Dover Athletic Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Beat Bath City 2-0, title odds up 0.3 to 2.3% 53 points 16-5-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | +1.4 | | +3.8 | | +0.7 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.7 | | -0.4 | | | | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | -0.1 | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.5 | | -0.1 | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.0 | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | -1.2-0.6+1.6 | | -3.0-0.7+3.5 | | -0.5-0.1+0.5 | | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.5+0.1+0.4 | | -0.4+0.1+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2*+0.0 | | | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | Sutton United vs Bromley | | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | +1.6-0.6-1.2 | | +3.5-0.8-2.9 | | +0.5-0.1-0.5 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.9+0.1+0.8 | | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | | | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.9+0.1+0.8 | | -0.7+0.1+0.6 | | | | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | +0.4+0.1-0.5 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.3*+0.0+0.3 | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | Bromley vs Truro City | | | -0.2*+0.1+0.1 | | | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Dover Athletic finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 96.8 | % | 97.6 | % | 97 | 3 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,625 | | 87 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 93.4 | | 95.0 | | 93 | 7 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 747 | | 86 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 89.4 | | 92.1 | | 89 | 11 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,061 | | 85 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 86.1 | | 89.6 | | 86 | 14 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,916 | | 84 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 78.6 | | 84.0 | | 79 | 21 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,334 | | 83 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 72.2 | | 79.1 | | 72 | 27 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,884 | * | 82 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 62.6 | | 71.9 | | 63 | 36 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 29,057 | | 81 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 52.5 | | 64.4 | | 53 | 44 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 52,383 | * | 80 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 41.8 | | 56.4 | | 42 | 51 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,968 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 31.3 | | 48.4 | | 31 | 56 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 142,609 | * | 78 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 21.5 | | 41.2 | | 22 | 58 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 210,185 | * | 77 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 13.8 | | 35.4 | | 14 | 55 | 29 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 298,101 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 7.8 | | 30.8 | | 8 | 48 | 40 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 431,198 | * | 75 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 4.1 | | 28.1 | | 4 | 40 | 48 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 303,808 | * | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 3.6 | | 27.7 | | 4 | 37 | 49 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 248,734 | | 74 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 1.7 | | 26.3 | | 2 | 28 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 567,909 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | 1.7 | | 26.3 | | 2 | 27 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 129,629 | * | 73 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.6 | | 25.4 | | 1 | 17 | 55 | 25 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 610,610 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.7 | | 25.5 | | 1 | 19 | 56 | 23 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 252,560 | * | 72 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.2 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 11 | 51 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 595,266 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.2 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 9 | 50 | 36 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 378,698 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 5 | 42 | 43 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 854,033 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 5 | 43 | 43 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 228,528 | * | 70 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 24.6 | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 732,813 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 24.7 | | 0 | 2 | 33 | 48 | 16 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 426,959 | * | 69 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 24.0 | | 0 | 1 | 21 | 48 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 744,406 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 23.9 | | 0 | 1 | 19 | 48 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 407,383 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 22.4 | | | 0 | 11 | 42 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 924,523 | * | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 22.8 | | | 0 | 13 | 44 | 34 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,003 | * | 67 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 19.4 | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 42 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 610,045 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 20.2 | | | 0 | 6 | 33 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 431,677 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 15.9 | | | 0 | 2 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 597,330 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 15.3 | | | 0 | 2 | 19 | 41 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 307,955 | * | 65 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 10.5 | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 32 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 616,481 | * | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | 11.6 | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 35 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 146,183 | | 64 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 5.5 | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 36 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 358,459 | * | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 6.4 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 36 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 250,717 | | 63 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 2.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 297,845 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | 2.3 | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 154,379 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 322,428 | * | 61 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 131,150 | | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 0.2 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 85,696 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | No | 132,274 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 32 | 24 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 76,502 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 41,039 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 18,874 | * | 56 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,758 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | No | 2,870 | | 54 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 17 | 6 | 2 | | | | | No | 753 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 14 | 27 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | 0.1 | % | 1,623 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.3 | % | 21.4 | % | 2 | 10 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |