Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPI
Hednesford Town196-1-11015.7%+3.625.5%+4.616121098765543332221111006.2+0.991.0%-0.95Hednesford Town
Altrincham1715-2-0814.2-0.323.6-0.314111098765544332221111006.6+0.011.4-0.16Altrincham
Brackley Town185-3-01012.9-1.722.2-1.813111098766544333222111006.7-0.191.4-0.03Brackley Town
Solihull Moors185-3-0812.8+3.122.1+4.213111098766544333222111006.7+1.041.4-1.22Solihull Moors
North Ferriby U165-1-278.3+2.116.2+3.388887766555443332221118.0+1.112.7-1.91North Ferriby United
Boston United154-3-166.9-1.014.0-1.377777766655544433222118.6-0.193.4-0.17Boston United
Histon144-2-235.3-2.411.6-3.556666666655554443322219.3-0.874.6+1.04Histon
Harrogate Town134-1-364.3-2.19.9-3.1456666666655554443322110.0-0.895.8+1.211Harrogate Town
AFC Telford Utd1113-2-213.8-0.28.9-0.2455556666555555444332210.4+0.047.1-0.410AFC Telford Utd
Bradford Park A123-3-2-13.4+0.98.2+1.9345555666655555544433210.7+1.197.4-4.112Bradford Park Avenue
Vauxhall Motors113-2-3-12.5+0.76.6+1.6334455555555555555443211.4+1.179.4-4.78Vauxhall Motors
Colwyn Bay102-4-2-12.0-0.45.5-0.7233444555555665555544312.1-0.2111.4-0.019Colwyn Bay
Stalybridge Cel103-1-4-51.9+0.55.4+1.3233444555555665555554312.1+1.1611.7-5.49Stalybridge Celtic
Gloucester City92-3-3-31.5-0.34.4-0.6223344455555666666655412.8-0.2014.1+0.115Gloucester City
Guiseley82-2-4-81.1-0.73.5-1.5122333444555566666666513.5-0.9017.4+3.114Guiseley
Workington72-1-5-40.8-0.62.8-1.3112233344455566667777714.1-0.8820.5+3.518Workington
Barrow61-3-4-40.6-0.22.2-0.4111223334445556677788814.8-0.1824.2+0.317Barrow
Leamington51-2-5-40.4-0.31.7-0.90111222334445566778991015.4-0.8428.3+4.416Leamington
Stockport County51-2-5-80.4-0.31.7-0.90111222334445566778991015.4-0.8328.4+4.421Stockport County
Worcester City40-4-4-50.3-0.11.3-0.201111222334445567789111316.0-0.1832.7+0.420Worcester City
Oxford City40-4-4-60.3-0.11.3-0.301111222334445567789111316.0-0.1732.8+0.413Oxford City
Gainsborough Tr41-1-6-90.3-0.11.3-0.201111222334445567789111316.1-0.1732.9+0.422Gainsborough Trinity

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/14
Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town+4.1
+5.1
-0.9
+1.0
Histon-2.5
-3.5
+1.4
-0.9
Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham-0.5
-0.4
Brackley Town+3.6
+4.7
-1.1
+1.0
Stalybridge Cel-0.9
-1.7
+3.6
-1.0
Worcester City-0.3
Gainsborough Tr-0.3
Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town-0.3
-0.3
Altrincham-0.4
-0.4
Brackley Town-0.5
-0.5
Solihull Moors+3.3
+4.5
-1.2
+1.0
Histon-0.3
-0.3
Guiseley-0.3
Barrow-0.3
Leamington-0.4
-0.9
+5.3
-0.9
Stockport County-0.3
Worcester City-0.4
Oxford City-0.4
Gainsborough Tr-0.4
Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town+3.1
+4.3
-1.4
+1.1
Vauxhall Motors-1.0
-1.9
+3.2
-1.0
Solihull Moors 2 North Ferriby U 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Solihull Moors+2.8
+4.0
-1.7
+1.1
North Ferriby U-2.6
-3.7
+1.3
-0.9
Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Histon+2.3
+3.6
-2.1
+1.1
Harrogate Town-2.6
-3.7
+1.3
-0.9
North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
North Ferriby U+2.3
+3.6
-1.9
+1.1
Workington-0.6
-1.3
+4.3
-1.0
Barrow-0.3
Stockport County-0.3
Boston United 3 Guiseley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United+2.3
+3.5
-2.1
+1.1
Guiseley-1.0
-1.9
+3.3
-1.0
Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham+0.3
+0.3
Harrogate Town-2.0
-3.0
+1.7
-1.0
Stalybridge Cel+0.7
+1.6
-4.9
+1.1
Barrow+0.3
Leamington+0.3
Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd-1.8
-2.8
+2.1
-1.0
Bradford Park A+0.8
+1.8
-4.7
+1.2
Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town+0.2
+0.2
Altrincham+0.2
*+0.2
Brackley Town-1.1
-1.3
-0.2
Solihull Moors*+0.2
Gloucester City-0.3
-0.5
+0.6
-0.2
Stockport County*-0.2
Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham-1.2
-1.3
*+0.1
-0.2
Brackley Town+0.2
*+0.2
North Ferriby U+0.2
Workington*-0.1
Stockport County*-0.2
Worcester City*-0.2
Oxford City-0.2
+1.2
-0.2
Guiseley 0 Bradford Park A 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A+1.1
+2.2
-3.8
+1.2
Guiseley-0.7
-1.5
+3.9
-1.0
Oxford City 1 Boston United 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town*+0.2
*+0.2
Boston United-0.8
-1.0
+0.2
-0.2
Workington-0.2
Worcester City*-0.2
Oxford City-0.2
+1.3
-0.2
Workington 4 Gloucester City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gloucester City-1.0
-1.9
+3.4
-1.0
Workington+0.5
+1.2
-5.7
+1.1
Vauxhall Motors 2 Stockport County 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vauxhall Motors+0.9
+1.8
-4.4
+1.1
Stockport County-0.3
-0.9
+5.5
-0.9
Gainsborough Tr 2 Barrow 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barrow-0.5
-1.1
+5.0
-1.0
Oxford City+0.4
Gainsborough Tr+0.2
+0.5
-7.8
+1.0
Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Colwyn Bay-0.4
-0.7
+0.5
-0.2
Worcester City-0.3
+1.3
-0.2
Oxford City*-0.2
Gainsborough Tr*-0.2
Barrow 1 Colwyn Bay 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Colwyn Bay-0.3
-0.6
+0.4
-0.2
Barrow-0.3
+1.0
-0.2
Worcester City-0.3
Stockport County 1 Leamington 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Leamington-0.2
-0.3
+0.9
-0.2
Stockport County-0.3
+1.0
-0.2
Worcester City 2 Gainsborough Tr 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Worcester City-0.2
+1.2
-0.2
Gainsborough Tr-0.2
+1.1
-0.2
Week of 9/21
North Ferriby U vs AltrinchamIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham10.413.218.7
18.922.429.0
2.01.40.7
7.46.75.6
North Ferriby U11.67.55.6
20.715.212.4
1.52.83.7
6.98.28.9
Guiseley vs Hednesford TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town11.914.520.2
20.924.230.9
1.51.00.5
7.06.35.2
Guiseley1.70.90.6
5.03.12.3
12.418.221.7
12.413.714.5
Altrincham vs Gloucester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham18.413.110.7
28.722.319.2
0.71.42.0
5.66.77.4
Gloucester City0.81.32.3
3.04.06.2
18.014.89.8
13.813.011.6
Harrogate Town vs Brackley TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town9.511.917.1
17.821.027.4
2.11.50.7
7.66.95.8
Harrogate Town6.33.82.7
13.19.17.2
3.66.07.8
8.810.210.9
Bradford Park A vs Solihull MoorsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Solihull Moors9.511.816.9
17.820.927.2
2.11.50.7
7.66.95.8
Bradford Park A4.92.92.1
11.07.55.8
4.77.89.9
9.510.911.7
Boston United vs Bradford Park AHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United9.56.24.8
17.913.010.7
2.03.64.8
7.58.89.6
Bradford Park A2.12.94.9
5.97.510.9
9.97.84.7
11.710.99.5
Gloucester City vs Boston UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United4.86.29.5
10.813.017.8
4.83.51.9
9.68.87.5
Gloucester City2.31.30.9
6.24.03.0
9.814.818.0
11.613.013.8
Barrow vs HistonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Histon3.64.77.4
8.910.715.0
6.44.72.7
10.39.58.2
Barrow1.00.50.3
3.21.91.4
18.125.329.6
13.715.015.7
AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn BayHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd5.43.32.5
11.88.26.6
4.57.49.5
9.310.711.4
Colwyn Bay1.21.73.0
3.95.07.6
14.912.07.6
13.112.310.9
AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd5.43.32.6
11.78.26.7
4.47.49.7
9.310.711.4
Worcester City0.20.20.5
0.81.12.0
39.034.025.5
16.916.315.0
Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vauxhall Motors3.72.21.6
8.96.04.8
6.09.712.6
10.211.612.4
Oxford City0.20.20.5
0.81.11.9
39.234.125.6
16.916.315.0
Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport CountyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stalybridge Cel2.81.61.2
7.34.83.8
7.712.215.4
11.012.413.1
Stockport County0.20.40.7
1.11.52.5
34.529.621.6
16.315.714.4
Worcester City vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington0.50.71.3
1.92.54.0
25.821.314.6
15.114.413.0
Worcester City0.50.20.2
2.01.10.8
25.333.939.3
15.016.316.9
Leamington vs Gainsborough TrHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Leamington0.70.30.2
2.51.51.1
21.229.334.6
14.415.616.3
Gainsborough Tr0.20.30.5
0.81.12.0
39.634.125.3
16.916.315.0

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.