Dover Athletic Title Chances 2012-2013Beat Bath City 2-0, title odds up 0.2 to 1.2% 53 points 16-5-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | +0.6 | | +2.1 | | No | | +0.4 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.3 | | -0.2 | | | | | | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.3 | | | | -0.1 | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | | | -0.2 | | | | | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | +0.2 | | | | | | Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | -0.7-0.4+1.0 | | -1.8-0.4+2.1 | | | | -0.3-0.1+0.4 | | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Sutton United vs Bromley | | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | +0.7-0.5-0.8 | | +1.6-0.9-2.3 | | | | +0.3-0.2-0.4 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.4+0.4+0.9 | | -0.3+0.3+0.6 | | | | | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.4+0.3+0.8 | | -0.3+0.2+0.6 | | | | | | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.2+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Hayes and Y vs Sutton United | | | +0.1*+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Bromley vs Truro City | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Dover Athletic finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 89 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 82.8 | % | 87.1 | % | 83 | 17 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,278 | | 87 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 68.0 | | 76.0 | | 68 | 32 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,446 | | 86 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 57.1 | | 67.8 | | 57 | 42 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,396 | | 85 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 50.6 | | 62.9 | | 51 | 48 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,764 | | 84 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 38.7 | | 54.0 | | 39 | 57 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,072 | | 83 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 29.6 | | 47.2 | | 30 | 64 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 59,649 | * | 82 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 20.6 | | 40.4 | | 21 | 66 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 123,867 | | 81 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 13.1 | | 34.8 | | 13 | 64 | 22 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 189,993 | * | 80 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 8.0 | | 31.0 | | 8 | 59 | 30 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 272,979 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 4.2 | | 28.2 | | 4 | 50 | 41 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 423,632 | * | 78 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 1.7 | | 26.3 | | 2 | 36 | 51 | 12 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 289,965 | | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 2.2 | | 26.7 | | 2 | 42 | 47 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255,129 | | 77 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.9 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 28 | 54 | 16 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 585,889 | | | 8 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 0.7 | | 25.5 | | 1 | 26 | 54 | 18 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 112,746 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.3 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 17 | 54 | 27 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 669,793 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 0.4 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 21 | 55 | 23 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 209,030 | | 75 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 0.1 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 11 | 51 | 34 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 598,063 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 0.1 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 9 | 49 | 38 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 395,674 | * | 74 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 6 | 42 | 45 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 902,534 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 6 | 43 | 44 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 205,935 | * | 73 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 2 | 31 | 52 | 14 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 764,127 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 3 | 35 | 50 | 12 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 418,946 | * | 72 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 1 | 24 | 54 | 20 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 777,710 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 1 | 22 | 55 | 21 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 392,721 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 24.5 | | | 0 | 15 | 53 | 30 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 940,720 | * | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 24.6 | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 53 | 28 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 198,255 | | 70 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 23.8 | | | 0 | 8 | 47 | 41 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 583,292 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 23.9 | | | 0 | 9 | 47 | 39 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 461,161 | * | 69 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 22.6 | | | 0 | 4 | 38 | 48 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 622,961 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 22.4 | | | 0 | 4 | 37 | 48 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 279,423 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 20.1 | | | 0 | 2 | 27 | 52 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 551,772 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 20.5 | | | 0 | 2 | 28 | 52 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 206,920 | * | 67 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 16.4 | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 49 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 303,217 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 17.2 | | | 0 | 1 | 18 | 50 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 297,241 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 12.6 | | | | 0 | 9 | 41 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 312,144 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | 12.3 | | | | 0 | 8 | 41 | 37 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 136,458 | * | 65 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 8.0 | | | | 0 | 4 | 28 | 40 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 321,642 | * | 64 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | 3.9 | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 35 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,054 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 4.6 | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 31 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 111,559 | * | 63 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 1.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 137,737 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 0.5 | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,861 | * | 61 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,635 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 21 | 32 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 23,880 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 11,419 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,990 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 3 | 12 | 30 | 31 | 19 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,933 | * | 56 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 610 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 4 | 19 | 30 | 30 | 13 | 3 | | | | | | | No | 195 | | 54 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 9 | 26 | 30 | 13 | 13 | 4 | | | | | | No | 23 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 9 | 24 | 37 | 21 | 7 | 1 | | | | | No | 1,528 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.2 | % | 23.2 | % | 1 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 20 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |