How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Rotherham 1 Derby 0 -1.3
-3.3
+0.5
-0.7
Norwich 1 Middlesbrough 0 +0.3
+0.3
Swansea 0 Nottingham 0 +0.1
+0.2
Bolton 1 QPR 2 +0.1
+0.3
+0.1
Millwall 1 Leeds 1 +0.1
+0.1
Brentford 2 Wigan 0 -0.1
-0.1
Bristol City 1 Sheffield Utd 0 -0.1
Birmingham 1 West Brom 1 +0.1
Sheffield Wed 2 Stoke 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Derby vs Blackburn+0.9-0.7-1.4
+2.7-2.2-4.4
-0.8+0.5+1.4
+0.8-0.6-1.3
Leeds vs Preston-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.3+0.3+0.5
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Middlesbrough vs Bolton-0.1+0.2+0.2
-0.2+0.2+0.3
Ipswich vs Brentford+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.3*+0.1-0.4
+0.1*-0.0-0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Birmingham-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Stoke vs Swansea+0.1*-0.0-0.1
+0.2*+0.0-0.3
+0.0*-0.0-0.1
West Brom vs Bristol City*-0.0+0.1-0.1
Wigan vs Hull City-0.1+0.1+0.1
Aston Villa vs Rotherham-0.1*+0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Derby vs Brentford+1.2-0.6-1.4
+3.5-1.6-4.1
-0.9+0.3+1.1
+0.9-0.4-1.1
Leeds vs Birmingham-0.2+0.2+0.3
-0.2+0.2+0.4
-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Middlesbrough vs Swansea-0.1+0.1+0.2
-0.1+0.2+0.1
Wigan vs Bristol City+0.1*+0.0-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
West Brom vs Millwall-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.2+0.2
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Sheffield Utd vs Preston-0.0*+0.0+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.3
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Ipswich vs Bolton+0.1*+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Aston Villa vs Sheffield Wed*-0.0+0.1-0.1
QPR vs Norwich+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stoke vs Blackburn+0.0*-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Derby finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotionCount
98-129YesYes100No658*
9726-7-696.9%Yes973No127*
9626-6-798.8Yes991No245*
9525-8-697.4Yes973No349*
9425-7-798.5Yes982No584*
9325-6-897.4Yes973No920*
9224-8-794.999.9%9550No1,420*
9124-7-894.199.89460No1,995*
9024-6-991.099.79190No2,973*
8923-8-888.299.788110No4,515*
8823-7-984.299.4841510No6,301*
8722-9-879.798.9801910No8,739*
8622-8-973.598.1742420No12,119*
8522-7-1066.196.86630400No16,484*
8421-9-958.594.65934700No22,026*
8321-8-1050.791.8513810100No28,928*
8221-7-1141.387.4414214200No37,461*
8120-9-1032.381.5324320400No47,525*
8020-8-1124.174.4244226710No59,470*
7919-10-1016.766.3173831112000No72,287*
7819-9-1110.757.411323417510No87,836*
7719-8-126.448.462535248200No104,737*
7618-10-113.440.2317322914410No122,623*
7518-9-121.633.721126322171000No141,501*
7418-8-130.628.516193127134100No159,607*
7317-10-120.224.4031125302082000No178,679*
7217-9-130.120.50161729271551000No196,170*
7117-8-140.016.100210222923113000No212,006*
7016-10-130.011.200141426281872000No225,326*
6916-9-140.06.5000171727251551000No235,241*
6815-11-13No3.00029212823124100No242,043*
6715-10-14No1.10001412232721103100No245,204*
6615-9-15No0.3001514242719820000No243,986*
6514-11-14No0.0000161625261772000No239,539*
6414-10-15No0.0000271726251561000No231,027*
6314-9-16NoNo000281927241451000No218,108*
6213-11-15NoNo00039202723134100No203,835*
6113-10-16NoNo001310212722114100No186,566*
6013-9-17NoNo001412222721103100No168,908*
5912-11-16NoNo001513232719930000.0%150,096*
5812-10-17NoNo001615242618820000.0130,216*
5712-9-18NoNo000271726251661000.2111,777*
5611-11-17NoNo000281927241341000.894,093*
5511-10-18NoNo001311222821103003.077,965*
5411-9-19NoNo0015142628187108.163,210*
5310-11-18NoNo0027192926133017.349,805*
5210-10-19NoNo0013112430228130.439,461*
5110-9-20NoNo001617302914346.430,380*
509-11-19NoNo00210253422661.622,453*
499-10-20NoNo0151834311075.316,822*
489-9-21NoNo0031231371785.112,486*
478-11-20NoNo01626422592.28,746*
468-10-21NoNo0418433595.96,132*
458-9-22NoNo00213404597.64,110*
447-11-21NoNo18355699.42,786*
437-10-22NoNo04316599.71,740*
427-9-23NoNo03267199.71,198*
416-11-22NoNo12079Yes692*
406-10-23NoNo11188Yes435*
396-9-24NoNo1792Yes255*
385-11-23NoNo595Yes148*
375-10-24NoNo496Yes90*
12-36NoNo100Yes596*
Total:3.2%14.2%3566777766655444332211102.2%4,793,760

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship