Farnborough Title Chances 2012-2013Tied AFC Hornchurch 1-1, title odds down 0.005 to 0.002% 44 points 13-5-12 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.9 | | -0.0 | | -0.4 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | | | | | +0.0 | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.2 | | | | | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.2 | | | | | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.3 | | | | | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | | | +0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.2+0.0-0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | -1.1-0.4+1.3 | | | | -0.8-0.1+0.9 | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | -1.0-0.5+1.2 | | | | -0.8-0.2+0.8 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.2+0.1+0.3 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Bromley vs Truro City | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Farnborough finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 80 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 8.5 | % | 31.4 | % | 9 | 57 | 33 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,663 | | 78 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 2.0 | | 26.4 | | 2 | 36 | 54 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,210 | | 77 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.9 | | 25.7 | | 1 | 24 | 56 | 17 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,639 | | 76 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 0.3 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 18 | 54 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,316 | | 75 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 9 | 49 | 34 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,197 | | 74 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 0.0 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 5 | 38 | 41 | 14 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,949 | * | 73 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 24.2 | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 45 | 22 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,329 | | 72 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 23.2 | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 43 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,606 | * | 71 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 21.5 | | | 0 | 9 | 37 | 40 | 13 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 109,388 | * | 70 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 19.0 | | | 0 | 5 | 27 | 45 | 23 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 189,002 | * | 69 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 15.3 | | | 0 | 2 | 16 | 44 | 35 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157,745 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 16.3 | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 44 | 32 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,830 | | 68 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 12.1 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 38 | 44 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 376,640 | * | 67 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 8.2 | | | | 0 | 5 | 28 | 50 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 529,236 | * | 66 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 5.2 | | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 51 | 24 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 362,081 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 4.5 | | | | 0 | 2 | 17 | 50 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 298,359 | * | 65 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 2.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 659,577 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 2.6 | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 44 | 35 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 149,761 | * | 64 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 1.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 30 | 41 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 677,824 | * | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 1.2 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 41 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 290,932 | | 63 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 40 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 658,830 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.3 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 38 | 31 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 401,563 | * | 62 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 37 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 899,036 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 30 | 36 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 245,430 | * | 61 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 16 | 34 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 742,100 | * | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 438,958 | | 60 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 745,241 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 391,023 | * | 59 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 805,288 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 260,113 | * | 58 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 559,112 | * | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 394,539 | | 57 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 531,660 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 33 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 264,270 | * | 56 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 477,170 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 167,203 | * | 55 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 283,378 | * | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 210,565 | | 54 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 234,730 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 116,620 | * | 53 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 239,913 | * | 52 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 153,476 | * | 51 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 31 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 89,325 | * | 50 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 49,367 | * | 49 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | 0.8 | | 25,038 | * | 48 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | | 3.9 | | 11,052 | * | 47 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 5 | 20 | 34 | 30 | 10 | 1 | | 11.2 | | 4,284 | * | 46 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 39 | 22 | 3 | | 25.4 | | 1,483 | | 45 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 15 | 34 | 40 | 8 | | 48.6 | | 358 | | 44 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 24 | 46 | 24 | | 70.8 | | 1,559 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 2.2 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 15 | 14 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |