Eastbourne Borough Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50
Lost to Eastleigh 0-1, title odds down 0.002 to 0.0001%
34 points 10-4-15
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.2 | +4.9 | -1.0 | |||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.8 | +0.1 | ||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.7 | |||||
| Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | -0.3 | |||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | -0.1 | +0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke 3 Billericay Town 3 | -0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -6.4+0.7+5.9 | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | |||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Bath City | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -6.4+0.7+5.9 | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | |||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -1.3-0.4+1.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.2*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | |||||
| Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.6-0.1+0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Havant and W vs Billericay Town | -0.5-0.2+0.6 | |||||
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | +0.5*-0.0-0.5 | |||||
| Billericay Town vs Staines Town | -0.1-0.4+0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Eastbourne finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 73 | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.0 | % | 25.7 | % | 1 | 19 | 58 | 20 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,547 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 24.7 | 6 | 49 | 38 | 7 | 1 | No | 356 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 24.4 | 2 | 32 | 44 | 19 | 2 | No | 447 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 23.4 | 1 | 25 | 45 | 23 | 6 | 1 | No | 1,291 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 21.6 | 0 | 12 | 37 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | No | 3,651 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 18.6 | 0 | 6 | 27 | 42 | 21 | 4 | 0 | No | 5,980 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 14.0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 38 | 32 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 14,007 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 8.9 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 38 | 21 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 25,805 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 4.8 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,352 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 1.9 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 36 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 77,453 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.5 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 117,978 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 61 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 177,551 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 23 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 266,666 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 26 | 32 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 360,287 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 480,657 | * | ||||||||||||||
| 57 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 419,200 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 203,169 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 31 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 480,204 | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 30 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 267,304 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 881,835 | * | |||||||||||||
| 54 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 31 | 25 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 588,242 | |||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 413,630 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 718,137 | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 350,601 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 31 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 821,713 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 28 | 30 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 295,702 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 31 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0.6 | 586,977 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0.4 | 526,861 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 2.2 | 719,056 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 32 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 2.6 | 333,902 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.2 | 685,636 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 6.9 | 283,157 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 17 | 3 | 20.6 | 419,688 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 32 | 33 | 15 | 2 | 17.4 | 425,491 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 7 | 0 | 35.1 | 479,282 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 0 | 36.3 | 220,618 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 32 | 38 | 16 | 0 | 54.5 | 559,262 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 22 | 44 | 30 | 0 | 73.4 | 209,664 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 24 | 43 | 27 | 0 | 70.2 | 212,320 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 42 | 43 | 0 | 84.5 | 300,246 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 7 | 35 | 57 | 0 | 92.7 | 204,535 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 70 | 1 | 97.0 | 129,254 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 17 | 80 | 2 | 98.9 | 75,876 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 10 | 86 | 3 | 99.7 | 42,054 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 6 | 88 | 6 | 99.9 | 21,107 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 3 | 87 | 11 | 100.0 | 9,386 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | 1 | 84 | 15 | Yes | 3,701 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 36 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 77 | 22 | Yes | 1,284 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 35 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | 64 | 36 | Yes | 292 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 34 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | 56 | 44 | Yes | 1,554 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 13.7 | % | 13,466,968 | |||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
