Curzon Title Chances 2014-15
Beat Kings Lynn 4-0, title odds up 0.04 to 0.05%
75 points 21-12-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 4/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Curzon 4 Kings Lynn 0 | +2.4 | +0.3 | ||||
| Barwell 1 Ashton 0 | +0.1 | |||||
| Belper 1 Workington 2 | -0.2 | -0.1 | ||||
| Grantham 1 Ilkeston 0 | +0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Blyth 2 Nantwich 1 | -1.8 | -0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Skelmersdale vs FC United | +0.1-0.0No | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | ||||
| Marine vs Curzon | NoNo+0.0 | -4.3-1.4+2.5 | -0.7-0.3+0.5 | |||
| Curzon vs Ramsbottom | +0.0NoNo | +2.4-1.5-4.5 | +0.4-0.4-0.7 | |||
| Workington vs Trafford | -0.1+0.0+0.3 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Ramsbottom vs Ashton | +0.3+0.0-0.2 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Blyth vs Matlock | -1.7+1.1+2.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 4/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Average seed |
| FC United vs Stamford | No+0.0+0.2 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| FC United vs Stourbridge | No+0.0+0.1 | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Curzon vs Halesowen | +0.1NoNo | +2.8-0.9-3.7 | +0.5-0.3-0.6 | |||
| Ilkeston vs Workington | -0.3-0.0+0.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Whitby vs Ashton | +0.4+0.0-0.2 | +0.2+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Ashton vs Witton | -0.2+0.1+0.4 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Witton vs Blyth | +2.5+1.2-1.6 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
| Trafford vs Blyth | +2.6+1.3-1.5 | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | ||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Curzon finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Relegated | Count | |||||
| 87 | 4 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 0.6 | % | 25.5 | % | 1 | 67 | 29 | 3 | No | 2,630,116,296 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 85 | 3 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 25.0 | 23 | 50 | 25 | 2 | No | 4,354,613,592 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 84 | 3 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 24.9 | 8 | 39 | 44 | 8 | 0 | No | 5,262,132,106 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 83 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 24.5 | 1 | 20 | 51 | 26 | 2 | No | 2,704,334,112 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 82 | 2 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 22.9 | 0 | 7 | 37 | 48 | 8 | No | 6,521,023,782 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 81 | 2 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 19.6 | 2 | 21 | 56 | 22 | No | 3,912,817,826 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 1 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 20.2 | 2 | 23 | 56 | 19 | No | 745,637,638 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 80 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 15.7 | 0 | 8 | 55 | 37 | No | 2,691,036,176 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 79 | 1 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 11.0 | 1 | 43 | 56 | No | 3,222,946,931 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 4 | - | 0 | No | 12.0 | 1 | 47 | 52 | No | 77,010,425 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 78 | 1 | - | 0 | - | 3 | No | 6.8 | 0 | 27 | 70 | 3 | No | 1,281,260,433 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 0 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 7.4 | 0 | 30 | 69 | 1 | No | 369,822,215 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 3.8 | 15 | 71 | 14 | No | 663,085,508 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 2.1 | 8 | 74 | 18 | No | 526,263,464 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 4 | No | 0.7 | 3 | 58 | 40 | No | 159,674,152 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 0.0 | % | 20.2 | % | 0 | 9 | 17 | 24 | 30 | 19 | 1 | No | 35,121,774,656 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:13 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
