How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 +2.4
+5.0
-1.6
+1.2
Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0 +0.2
+0.2
Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0 +0.1
+0.2
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
*+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Exeter City vs Newport County+3.1-0.8-2.6
+5.9-1.4-5.0
-1.1+0.1+1.1
+1.2-0.2-1.0
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Lincoln City vs Luton Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.0+0.1*-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Exeter City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
104-136YesYes100No10,283*
10329-6-799.9%Yes1000No882*
10228-8-699.9Yes1000No1,411*
10128-7-799.8Yes1000No2,313*
10028-6-899.9Yes1000No3,615*
9927-8-7100.0Yes1000No5,638*
9827-7-899.9Yes1000No8,323*
9726-9-799.9Yes1000No12,510*
9626-8-899.8Yes1000No18,641*
9526-7-999.8Yes1000No27,001*
9425-9-899.6Yes1000No38,805*
9325-8-999.4Yes991No54,697*
9225-7-1099.2Yes9910No77,582*
9124-9-998.7Yes9910No106,611*
9024-8-1098.1Yes9820No144,423*
8923-10-997.2Yes9730No192,735*
8823-9-1095.8Yes9640No254,776*
8723-8-1194.1100.0%94600No332,246*
8622-10-1091.6100.092800No429,180*
8522-9-1188.2100.0881100No543,744*
8422-8-1283.8100.0841510No678,059*
8321-10-1178.299.97820200No839,464*
8221-9-1271.499.871253000No1,022,252*
8121-8-1363.299.563315000No1,228,602*
8020-10-1253.998.9543691000No1,459,960*
7920-9-1343.897.64440142000No1,706,514*
7819-11-1233.594.934422041000No1,972,057*
7719-10-1323.890.024402681000No2,251,762*
7619-9-1415.482.11535311431000No2,533,468*
7518-11-138.970.29283421720000No2,811,844*
7418-10-144.454.941932271341000No3,089,096*
7318-9-151.837.8211253021920000No3,337,508*
7217-11-140.622.11516282716610000No3,565,211*
7117-10-150.210.402820282413410000No3,757,200*
7017-9-160.03.80031122272110310000No3,907,808*
6916-11-150.01.0001413232619931000No4,010,196*
6816-10-160.00.200015142426188310000No4,058,462*
6716-9-17No0.00001614242518831000No4,058,174*
6615-11-16No0.000016142325189310000No3,993,962*
6515-10-17No0.0000015142325199310000No3,888,178*
6414-12-16NoNo0000151322261910310000No3,730,782*
6314-11-17NoNo0000141222262011410000No3,532,388*
6214-10-18NoNo000014112126211141000No3,295,143*
6113-12-17NoNo00013102026221241000No3,028,454*
6013-11-18NoNo0000131020262212410000.0%2,749,535*
5913-10-19NoNo000131020262212410000.02,459,777*
5812-12-18NoNo00013102127221141000.12,169,213*
5712-11-19NoNo0001412222721103000.41,885,538*
5612-10-20NoNo00015142428198101.61,615,246*
5511-12-19NoNo00002617272716515.11,363,481*
5411-11-20NoNo0002921302510211.91,132,724*
5311-10-21NoNo0001414273219422.7928,923*
5210-12-20NoNo00017213428936.4748,842*
5110-11-21NoNo000031431361651.4594,493*
5010-10-22NoNo0001826412465.1463,320*
499-12-21NoNo000419423576.7356,210*
489-11-22NoNo000213404685.4270,126*
479-10-23NoNo0018355691.3200,017*
468-12-22NoNo0005296695.1146,877*
458-11-23NoNo0003237497.4105,415*
448-10-24NoNo001188198.674,276*
437-12-23NoNo01138699.351,269*
427-11-24NoNo0099199.734,934*
417-10-25NoNo079399.923,470*
406-12-24NoNo0496100.015,178*
396-11-25NoNo397Yes9,636*
386-10-26NoNo0298100.06,172*
375-12-25NoNo199Yes3,859*
365-11-26NoNo199Yes2,278*
355-10-27NoNo0100Yes1,417*
345-9-28NoNo0100Yes777*
334-11-27NoNo0100Yes438*
10-32NoNo100Yes9,527*
Total:9.7%24.5%10876655554444333333222212.8%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship