How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 +2.0
+5.0
-2.2
+1.5
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 -0.2
-0.2
-0.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
+0.3
+0.2
Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0 +0.1
+0.1
+0.1
Newport County 4 Chesterfield 1 -0.1
-0.1
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 *+0.1
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 *+0.1
+0.1
Mansfield Town 2 Luton Town 2 +0.1
Barnet 0 Stevenage 1 -0.1
Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra-1.6-0.3+3.0
-3.6-0.5+6.4
+0.9-0.1-1.3
-0.8-0.0+1.4
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2+0.1-0.4
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lincoln City vs Luton Town+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1+0.1-0.3
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.0+0.2-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.3
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
Cambridge United vs Colchester United*-0.0+0.1-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Crewe Alexandra finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
107-134YesYes100No27,067*
10631-5-699.4%Yes991No157*
104-105YesYes100No769*
10329-8-599.9Yes1000No832*
10229-7-6YesYes100No1,480*
10129-6-7100.0Yes1000No2,408*
10028-8-699.8Yes1000No4,037*
9928-7-799.9Yes1000No6,495*
9828-6-899.9Yes1000No10,294*
9727-8-799.9Yes1000No16,457*
9627-7-899.8Yes1000No25,623*
9526-9-799.7Yes1000No38,926*
9426-8-899.5Yes991No58,176*
9326-7-999.3Yes9910No86,181*
9225-9-898.9Yes9910No124,751*
9125-8-998.4Yes9820No179,470*
9025-7-1097.6Yes9820No252,820*
8924-9-996.6Yes9730No350,683*
8824-8-1095.1100.0%95500No480,926*
8723-10-993.0100.093700No649,128*
8623-9-1090.2100.090900No862,703*
8523-8-1186.6100.08713100No1,130,099*
8422-10-1081.9100.08217100No1,458,249*
8322-9-1176.099.97622200No1,855,420*
8222-8-1268.899.869274000No2,330,820*
8121-10-1160.499.460336100No2,877,845*
8021-9-1251.098.65138101000No3,506,136*
7921-8-1341.097.14141153000No4,214,270*
7820-10-1231.094.031422151000No4,988,452*
7720-9-1321.888.722402792000No5,819,890*
7619-11-1213.980.21434321541000No6,700,525*
7519-10-137.968.08263422820000No7,608,914*
7419-9-143.952.6418312814410000No8,510,929*
7318-11-131.636.0210243022920000No9,385,381*
7218-10-140.520.91516272717610000No10,199,737*
7118-9-150.19.8028202824134100000No10,939,177*
7017-11-140.03.60031122272111310000No11,557,762*
6917-10-150.00.90014132326199310000No12,044,602*
6817-9-160.00.200015142426188200000No12,364,633*
6716-11-15No0.00001615242517820000No12,508,463*
6616-10-16No0.0000026152425178200000No12,487,766*
6516-9-17No0.0000026152425188200000No12,278,556*
6415-11-16NoNo000016142325189310000No11,893,684*
6315-10-17NoNo0000015132325199310000No11,358,718*
6214-12-16NoNo0000151322262010310000No10,688,262*
6114-11-17NoNo00001512222620103100000.0%9,909,417*
6014-10-18NoNo0000141222262010310000.09,047,331*
5913-12-17NoNo00000141222262010310000.08,137,598*
5813-11-18NoNo00001513232620930000.07,207,466*
5713-10-19NoNo0000151424271882000.26,286,952*
5612-12-18NoNo000026162626166101.15,404,080*
5512-11-19NoNo00002819282513303.74,568,543*
5412-10-20NoNo0001311243022819.23,806,814*
5311-12-19NoNo00001516293016318.63,113,895*
5211-11-20NoNo000029233424731.32,512,923*
5111-10-21NoNo000151633331345.81,990,442*
5010-12-20NoNo00021028392160.11,553,998*
4910-11-21NoNo001521423172.51,191,727*
4810-10-22NoNo000315414182.2896,383*
479-12-21NoNo00110375289.1665,128*
469-11-22NoNo006326293.8484,462*
459-10-23NoNo003267196.5345,220*
448-12-22NoNo002207898.2242,881*
438-11-23NoNo001158499.1167,823*
428-10-24NoNo00118999.6112,817*
417-12-23NoNo0089299.875,187*
407-11-24NoNo059599.948,515*
397-10-25NoNo0496100.031,017*
386-12-24NoNo0298100.019,182*
376-11-25NoNo298Yes11,634*
366-10-26NoNo199Yes6,951*
355-12-25NoNo199Yes3,922*
345-11-26NoNo199Yes2,386*
335-10-27NoNo0100Yes1,297*
8-32NoNo100Yes28,352*
Total:7.1%20.2%7766665555444443333322212.9%268,897,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship