How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Darlington 1 Blyth Spartans 1 -0.6
-1.1
+1.2
-0.5
Chorley 4 Southport 0 -0.2
-0.2
-0.2
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1 +0.1
+0.1
Hereford 2 Leamington 1 -0.1
-0.1
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1 -0.1
-0.1
Altrincham 1 FC United 2 *+0.1
+0.3
Ashton United 0 York City 2 +0.1
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 -0.6
-1.2
+1.8
-0.7
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Chorley 1 Hereford 0 -0.1
Bradford Park A 1 Stockport County 1 +0.1
Leamington 2 Guiseley 2 +0.1
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.1
York City 1 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Darlington finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
10632-0-0100.0%100.0%1000No181,288
92-95YesYes100No14*
9126-3-381.081.08119No21*
9025-5-289.589.58911No38*
8925-4-389.890.89010No98*
8825-3-486.288.48614No181*
8724-5-385.287.58515No391*
8624-4-475.479.575240No806*
8523-6-371.676.372280No1,720*
8423-5-464.170.164351No3,311*
8323-4-561.467.961371No6,269*
8222-6-453.861.5544420No12,007*
8122-5-546.755.6475030No21,638*
8022-4-639.749.7405550No38,573*
7921-6-532.744.0335980No66,996*
7821-5-626.638.827611210No114,306*
7720-7-520.533.720621610No189,309*
7620-6-615.029.2156122200No308,957*
7520-5-710.625.5115628400No491,949*
7419-7-67.022.5750358100No766,641*
7319-6-74.220.24424012200No1,171,999*
7219-5-82.418.623342183000No1,755,867*
7118-7-71.217.712442257100No2,577,879*
7018-6-80.517.11163831122000No3,707,187*
6917-8-70.216.80930351951000No5,225,759*
6817-7-80.116.705223526102000No7,225,745*
6717-6-90.016.5021329311851000No9,791,832*
6616-8-80.016.10172131251130000No13,016,302*
6516-7-90.015.10031326301972000No16,958,960*
6416-6-100.013.300161829261451000No21,678,348*
6315-8-90.010.40002922292311310000No27,180,819*
6215-7-10No6.9001413242820820000No33,423,524*
6115-6-11No3.700016162627176200000No40,299,729*
6014-8-10No1.500002718272514510000No47,703,230*
5914-7-11No0.50000292028231241000No55,353,540*
5813-9-10No0.100013112228221030000No63,022,697*
5713-8-11No0.000001413242820820000No70,346,575*
5613-7-12No0.000000151526271761000No77,026,856*
5512-9-11No0.000001717282615510000.0%82,700,138*
5412-8-12No0.000002920292412300000.087,062,798*
5312-7-13NoNo0000311243021820000.089,873,268*
5211-9-12NoNo00001515282917510000.190,945,417*
5111-8-13NoNo0000171931261230000.390,220,754*
5011-7-14NoNo000031125322171001.287,707,043*
4910-9-13NoNo00015163030143003.683,566,638*
4810-8-14NoNo0000292433238108.877,960,939*
4710-7-15NoNo00004163131153017.671,292,910*
469-9-14NoNo000192535236129.963,802,502*
459-8-15NoNo0000417343112244.355,892,252*
449-7-16NoNo000210293619359.047,919,572*
438-9-15NoNo00016223828772.040,201,964*
428-8-16NoNo00031536351182.332,966,207*
418-7-17NoNo0001931411889.626,431,124*
407-9-16NoNo000524442694.420,713,531*
397-8-17NoNo000318453597.215,850,624*
387-7-18NoNo00112424598.711,838,758*
376-9-17NoNo0018385499.48,623,998*
366-8-18NoNo005326399.86,128,010*
356-7-19NoNo003267199.94,244,633*
345-9-18NoNo0012078100.02,858,700*
335-8-19NoNo011584100.01,871,151*
325-7-20NoNo001189100.01,193,614*
314-9-19NoNo00892100.0736,610*
304-8-20NoNo0595Yes442,859*
294-7-21NoNo0397Yes257,035*
283-9-20NoNo0298Yes144,382*
273-8-21NoNo0199Yes78,006*
263-7-22NoNo0199Yes40,541*
253-6-23NoNo0100Yes20,394*
242-8-22NoNo0100Yes9,834*
232-7-23NoNo0100Yes4,567*
21-22NoNo100Yes2,777*
201-7-24NoNo0100Yes311*
10-19NoNo100Yes181,450*
Total:0.0%1.3%001112234456678899875315.5%1,603,456,672

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship