Derby Title Chances 2018-2019
Tied Brentford 3-3, title odds unchanged at 0%
60 points 16-12-11
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/6 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Norwich 4 QPR 0 | *No | |||||
| Sheffield Wed 1 Aston Villa 3 | -0.9 | -0.1 | ||||
| Bristol City 2 Wigan 2 | +0.5 | +0.1 | ||||
| Swansea 3 Middlesbrough 1 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| Rotherham 2 Nottingham Forest 1 | +0.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| Preston 0 Sheffield Utd 1 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Hull City 3 Reading 1 | -0.0 | |||||
| Brentford 3 Derby 3 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Blackburn vs Derby | -3.1-0.8+4.2 | -0.7-0.1+0.9 | ||||
| Bristol City vs West Brom | -1.0+0.4+1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Rotherham vs Aston Villa | +1.1+0.3-0.8 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Bolton vs Middlesbrough | +0.6+0.4-0.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Sheffield Wed vs Nottingham Forest | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Preston vs Leeds | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Swansea vs Stoke City | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Hull City vs Wigan | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Birmingham vs Sheffield Utd | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Derby vs Bolton | +1.6-2.9-4.7 | +0.4-0.7-1.3 | ||||
| Middlesbrough vs Hull City | -0.3+0.4+0.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Nottingham Forest vs Blackburn | -0.2+0.2+0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| West Brom vs Preston | +0.1+0.0-0.3 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Aston Villa vs Bristol City | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | |||||
| QPR vs Swansea | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Leeds vs Sheffield Wed | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Derby finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegation | Count | |||||
| 81 | 7 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 25.0 | % | 0 | 4 | 74 | 22 | 0 | No | 6,652,929 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 6 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 48 | 50 | 2 | 0 | No | 31,215,631 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 6 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 25.0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 62 | 5 | 0 | No | 52,578,304 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 25.0 | 0 | 21 | 69 | 9 | 0 | No | 69,244,384 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 5 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 24.8 | 0 | 10 | 67 | 22 | 1 | 0 | No | 228,412,746 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 5 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 23.9 | 4 | 55 | 37 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 184,895,431 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 24.5 | 5 | 61 | 32 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 82,930,180 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 22.8 | 1 | 44 | 46 | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 400,333,472 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 4 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 19.2 | 0 | 25 | 52 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 630,317,196 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 21.0 | 0 | 31 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 57,767,539 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 15.9 | 0 | 15 | 49 | 31 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 361,720,076 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 13.8 | 0 | 11 | 44 | 37 | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 322,265,424 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 9.7 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 44 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 827,487,376 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 0 | No | 12.2 | 0 | 8 | 41 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 23,381,244 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 4.4 | 0 | 1 | 16 | 43 | 31 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 814,983,708 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 4 | - | 1 | No | 5.9 | 0 | 2 | 21 | 44 | 27 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 177,450,304 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 1.9 | 0 | 7 | 32 | 39 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 522,326,021 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 1.3 | 0 | 5 | 28 | 40 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 289,146,411 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 6 | - | 0 | No | 2.8 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,083,544 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 36 | 32 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 739,926,107 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 5 | - | 1 | No | 0.7 | 0 | 3 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 44,784,268 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 34 | 28 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 498,986,761 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 23 | 36 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 158,523,796 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 7 | - | 0 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 28 | 36 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 459,040 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 286,042,588 | |||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 125,980,070 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 6 | - | 1 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,545,767 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 273,799,437 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 18,537,309 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 33 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 129,052,365 | |||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 39,885,961 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 48,161,889 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 35 | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 22,548,754 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 32 | 34 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 31,963,990 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 39 | 32 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 10,456,107 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 28 | 45 | 19 | 2 | 0 | No | 2,042,879 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 8.4 | % | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12 | 20 | 22 | 17 | 11 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 7,523,889,008 | ||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:11 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
