How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Alfreton Town 0 Curzon Ashton 1 +0.9
+1.8
-5.7
+1.2
Curzon Ashton 1 Darlington 1883 2 -0.8
-1.6
+3.7
-1.0
Tamworth 2 AFC Telford 1 -0.1
-0.1
Harrogate Town 2 Altrincham 2 +0.1
*-0.1
AFC Fylde 1 Brackley Town 1 +0.1
-0.1
Kidderminster H 0 Chorley 0 -0.1
FC Halifax Town 3 Worcester City 0 -0.1
Darlington 1883 4 Boston United 1 -0.1
Gloucester City 4 Gainsborough Tr 1 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Boston United vs Tamworth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.5-0.1-0.3
Worcester City vs Gloucester City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Stockport County vs FC Halifax Town+0.1-0.0-0.0
Gainsborough Tr vs Harrogate Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.2
Nuneaton Town vs Kidderminster H+0.2-0.1-0.1
Altrincham vs AFC Fylde+0.1-0.1-0.1
Brackley Town vs Alfreton Town-0.1-0.1+0.1
Chorley vs Bradford Park A+0.0-0.1+0.0
AFC Telford vs Stalybridge Cel+0.1-0.2-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Curzon Ashton vs AFC Telford+0.6-0.2-0.5
+1.2-0.5-1.2
-5.0+1.1+5.2
+1.0-0.3-1.0
Darlington 1883 vs Chorley-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Gloucester City vs Darlington 1883+0.1-0.0-0.0
Nuneaton Town vs Salford City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Kidderminster H vs Stalybridge Cel-0.2-0.1+0.3
FC Halifax Town vs Tamworth-0.0+0.1-0.0
FC United of Ma vs Worcester City-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.2-0.1+0.3
Alfreton Town vs AFC Fylde+0.1-0.1-0.1
Bradford Park A vs Harrogate Town+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chorley vs Boston United-0.2-0.1+0.3
Gainsborough Tr vs Altrincham+0.2-0.1-0.2

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Curzon Ashton finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titlePromoted12345678910111213141516171819202122RelegatedCount
96-118YesYes100No203,140*
9529-4-599.8%99.8%1000No560*
9428-6-4YesYes100No1,066*
9328-5-599.999.91000No2,035*
9228-4-699.999.91000No3,664*
9127-6-599.999.91000No6,254*
9027-5-699.899.81000No10,728*
8927-4-799.799.71000No18,243*
8826-6-699.399.59910No30,180*
8726-5-799.099.39910No49,004*
8625-7-698.498.89820No78,545*
8525-6-797.798.29820No123,316*
8425-5-896.597.49730No190,153*
8324-7-795.096.295500No289,084*
8224-6-892.994.793700No433,751*
8124-5-990.192.5901000No638,218*
8023-7-886.389.78613100No924,668*
7923-6-981.586.18117100No1,318,589*
7823-5-1075.581.67522200No1,854,631*
7722-7-968.376.268284000No2,568,230*
7622-6-1059.869.860336100No3,503,108*
7521-8-950.462.8503810100No4,708,329*
7421-7-1040.555.44141153000No6,235,352*
7321-6-1130.748.031422151000No8,134,220*
7220-8-1021.641.222402792000No10,464,076*
7120-7-1113.935.314353215410000No13,269,404*
7020-6-128.030.6827342271000No16,578,733*
6919-8-114.026.9418322813410000No20,433,255*
6819-7-121.723.72112631218200000No24,819,072*
6719-6-130.620.21517292715510000No29,729,148*
6618-8-120.215.902922292311310000No35,095,497*
6518-7-130.010.8014132528198200000No40,878,611*
6417-9-120.06.0001617272616610000No46,925,749*
6317-8-130.02.60002819272413510000No53,142,710*
6217-7-140.00.8000031021272312410000No59,312,240*
6116-9-130.00.20000131122272110310000No65,291,646*
6016-8-14No0.000014122327209300000No70,843,333*
5916-7-15No0.00000014132427199200000No75,813,666*
5815-9-14No0.000001514242719820000No79,978,912*
5715-8-15No0.0000015152527187200000.0%83,196,807*
5615-7-16NoNo000016162626176100000.085,305,245*
5514-9-15NoNo000002717272615610000.086,246,643*
5414-8-16NoNo00002819272514410000.185,932,856*
5314-7-17NoNo00000392128231130000.584,383,581*
5213-9-16NoNo0000141224292192002.181,681,577*
5113-8-17NoNo000015152728176106.577,896,764*
5013-7-18NoNo000028203026123015.273,204,470*
4912-9-17NoNo00003122531217128.367,787,840*
4812-8-18NoNo00001618312913244.361,808,674*
4712-7-19NoNo0000211263421560.455,514,696*
4611-9-18NoNo000016193530974.249,087,815*
4511-8-19NoNo000031331371684.642,754,863*
4411-7-20NoNo0001726422491.536,644,890*
4310-9-19NoNo0000419433495.630,914,174*
4210-8-20NoNo000213414497.925,654,957*
4110-7-21NoNo0019375399.120,932,248*
409-9-20NoNo0005326399.616,809,081*
399-8-21NoNo0003267199.813,267,153*
389-7-22NoNo002207899.910,278,742*
378-9-21NoNo0011683100.07,834,191*
368-8-22NoNo0001288100.05,864,536*
358-7-23NoNo00891100.04,303,654*
347-9-22NoNo00694100.03,102,295*
337-8-23NoNo00496100.02,190,839*
327-7-24NoNo00397100.01,517,527*
316-9-23NoNo0298Yes1,031,067*
306-8-24NoNo0199Yes686,557*
296-7-25NoNo0199Yes445,669*
285-9-24NoNo0100Yes283,290*
275-8-25NoNo00100Yes175,939*
265-7-26NoNo0100Yes105,796*
254-9-25NoNo0100Yes62,525*
244-8-26NoNo0100Yes36,419*
234-7-27NoNo0100Yes19,924*
224-6-28NoNo0100Yes11,022*
213-8-27NoNo0100Yes5,909*
4-20NoNo100Yes208,117*
Total:1.3%3.7%122333444455556666777619.4%1,791,089,472

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship