How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Dartford 1 Nuneaton Town 2 -0.1
-0.3
+5.4
-0.7
Luton Town 3 Dartford 0 -0.0
-0.1
+4.8
-0.6
Cambridge United 1 Gateshead FC 0 -0.3
+0.0
Nuneaton Town 2 Hereford United 1 -0.2
Aldershot Town 3 Barnet 3 -0.1
Welling United 5 Forest Green Ro 2 +0.3
Macclesfield Town 0 Alfreton Town 1 -0.5
Tamworth 0 Kidderminster H 3 -0.3
Kidderminster H 2 Hyde FC 1 -0.3
Salisbury City 3 Chester FC 1 -0.3
Hyde FC 0 Woking 2 +0.2
FC Halifax Town 4 Grimsby Town 0 +0.2
Lincoln City FC 1 Southport 0 -0.2
Southport 2 Welling United 2 *-0.1
Chester FC 2 Macclesfield Town 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/21100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town vs Dartford-0.0-0.0+0.1
+5.2+0.1-9.5
-0.5-0.0+0.9
Dartford vs Kidderminster H+0.1-0.0-0.1
-8.3+1.1+6.0
+0.8-0.1-0.6
Nuneaton Town vs Salisbury City-0.1*+0.0+0.1
Salisbury City vs Hyde FC-0.3-0.1+0.7
Welling United vs Aldershot Town-0.3-0.1+0.4
Barnet vs Macclesfield Town-0.5*+0.0+1.0
+0.0+0.0-0.1
Forest Green Ro vs Tamworth-0.4+0.0+0.8
Woking vs Luton Town+0.7-0.1-0.5
Hereford United vs Lincoln City FC+0.3-0.1-0.3
Hyde FC vs Welling United+0.5-0.2-0.3
Chester FC vs Grimsby Town+0.7-0.2-0.6
Southport vs Alfreton Town+0.2-0.1-0.2
FC Halifax Town vs Hereford United-0.2-0.0+0.3
Alfreton Town vs Barnet+0.1-0.0-0.1
Kidderminster H vs FC Halifax Town-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Aldershot Town vs Wrexham+0.2-0.2-0.2
Braintree Town vs Southport*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Macclesfield Town vs Woking+0.2-0.3-0.0
Gateshead FC vs Chester FC+0.1-0.4+0.2
Tamworth vs Gateshead FC*+0.0-0.3+0.2
Wrexham vs Braintree Town+0.1-0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Dartford finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324RelegatedCount
88-118YesYes100No32,620*
8526-0-11NoNo100No1
8225-0-1225.0%25.0%252550No4
7924-0-1310.030.010503010No10
7623-0-14No18.214272714145No22
7322-0-15No14.32184118184No56
7021-0-16No2.61111327251644No114
6720-0-17NoNo1221623242371No172
6419-0-18NoNo0472528221221No314
6118-0-19NoNo1282026271331No453
5817-0-20NoNo0151425261991No544
5516-0-21NoNo16152630184104.5%618
5215-0-22NoNo26193228122041.0636
4914-0-23NoNo00415303216280.3608
4613-0-24NoNo11234381498.7477
454-26-7NoNo100Yes1
4312-0-25NoNo3184335Yes364
423-26-8NoNo3367Yes3
413-25-9NoNo5050Yes2
4011-0-26NoNo072864Yes218
393-23-11NoNo43164Yes70
3810-1-26NoNo22573Yes2,217*
3710-0-27NoNo1882Yes118*
362-23-12NoNo61778Yes18
359-1-27NoNo01189Yes1,213*
3412-1-24NoNo00523442799.55,290*
332-20-15NoNo031185Yes453*
322-19-16NoNo496Yes1,392*
317-3-27NoNo0021286100.013,541*
302-17-18NoNo0298Yes4,373*
292-16-19NoNo298Yes4,242*
285-6-26NoNo0199Yes42,440*
273-11-23NoNo000199100.035,774*
263-10-24NoNo000133210028688.769,439*
254-6-27NoNo0100Yes16,163*
243-8-26NoNo00100100.017,388*
233-7-27NoNo0298Yes13,351*
227-4-26NoNo00496Yes40,236*
212-8-27NoNo100Yes2,465*
2014-1-22NoNo01619292281472.79,312*
192-6-29NoNo100Yes571*
183-12-22NoNo199Yes33,635*
1713-1-23NoNo015203629994.47,078*
15-16NoNo100Yes66*
144-25-8NoNo14212936Yes14*
131-3-33NoNo100Yes2*
106-5-26NoNo00397Yes42,497*
93-13-21NoNo011089Yes50,582*
84-19-14NoNo032770Yes8,774
70-0-37NoNo00100Yes45,791*
64-17-160.00.00011782100.036,219*
58-4-250.00.00001090100.0101,584*
48-3-260.00.000892100.028,069*
33-17-170.10.10079399.911,401*
23-16-180.10.100059599.917,812*
16-6-250.00.0000397100.0132,966*
05-8-240.00.0000298100.0296,489*
-14-10-230.10.100019999.9185,862*
-24-9-240.30.3000019999.666,824*
-34-8-250.80.910009898.939,931*
-424-7-662.271.6623260No712*
-524-6-754.065.5543780No1,272*
-623-8-644.558.344421310No2,259*
-723-7-737.953.438441620No3,746*
-823-6-829.046.7294322500No6,212*
-922-8-720.740.5214328710No10,004*
-1022-7-814.936.115383212200No16,512*
-1122-6-99.632.1103236174000No26,089*
-1221-8-85.528.862536248100No39,952*
-1321-7-92.926.23173429133000No61,364*
-1420-9-81.424.01112832207100No91,652*
-1520-8-90.521.516203226123000No137,198*
-1620-7-100.218.4031327301871000No199,630*
-1719-9-90.014.4017203025134100No286,642*
-1819-8-100.010.00031225292082000No403,830*
-1919-7-110.06.000161728261551000No561,881*
-2018-9-100.03.0000292128231141000No769,836*
-2118-8-11No1.200141324271982000No1,038,833*
-2218-7-12No0.40001616262616620000No1,379,735*
-2317-9-11No0.1000281927241351000No1,805,281*
-2417-8-12No0.00013112227221131000No2,323,846*
-2516-10-11No0.00001413242719920000No2,948,658*
-2616-9-12No0.00000161525261772000No3,686,279*
-2716-8-13NoNo0000271726251551000No4,535,189*
-2815-10-12NoNo0000392027231341000No5,496,591*
-2915-9-13NoNo000131122272110300000.06,552,967*
-3015-8-14NoNo000015132427198200000.07,705,870*
-3114-10-13NoNo00001616262616610000.08,908,139*
-3214-9-14NoNo00002819282413410000.110,142,301*
-3314-8-15NoNo0001311232921920000.311,378,991*
-3413-10-14NoNo0001515262817610001.312,548,856*
-3513-9-15NoNo0000281929251330003.913,645,293*
-3613-8-16NoNo0000131224302182009.614,596,394*
-3712-10-15NoNo000161729281540019.215,363,157*
-3812-9-16NoNo000021024312381032.515,913,313*
-3912-8-17NoNo00015163030153048.016,218,743*
-4011-10-16NoNo00002102533237163.316,244,838*
-4111-9-17NoNo0001518333012276.316,019,355*
-4210-11-16NoNo0000211293519386.115,524,142*
-4310-10-17NoNo00017223727692.514,781,537*
-4410-9-18NoNo000031636341096.313,847,200*
-459-11-17NoNo00021032401698.312,743,412*
-469-10-18NoNo001626442399.311,513,182*
-479-9-19NoNo000320453199.710,224,787*
-488-11-18NoNo00214444099.98,903,848*
-498-10-19NoNo001104149100.07,616,378*
-508-9-20NoNo00063658100.06,390,126*
-517-11-19NoNo00043166100.05,239,196*
-527-10-20NoNo0022573100.04,225,706*
-537-9-21NoNo0012079100.03,345,063*
-547-8-22NoNo0011584100.02,541,917*
-556-10-21NoNo001288Yes1,870,498*
-566-9-22NoNo00991Yes1,421,076*
-576-8-23NoNo00694Yes1,032,778*
-585-10-22NoNo0496Yes684,380*
-595-9-23NoNo0397Yes366,167*
Total:0.0%0.1%0000000111122344578101113141350.9%314,765,712

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship