How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 +2.2
+3.3
-2.3
+1.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 +1.2
+2.1
-3.7
+1.0
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
+0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
+0.1
*-0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 +0.1
+0.1
-0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
+0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.3+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.1+0.2-0.2
+0.0+0.2-0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
Salford City vs FC United of Ma-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Chorley vs Bradford Park A-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883-2.7-0.8+3.4
-3.5-0.9+4.4
+1.2+0.1-1.4
-0.9-0.2+1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley+2.8-1.1-2.9
+3.8-1.4-3.9
-1.3+0.3+1.4
+0.9-0.3-1.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.0
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.2
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
AFC Fylde vs Salford City+0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.0+0.2-0.1
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
Stockport County vs Brackley Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.2-0.0
Chorley vs Boston United-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford-0.0+0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Darlington 1883 finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
102-124YesYes100No205,759*
10130-4-5100.0%100.0%1000No2,895*
10029-6-4100.0100.01000No5,064*
9929-5-5100.0100.01000No8,835*
9829-4-6100.0100.01000No14,966*
9728-6-5100.0100.01000No25,307*
9628-5-699.9100.01000No42,023*
9528-4-799.999.91000No67,087*
9427-6-699.999.91000No105,854*
9327-5-799.999.91000No165,681*
9226-7-699.899.91000No253,687*
9126-6-799.899.81000No382,555*
9026-5-899.799.81000No566,578*
8925-7-799.599.710000No826,129*
8825-6-899.399.59910No1,182,862*
8725-5-999.099.29910No1,671,643*
8624-7-898.598.89820No2,322,594*
8524-6-997.798.398200No3,179,309*
8423-8-896.697.597300No4,291,099*
8323-7-995.196.395500No5,700,317*
8223-6-1093.094.893700No7,455,165*
8122-8-990.292.7909000No9,620,326*
8022-7-1086.689.98713100No12,234,565*
7922-6-1181.886.48217100No15,331,563*
7821-8-1075.981.976222000No18,938,141*
7721-7-1168.876.669274000No23,061,042*
7621-6-1260.470.360336100No27,709,206*
7520-8-1151.163.35138101000No32,796,680*
7420-7-1241.255.941411520000No38,302,096*
7319-9-1131.348.5314221510000No44,111,974*
7219-8-1222.241.6224027920000No50,070,646*
7119-7-1314.335.61435321430000No56,093,787*
7018-9-128.330.98283421710000No61,965,636*
6918-8-134.227.241932271331000No67,521,796*
6818-7-141.824.02112631208200000No72,555,623*
6717-9-130.620.51618292714510000No76,914,157*
6617-8-140.216.2021023292210300000No80,388,786*
6517-7-150.011.1014142628187200000No82,890,212*
6416-9-140.06.30016172726156100000No84,310,538*
6316-8-150.02.70002820272413410000No84,569,456*
6216-7-160.00.8000031021272211410000No83,659,146*
6115-9-15No0.2000141122272110310000No81,605,819*
6015-8-16No0.000014122327209300000No78,489,729*
5914-10-15No0.0000015132427198200000No74,444,281*
5814-9-16No0.00000151425271882000000.0%69,632,950*
5714-8-17No0.0000015152527187200000.064,195,745*
5613-10-16NoNo0000016162626176100000.058,358,333*
5513-9-17NoNo00002717272615510000.052,277,991*
5413-8-18NoNo000002819272514410000.146,163,361*
5312-10-17NoNo00003102128231130000.540,180,415*
5212-9-18NoNo000141224292192002.234,439,904*
5112-8-19NoNo000015152728176106.729,079,397*
5011-10-18NoNo000028193026123015.624,189,237*
4911-9-19NoNo00003122531217128.919,820,318*
4811-8-20NoNo00001618312913245.015,992,267*
4710-10-19NoNo0000210263422561.112,683,982*
4610-9-20NoNo0000151935301074.89,918,362*
4510-8-21NoNo00021231381685.07,627,451*
449-10-20NoNo0001725422591.85,770,422*
439-9-21NoNo0000419433495.84,290,766*
429-8-22NoNo000213414498.03,140,413*
418-10-21NoNo00018375499.12,252,108*
408-9-22NoNo0005316399.61,590,960*
398-8-23NoNo003257199.91,102,819*
387-10-22NoNo002207899.9750,522*
377-9-23NoNo0011584100.0502,029*
367-8-24NoNo001188100.0328,306*
356-10-23NoNo00892100.0210,285*
346-9-24NoNo00694100.0132,526*
336-8-25NoNo0496Yes81,317*
326-7-26NoNo0397Yes48,735*
315-9-25NoNo0298Yes28,805*
305-8-26NoNo199Yes16,562*
295-7-27NoNo199Yes9,312*
284-9-26NoNo0100Yes5,286*
274-8-27NoNo0100Yes2,669*
264-7-28NoNo0100Yes1,441*
7-25NoNo100Yes203,862*
Total:10.1%17.8%109877665554443333222113.4%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship