Dorchester Town Title Chances 2012-2013
Lost to Bromley 1-2, title odds down 0.004 to 0.0009%
44 points 13-5-12
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | -0.8 | -0.7 | ||||||
| Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | +0.1 | |||||||
| Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | -0.2 | |||||||
| Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | -0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | -0.1 | |||||||
| Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | +0.1 | +0.0 | ||||||
| Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | +0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | NoNo+0.0 | -0.5-0.2+0.7 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | -0.8-0.1+1.0 | ||||
| Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||||
| Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | +0.0NoNo | +1.0-0.2-0.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | +1.1-0.1-0.7 | ||||
| Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | +0.0No-0.0 | +0.7-0.2-0.6 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | +1.0-0.2-0.9 | ||||
| Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||||
| Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Eastbourne vs Farnborough | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||||
| Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||||
| Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Sutton United vs Truro City | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | |||||||
| Bromley vs Truro City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | |||||||
| Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | |||||||
| Welling United vs Tonbridge | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Dorchester Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 80 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 7.0 | % | 30.2 | % | 7 | 55 | 35 | 3 | 0 | No | 1,537 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 1.6 | 26.2 | 2 | 30 | 56 | 11 | 1 | No | 187 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.6 | 25.2 | 1 | 20 | 56 | 22 | 2 | No | 309 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 24.9 | 15 | 57 | 26 | 2 | No | 790 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.1 | 25.0 | 0 | 7 | 43 | 42 | 8 | 0 | No | 2,681 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 24.8 | 4 | 34 | 47 | 14 | 1 | No | 4,452 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 24.5 | 1 | 23 | 51 | 22 | 2 | 0 | No | 10,761 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 0.0 | 23.7 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 47 | 33 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 21,566 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 22.5 | 0 | 8 | 40 | 41 | 10 | 0 | 0 | No | 36,036 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 20.2 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 48 | 18 | 1 | 0 | No | 68,874 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 16.9 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 47 | 29 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 110,686 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 13.1 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 40 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 168,223 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 8.7 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 48 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 265,090 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 5.7 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 48 | 24 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 188,906 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 4.4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 47 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 177,952 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 2.5 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 40 | 36 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 495,224 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 481,043 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 1.2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 30 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 180,061 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.3 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 36 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 473,596 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.2 | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 327,269 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 24 | 36 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 834,433 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 116,947 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 713,482 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 32 | 32 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 378,106 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 731,691 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 33 | 30 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 426,485 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 919,323 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 191,344 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 85,616 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 722,346 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 466,076 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 707,725 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 385,941 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 735,892 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 238,292 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 489,412 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 34 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 336,605 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 457,397 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 190,112 | |||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 486,504 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 214,425 | |||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 130,633 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 221,843 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 134,217 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0.9 | 75,298 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 33 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 3.8 | 36,290 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 28 | 10 | 1 | 11.6 | 15,867 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 4 | 27.0 | 6,000 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 14 | 34 | 36 | 14 | 49.4 | 1,693 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 1 | 5 | 25 | 42 | 27 | 69.1 | 1,730 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 1.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 13,466,968 | ||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
