"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/14100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.6
+1.5
-7.9
+1.5
Chorley 4 Southport 0 -0.3
+0.0
Stockport County 1 Guiseley 1 *+0.1
Altrincham 1 FC United 2 +0.6
Ashton United 0 York City 2 +0.3
Boston United 2 Nuneaton Town 1 -0.1
Telford United 2 Brackley Town 1 *-0.1
Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Altrincham 0 Boston United 2 -0.1
-0.1
-0.2
Spennymoor Town 2 Telford United 3 -0.1
-0.2
York City 1 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.1
-0.8
+0.1
Kidderminster H 5 Darlington 2 +0.1
Alfreton Town 3 Blyth Spartans 1 +0.1
Nuneaton Town 1 Southport 4 +0.1
Ashton United 1 Brackley Town 5 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Chester vs Kidderminster H+0.1-0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Curzon Ashton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
10832-0-0100.0%100.0%1000No556,434
95-97YesYes100No3*
9426-4-293.893.8946No16*
9326-3-394.394.3946No35*
9225-5-293.893.8946No80*
9125-4-387.789.68812No154*
9025-3-487.389.38713No338*
8924-5-386.788.98713No720*
8824-4-481.184.281190No1,484*
8723-6-375.979.976240No3,068*
8623-5-472.877.473270No6,197*
8523-4-567.372.767320No11,749*
8422-6-460.567.1603910No22,531*
8322-5-553.961.6544510No41,044*
8222-4-648.356.9484920No74,063*
8121-6-541.751.4425540No130,904*
8021-5-635.346.13559600No226,341*
7920-7-529.040.92962900No381,493*
7820-6-623.236.023641210No631,815*
7720-5-717.831.5186417100No1,022,287*
7619-7-613.127.51362232000No1,619,375*
7519-6-79.124.3957294000No2,512,234*
7419-5-86.021.6650358100No3,819,381*
7318-7-73.619.744240122000No5,693,820*
7218-6-82.018.323343194000No8,321,013*
7117-8-71.017.5124422671000No11,914,435*
7017-7-80.417.00153732122000No16,734,238*
6917-6-90.216.80930351951000No23,042,929*
6816-8-80.116.7052134261120000No31,123,044*
6716-7-90.016.502132931186100000No41,217,948*
6616-6-100.016.001621312512310000No53,571,106*
6515-8-90.015.0003122630208200000No68,264,214*
6415-7-100.013.1001617282715510000No85,381,363*
6315-6-110.010.10002921292312310000No104,723,671*
6214-8-10No6.60013122428209200000No126,008,068*
6114-7-11No3.50001515262717720000No148,724,862*
6014-6-12No1.400002717272615510000No172,225,916*
5913-8-11No0.400002820282413410000No195,603,141*
5813-7-12No0.1000003102228221130000No217,930,031*
5712-9-11No0.000001412242820920000No238,122,583*
5612-8-12No0.0000015142628187100000.0%255,228,351*
5512-7-13No0.000001617282715510000.0268,186,162*
5411-9-12No0.000002820292512300000.0276,341,724*
5311-8-13NoNo00000311243022920000.0279,135,431*
5211-7-14NoNo00001415272917510000.1276,374,628*
5110-9-13NoNo0000171930261230000.3268,234,732*
5010-8-14NoNo000021125322171001.2255,011,216*
4910-7-15NoNo000015163030153003.8237,523,426*
489-9-14NoNo0000292433248109.2216,699,902*
479-8-15NoNo00004153131153018.3193,535,352*
469-7-16NoNo000182435237130.9169,194,789*
458-9-15NoNo0000417333113245.6144,693,029*
448-8-16NoNo000210283720460.3121,061,869*
438-7-17NoNo00015213828773.299,044,697*
427-9-16NoNo00021435361283.379,193,699*
417-8-17NoNo0001930421990.461,843,321*
407-7-18NoNo000523452794.947,151,547*
396-9-17NoNo000217453697.535,094,605*
386-8-18NoNo000111424698.825,460,880*
376-7-19NoNo0007375599.518,006,093*
365-9-18NoNo0004316499.812,399,770*
355-8-19NoNo002257299.98,304,784*
345-7-20NoNo0012079100.05,410,499*
334-9-19NoNo0011585100.03,418,955*
324-8-20NoNo001089100.02,099,752*
314-7-21NoNo00793100.01,243,608*
303-9-20NoNo00595100.0713,386*
293-8-21NoNo0397Yes397,449*
283-7-22NoNo0298Yes211,376*
273-6-23NoNo0199Yes108,536*
262-8-22NoNo0199Yes54,206*
252-7-23NoNo0100Yes25,491*
242-6-24NoNo0100Yes11,220*
231-8-23NoNo0100Yes4,905*
12-22NoNo100Yes559,578*
Total:0.1%1.7%001122344556778888764212.4%4,921,643,096

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship