How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Coventry 1 Plymouth 0 +0.6
+1.9
-6.2
+1.2
Portsmouth 4 Oxford Utd 1 -0.1
-0.2
Peterborough 3 Luton 1 -0.1
-0.2
Burton 1 Doncaster 0 +0.1
+0.3
Barnsley 0 AFC Wimbledon 0 +0.1
Fleetwood Town 2 Rochdale 2 -0.1
Walsall 2 Gillingham 1 +0.1
Accrington 1 Charlton 1 -0.1
Shrewsbury 0 Blackpool 0 -0.1
Southend 2 Bradford City 0 +0.1
Wycombe 1 Bristol Rovers 2 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Blackpool vs Coventry-0.8-0.3+1.0
-2.3-0.8+2.7
+3.8+0.6-4.0
-1.0-0.3+1.2
Bristol Rovers vs Portsmouth+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Charlton vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Rochdale vs Barnsley+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Shrewsbury-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Gillingham vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Walsall-0.1+0.1-0.0
Luton vs Southend+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Scunthorpe vs Fleetwood Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Oxford Utd vs Accrington+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.1
Bradford City vs Burton+0.1-0.1*-0.0
Plymouth vs Wycombe+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Gillingham vs Coventry-0.8-0.3+1.2
-2.3-0.6+3.1
+3.2+0.4-4.0
-1.0-0.2+1.3
Plymouth vs Peterborough+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2+0.1-0.2
+0.3-0.0-0.2
Scunthorpe vs Barnsley+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.2-0.0-0.1
Doncaster vs Portsmouth+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1*-0.0-0.0
Rochdale vs Walsall+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
AFC Wimbledon vs Sunderland-0.0+0.1-0.1
Bristol Rovers vs Southend*+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Charlton vs Fleetwood Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Blackpool vs Accrington+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Oxford Utd vs Burton+0.1-0.1-0.0
Bradford City vs Wycombe*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Luton vs Shrewsbury+0.0-0.1+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Coventry finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
99-133YesYes100No17,270*
9828-10-599.8%Yes1000No645*
9728-9-699.8Yes1000No1,024*
9627-11-599.7Yes1000No1,715*
9527-10-699.5Yes1000No2,802*
9427-9-799.5Yes1000No4,497*
9326-11-699.3Yes991No7,066*
9226-10-798.9Yes991No10,892*
9126-9-898.3100.0%9820No16,590*
9025-11-797.6100.09820No25,142*
8925-10-896.4100.09640No37,359*
8824-12-795.099.99550No55,166*
8724-11-893.099.993700No79,295*
8624-10-990.399.890900No112,383*
8523-12-886.799.5871310No157,529*
8423-11-982.499.2821610No218,016*
8322-13-876.698.47721200No296,670*
8222-12-970.197.27026300No398,838*
8122-11-1062.195.462326000No527,238*
8021-13-953.492.553379100No687,033*
7921-12-1044.188.34440132000No885,974*
7821-11-1134.682.43542194000No1,121,763*
7720-13-1025.574.926412571000No1,403,111*
7620-12-1117.465.9173730123000No1,733,770*
7519-14-1010.956.11131331851000No2,111,456*
7419-13-116.146.162333251020000No2,531,428*
7319-12-123.036.9315292916510000No2,995,999*
7218-14-111.228.7182230231131000No3,495,755*
7118-13-120.421.60414262818720000No4,028,187*
7018-12-130.115.20171928251451000No4,570,141*
6917-14-120.09.50031122272111310000No5,116,371*
6817-13-130.04.90015142426198200000No5,647,711*
6717-12-140.02.00001616252517720000No6,145,952*
6616-14-130.00.6000028172624156200000No6,606,813*
6516-13-14No0.100002919262314510000No6,995,573*
6415-15-13No0.000013919262313510000No7,303,719*
6315-14-14No0.00000131020262213510000No7,511,689*
6215-13-15No0.0000131020262212510000No7,623,328*
6114-15-14NoNo0001310202622124100000.0%7,616,180*
6014-14-15NoNo000001310202622124100000.07,513,434*
5914-13-16NoNo00001411212622124100000.07,293,658*
5813-15-15NoNo0000141121262111410000.16,985,768*
5713-14-16NoNo000014122226201031000.66,588,131*
5613-13-17NoNo00001514242619820002.66,124,608*
5512-15-16NoNo0000261525261771008.35,596,400*
5412-14-17NoNo00000281827251451019.45,048,412*
5312-13-18NoNo0001310222923102035.74,481,536*
5211-15-17NoNo00015142629186154.33,912,232*
5111-14-18NoNo0002719302712271.23,366,057*
5011-13-19NoNo0001312273220583.92,851,286*
4910-15-18NoNo00017203429992.02,374,029*
4810-14-19NoNo00031331361696.51,947,545*
4710-13-20NoNo0001826412498.61,565,822*
469-15-19NoNo0000419423499.51,239,891*
459-14-20NoNo00213404499.8966,775*
449-13-21NoNo00183655100.0741,089*
438-15-20NoNo0053064100.0555,619*
428-14-21NoNo0032572100.0411,187*
418-13-22NoNo0021979100.0297,292*
407-15-21NoNo0011485100.0209,998*
397-14-22NoNo001089Yes146,952*
387-13-23NoNo00792Yes100,456*
376-15-22NoNo0595Yes66,908*
366-14-23NoNo0496Yes43,968*
356-13-24NoNo0298Yes28,299*
345-15-23NoNo0199Yes17,502*
335-14-24NoNo199Yes10,833*
325-13-25NoNo199Yes6,467*
315-12-26NoNo199Yes3,718*
304-14-25NoNo0100Yes2,020*
294-13-26NoNo0100Yes1,189*
284-12-27NoNo0100Yes665*
4-27NoNo100Yes17,092*
Total:2.4%8.5%23444455555555555444443213.0%158,618,928

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship