Darlington 1883 Title ChancesBeat Curzon Ashton 2-1, title odds up 3.8 to 10.1% 7 points 2-1-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 | +2.2 | | +3.3 | | -2.3 | | +1.1 | | Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 | +1.2 | | +2.1 | | -3.7 | | +1.0 | | Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | | | Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | *-0.1 | | | | FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 | | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Bradford Park A 1 Nuneaton Town 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Boston United vs Tamworth | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.3+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Worcester City vs Gloucester City | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town | +0.1+0.2-0.2 | | +0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Salford City vs FC United of Ma | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Altrincham vs AFC Fylde | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Chorley vs Bradford Park A | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 8/20 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883 | -2.7-0.8+3.4 | | -3.5-0.9+4.4 | | +1.2+0.1-1.4 | | -0.9-0.2+1.0 | | Darlington 1883 vs Chorley | +2.8-1.1-2.9 | | +3.8-1.4-3.9 | | -1.3+0.3+1.4 | | +0.9-0.3-1.0 | | Nuneaton Town vs Salford City | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | FC United of Ma vs Worcester City | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | AFC Fylde vs Salford City | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Stockport County vs Brackley Town | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.2-0.0 | | | | | | Chorley vs Boston United | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford | | | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Darlington 1883 finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 102 | -124 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 205,759 | * | 101 | | 30 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 100.0 | % | 100.0 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,895 | * | 100 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,064 | * | 99 | | 29 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,835 | * | 98 | | 29 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,966 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,307 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,023 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,087 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,854 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 165,681 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 253,687 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 382,555 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 99.7 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 566,578 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 826,129 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.3 | | 99.5 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,182,862 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 99.0 | | 99.2 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,671,643 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.5 | | 98.8 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,322,594 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 97.7 | | 98.3 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,179,309 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 96.6 | | 97.5 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,291,099 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 95.1 | | 96.3 | | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,700,317 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 93.0 | | 94.8 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,455,165 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 90.2 | | 92.7 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,620,326 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 86.6 | | 89.9 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,234,565 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 81.8 | | 86.4 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 15,331,563 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 75.9 | | 81.9 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,938,141 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 68.8 | | 76.6 | | 69 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,061,042 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 60.4 | | 70.3 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,709,206 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 51.1 | | 63.3 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,796,680 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 7 | - | 12 | 41.2 | | 55.9 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,302,096 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 31.3 | | 48.5 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 44,111,974 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 22.2 | | 41.6 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 50,070,646 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 7 | - | 13 | 14.3 | | 35.6 | | 14 | 35 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 56,093,787 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 8.3 | | 30.9 | | 8 | 28 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 61,965,636 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 4.2 | | 27.2 | | 4 | 19 | 32 | 27 | 13 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 67,521,796 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 7 | - | 14 | 1.8 | | 24.0 | | 2 | 11 | 26 | 31 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 72,555,623 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.6 | | 20.5 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 27 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,914,157 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 8 | - | 14 | 0.2 | | 16.2 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 29 | 22 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 80,388,786 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 7 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 11.1 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 82,890,212 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 6.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 84,310,538 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 8 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 2.7 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 27 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 84,569,456 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 16 | 0.0 | | 0.8 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 83,659,146 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 81,605,819 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 78,489,729 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 74,444,281 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 69,632,950 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 27 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 64,195,745 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 58,358,333 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 52,277,991 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 46,163,361 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.5 | | 40,180,415 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 9 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | | 34,439,904 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 6.7 | | 29,079,397 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 30 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 15.6 | | 24,189,237 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 9 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 31 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28.9 | | 19,820,318 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 18 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 2 | 45.0 | | 15,992,267 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 5 | 61.1 | | 12,683,982 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 9 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 30 | 10 | 74.8 | | 9,918,362 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 38 | 16 | 85.0 | | 7,627,451 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 25 | 42 | 25 | 91.8 | | 5,770,422 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 9 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 34 | 95.8 | | 4,290,766 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 41 | 44 | 98.0 | | 3,140,413 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 37 | 54 | 99.1 | | 2,252,108 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 9 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 99.6 | | 1,590,960 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 71 | 99.9 | | 1,102,819 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 99.9 | | 750,522 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 100.0 | | 502,029 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 88 | 100.0 | | 328,306 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 210,285 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | 100.0 | | 132,526 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 81,317 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | Yes | 48,735 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 9 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 28,805 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 16,562 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 9,312 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 9 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 5,286 | * | 27 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,669 | * | 26 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,441 | * | 7 | -25 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 203,862 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 10.1 | % | 17.8 | % | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3.4 | % | 1,791,089,472 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |