Farnborough Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Tied AFC Hornchurch 1-1, title odds down 0.03 to 0.02%
44 points 13-5-12
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.0 | -0.6 | -0.1 | -0.2 | ||||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.3 | |||||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.3 | |||||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.3 | |||||||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | -0.1 | ||||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | |||||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Sutton United vs Bromley | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | -1.4-0.5+1.7 | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | |||||
| Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | -1.5-0.5+1.9 | +0.2-0.0-0.1 | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | |||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.2+0.0+0.2 | |||||||
| Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | |||||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Farnborough finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 80 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 41.5 | % | 56.1 | % | 41 | 50 | 9 | 0 | No | 1,609 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 19.4 | 39.5 | 19 | 57 | 23 | 1 | No | 799 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 14.6 | 35.9 | 15 | 51 | 32 | 2 | No | 1,085 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 7.7 | 30.8 | 8 | 46 | 41 | 5 | No | 2,903 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 3.5 | 27.7 | 4 | 36 | 51 | 9 | 1 | No | 8,256 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 1.8 | 26.3 | 2 | 26 | 55 | 16 | 1 | 0 | No | 12,672 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 25.4 | 1 | 16 | 55 | 25 | 3 | 0 | No | 28,880 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.2 | 25.0 | 0 | 9 | 48 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 52,312 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 0.0 | 24.6 | 0 | 4 | 39 | 41 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 80,510 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 24.0 | 0 | 2 | 27 | 44 | 23 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 142,724 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 22.6 | 0 | 16 | 41 | 33 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 210,201 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 20.2 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 39 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 297,829 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 16.6 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 432,443 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 12.7 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 36 | 36 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 297,757 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 11.5 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 254,728 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 7.6 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 25 | 40 | 23 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 569,346 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 7.5 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 24 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 129,422 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 3.6 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 35 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 609,931 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 4.3 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 37 | 32 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 252,463 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 1.6 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 25 | 38 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 597,124 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 37 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 377,657 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 31 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 936,964 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 34 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 145,185 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 732,708 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 426,887 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 804,551 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 348,556 | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 853,445 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 268,225 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 624,333 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 416,828 | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 654,511 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 249,615 | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 567,942 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 193,036 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 348,867 | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 259,838 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 298,419 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 31 | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 154,362 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 322,610 | * | |||||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 130,995 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 86,105 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.8 | 132,790 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 3.6 | 76,584 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 1 | 11.4 | 40,877 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 26.3 | 18,888 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 35 | 12 | 47.0 | 7,891 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 43 | 24 | 67.4 | 2,914 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 16 | 46 | 36 | 82.0 | 778 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 35 | 58 | 0 | 93.4 | 1,613 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 3.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
