How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.2
-0.3
-0.2
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.1
-0.2
-0.2
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.1
*+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
*-0.1
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.2
-0.1
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United+1.5-0.4-1.2
+5.2-1.4-4.3
-3.9+0.4+3.6
+1.1-0.2-0.9
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Arsenal vs Everton-1.2-0.4+1.5
-4.6-1.3+5.5
+3.4+0.5-3.7
-0.9-0.2+1.1
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.2*+0.0+0.2
-0.2*+0.1+0.2
-0.2*-0.0+0.2
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.3*-0.0-0.2
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.3*+0.1-0.3
+0.3*+0.0-0.3
Fulham vs Watford+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.2-0.3
+0.2*-0.0-0.2
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.1-0.3
+0.2*-0.1-0.2
Brighton & Hove vs Tottenham Hotspur+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.1*-0.1+0.2
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town*-0.1-0.1+0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Everton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
82-108YesYes100No517*
8123-6-599.4%Yes991No154*
8023-5-6YesYes100No257*
7922-7-597.6Yes982No414*
7822-6-698.4Yes982No615*
7722-5-797.4Yes973No907*
7621-7-695.6Yes964No1,449*
7521-6-792.9Yes9370No1,980*
7420-8-690.4Yes90900No2,931*
7320-7-787.2Yes871210No4,089*
7220-6-882.4Yes82171No5,645*
7119-8-775.4Yes752320No7,894*
7019-7-868.4100.0%6828400No10,388*
6919-6-959.6100.06034610No13,791*
6818-8-849.7100.050391010No17,773*
6718-7-939.399.8394315200No22,697*
6618-6-1029.499.4294322510No28,473*
6517-8-919.998.52040299100No35,185*
6417-7-1012.195.812343415410No42,607*
6316-9-96.790.972636238100No50,667*
6216-8-103.181.93163330144000No60,003*
6116-7-111.267.8192532228200No69,533*
6015-9-100.349.404162929165100No78,382*
5915-8-110.130.1018213125113000No88,478*
5815-7-120.014.7003122530218200No96,857*
5714-9-11No5.2014152728176100No105,081*
5614-8-120.01.300016172827155100No112,833*
5514-7-13No0.20028202925134100No118,226*
5413-9-12No0.00029212923113100No121,688*
5313-8-13NoNo00310232922103000No123,730*
5213-7-14NoNo00131124292192000No123,617*
5112-9-13NoNo001413252920820000.0%121,063*
5012-8-14NoNo00151426281871000.0117,613*
4911-10-13NoNo00161627271661000.1111,531*
4811-9-14NoNo0027182926144100.6104,664*
4711-8-15NoNo00029213024113002.895,760*
4610-10-14NoNo0013122530217108.886,410*
4510-9-15NoNo0015162929154019.676,328*
4410-8-16NoNo00282232259135.866,963*
439-10-15NoNo000313293318353.857,077*
429-9-16NoNo0017223527769.547,999*
419-8-17NoNo0031433361482.439,617*
408-10-16NoNo001827412290.432,250*
398-9-17NoNo00420433295.425,515*
388-8-18NoNo00213424397.819,633*
377-10-17NoNo0018365499.214,960*
367-9-18NoNo05316499.711,372*
357-8-19NoNo03257299.98,266*
346-10-18NoNo11980Yes5,826*
336-9-19NoNo011386100.04,119*
326-8-20NoNo0991Yes2,789*
315-10-19NoNo0694Yes1,895*
305-9-20NoNo0595Yes1,208*
295-8-21NoNo0298Yes746*
285-7-22NoNo298Yes498*
274-9-21NoNo298Yes263*
264-8-22NoNo298Yes182*
6-25NoNo100Yes512*
Total:3.5%17.7%3455566666666555544311.3%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship