Crewe Alexandra Title Chances 2016-2017Beat Port Vale 1-0, title odds up 3 to 7.1% 8 points 2-2-0 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 | +2.0 | | +5.0 | | -2.2 | | +1.5 | | Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 | -0.2 | | -0.2 | | -0.1 | | | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | +0.1 | | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0 | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Newport County 4 Chesterfield 1 | -0.1 | | -0.1 | | | | | | Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 | | | *+0.1 | | +0.1 | | | | Mansfield Town 2 Luton Town 2 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Barnet 0 Stevenage 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | -1.6-0.3+3.0 | | -3.6-0.5+6.4 | | +0.9-0.1-1.3 | | -0.8-0.0+1.4 | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | +0.2+0.1-0.4 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | +0.1+0.1-0.2 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | | | | | Exeter City vs Newport County | -0.0+0.2-0.1 | | -0.1+0.2-0.1 | | | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.3 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | -0.0+0.1-0.0 | | -0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Crewe Alexandra finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 107 | -134 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,067 | * | 106 | | 31 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 99.4 | % | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 157 | * | 104 | -105 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 769 | * | 103 | | 29 | - | 8 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 832 | * | 102 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,480 | * | 101 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 100.0 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,408 | * | 100 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,037 | * | 99 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,495 | * | 98 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,294 | * | 97 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,457 | * | 96 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.8 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 25,623 | * | 95 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,926 | * | 94 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 58,176 | * | 93 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 86,181 | * | 92 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 98.9 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,751 | * | 91 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 179,470 | * | 90 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 97.6 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 252,820 | * | 89 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 96.6 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 350,683 | * | 88 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 95.1 | | 100.0 | % | 95 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 480,926 | * | 87 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 93.0 | | 100.0 | | 93 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 649,128 | * | 86 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 90.2 | | 100.0 | | 90 | 9 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 862,703 | * | 85 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 86.6 | | 100.0 | | 87 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,130,099 | * | 84 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 81.9 | | 100.0 | | 82 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,458,249 | * | 83 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 76.0 | | 99.9 | | 76 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,855,420 | * | 82 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 68.8 | | 99.8 | | 69 | 27 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,330,820 | * | 81 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 60.4 | | 99.4 | | 60 | 33 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,877,845 | * | 80 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 51.0 | | 98.6 | | 51 | 38 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,506,136 | * | 79 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 41.0 | | 97.1 | | 41 | 41 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,214,270 | * | 78 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 31.0 | | 94.0 | | 31 | 42 | 21 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,988,452 | * | 77 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 21.8 | | 88.7 | | 22 | 40 | 27 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,819,890 | * | 76 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 13.9 | | 80.2 | | 14 | 34 | 32 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,700,525 | * | 75 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 7.9 | | 68.0 | | 8 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 7,608,914 | * | 74 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 3.9 | | 52.6 | | 4 | 18 | 31 | 28 | 14 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,510,929 | * | 73 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 1.6 | | 36.0 | | 2 | 10 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,385,381 | * | 72 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.5 | | 20.9 | | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,199,737 | * | 71 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | 0.1 | | 9.8 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,939,177 | * | 70 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 3.6 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,557,762 | * | 69 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | 0.0 | | 0.9 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,044,602 | * | 68 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 12,364,633 | * | 67 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 12,508,463 | * | 66 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 12,487,766 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 12,278,556 | * | 64 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 11,893,684 | * | 63 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 11,358,718 | * | 62 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 10,688,262 | * | 61 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 9,909,417 | * | 60 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 9,047,331 | * | 59 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 8,137,598 | * | 58 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 7,207,466 | * | 57 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 6,286,952 | * | 56 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.1 | | 5,404,080 | * | 55 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 3.7 | | 4,568,543 | * | 54 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 9.2 | | 3,806,814 | * | 53 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 18.6 | | 3,113,895 | * | 52 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 31.3 | | 2,512,923 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 33 | 33 | 13 | 45.8 | | 1,990,442 | * | 50 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 39 | 21 | 60.1 | | 1,553,998 | * | 49 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 31 | 72.5 | | 1,191,727 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 41 | 41 | 82.2 | | 896,383 | * | 47 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 52 | 89.1 | | 665,128 | * | 46 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 32 | 62 | 93.8 | | 484,462 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 26 | 71 | 96.5 | | 345,220 | * | 44 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 78 | 98.2 | | 242,881 | * | 43 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 99.1 | | 167,823 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.6 | | 112,817 | * | 41 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 99.8 | | 75,187 | * | 40 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 48,515 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | 100.0 | | 31,017 | * | 38 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 19,182 | * | 37 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 2 | 98 | Yes | 11,634 | * | 36 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 6,951 | * | 35 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 3,922 | * | 34 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 2,386 | * | 33 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,297 | * | 8 | -32 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 28,352 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 7.1 | % | 20.2 | % | 7 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 2.9 | % | 268,897,376 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |