-7-899.3Yes991No8,419*
9126-9-798.8Yes991No12,692*
9026-8-898.1Yes9820No18,479*
8926-7-997.1Yes9730No27,069*
8825-9-895.9Yes9640No38,819*
8725-8-994.2Yes9460No54,963*
8625-7-1091.6100.0%92800No76,947*
8524-9-988.5100.0881100No105,661*
8424-8-1084.1100.0841510No144,467*
8323-10-978.799.97920200No192,911*
8223-9-1072.099.87225300No256,488*
8123-8-1164.099.664305000No332,539*
8022-10-1054.799.055369100No427,599*
7922-9-1144.797.7454013200No543,149*
7822-8-1234.495.23442194100No680,155*
7721-10-1124.790.625412581000No839,492*
7621-9-1216.283.01636311330000No1,020,092*
7521-8-139.471.6929332071000No1,228,267*
7420-10-124.856.752032271341000No1,458,762*
7320-9-132.039.8212263020820000No1,707,840*
7219-11-120.723.91618282615510000No1,974,347*
7119-10-130.211.602921282312410000No2,251,539*
7019-9-140.04.3014122327209310000No2,531,585*
6918-11-130.01.2001514242618820000No2,812,469*
6818-10-140.00.20001615252517720000No3,086,041*
6718-9-150.00.000002716252516720000No3,339,229*
6617-11-14No0.000002716242517720000No3,565,231*
6517-10-15No0.0000026152425178200000No3,757,271*
6417-9-16NoNo000026152325188310000No3,905,764*
6316-11-15NoNo000015142325199310000No4,009,262*
6216-10-16NoNo000015132226191031000No4,058,746*
6116-9-17NoNo000014122226201031000No4,053,581*
6015-11-16NoNo0000141222262111310000.0%3,998,864*
5915-10-17NoNo000014122226211031000.03,886,554*
5814-12-16NoNo000014122227201030000.03,731,768*
5714-11-17NoNo0000151324271982000.33,533,259*
5614-10-18NoNo000016152627176101.23,294,036*
5513-12-17NoNo00002818282614404.13,031,029*
5413-11-18NoNo00013102330239110.12,748,540*
5313-10-19NoNo0001515293016319.92,460,172*
5212-12-18NoNo00028233426833.12,169,729*
5112-11-19NoNo000141532341447.71,886,793*
5012-10-20NoNo00002927402262.01,616,482*
4911-12-19NoNo001520423274.11,364,558*
4811-11-20NoNo000214414383.41,133,595*
4711-10-21NoNo0019365489.9927,881*
4610-12-20NoNo0005316394.2748,900*
4510-11-21NoNo003257296.9593,567*
4410-10-22NoNo002197998.4464,300*
439-12-21NoNo01148599.2356,252*
429-11-22NoNo00108999.6269,758*
419-10-23NoNo079399.8200,012*
408-12-22NoNo059599.9146,838*
398-11-23NoNo00397100.0104,930*
388-10-24NoNo0298100.074,277*
377-12-23NoNo0199100.051,827*
367-11-24NoNo0199100.034,805*
357-10-25NoNo0199100.023,232*
346-12-24NoNo0100Yes15,196*
336-11-25NoNo0100Yes9,678*
326-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,134*
316-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,735*
305-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,306*
4-29NoNo100Yes12,146*
Total:2.7%8.9%33333444444444445555555510.7%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship