Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePromotedChance will finish season at seedRelegated
PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change12345678910111213141516171819202122Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength
Brackley Town185-3-01025.1%-6.738.0%-6.1251814118654321110000000003.8-0.400.0%3.568Brackley Town
Hednesford Town196-1-11019.0+6.931.8+8.3191614129865332111000000004.4+1.120.1-0.15.533Hednesford Town
Solihull Moors185-3-0817.6+6.230.3+7.61816141210865432111000000004.6+1.090.1-0.22.543Solihull Moors
Altrincham1715-2-0813.2-1.425.0-1.51313121110976543211110000005.3-0.150.1-0.06.520Altrincham
North Ferriby U165-1-278.5+2.919.2+4.9910111110987654322111000006.1+1.150.2-0.51.512North Ferriby United
Boston United154-3-165.3-1.013.9-1.4578910998765432211100007.2-0.160.5-0.17.511Boston United
Histon144-2-233.7-3.211.1-5.346789998876543221110007.8-1.110.8+0.34.494Histon
Harrogate Town134-1-363.7-3.811.0-6.246789999876543221110007.9-1.310.8+0.311.515Harrogate Town
AFC Telford Utd1113-2-211.5-0.25.8-0.513456788887765443221109.9-0.072.6-0.310.472AFC Telford Utd
Bradford Park A123-3-2-10.7+0.33.5+1.4112345677888766544321111.3+1.684.4-5.512.458Bradford Park Avenue
Vauxhall Motors113-2-3-10.6+0.23.1+1.1112345677888776554322111.5+1.455.0-5.28.455Vauxhall Motors
Colwyn Bay102-4-2-10.3-0.12.0-0.4011234456778877765443212.7-0.118.0-0.819.455Colwyn Bay
Stalybridge Cel103-1-4-50.2+0.11.6+0.6011223456677887766543213.2+1.599.9-9.09.431Stalybridge Celtic
Gloucester City92-3-3-30.2-0.11.3-0.2001123345677788776654313.7+0.0111.7-1.315.441Gloucester City
Workington72-1-5-40.1-0.10.6-0.7000111233456678888887615.4-1.2320.8+5.618.431Workington
Barrow61-3-4-40.0-0.00.4-0.2000011223445677888998715.9-0.1624.3-0.317.424Barrow
Guiseley82-2-4-80.0-0.10.3-0.6000011122345667889999916.3-1.5527.2+9.114.394Guiseley
Leamington51-2-5-40.0-0.10.3-0.4000001122344567889910101016.6-1.1130.5+7.216.419Leamington
Oxford City40-4-4-60.0-0.00.3-0.1000001122334567789910111116.7-0.1231.8-0.513.423Oxford City
Worcester City40-4-4-50.0-0.00.2-0.10000011122345667891011111217.034.4-1.520.421Worcester City
Stockport County51-2-5-80.0-0.00.2-0.20000001122334567891011131417.5-0.7438.6+5.721.405Stockport County
Gainsborough Tr41-1-6-90.0-0.00.1-0.00000000111223456781012152118.3+0.1448.2-2.822.400Gainsborough Trinity

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 9/14
Histon 0 Hednesford Town 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town-0.6
-0.5
Hednesford Town+4.4
+5.5
+0.8
Histon-2.5
-3.8
+0.3
-0.8
Brackley Town 3 Stalybridge Cel 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town+4.1
+4.4
+0.5
Hednesford Town-0.4
-0.4
Solihull Moors-0.4
-0.4
Altrincham-0.9
-0.8
North Ferriby U-0.6
-0.5
Harrogate Town-0.6
-0.5
Stalybridge Cel-0.2
-0.6
+2.3
-0.6
Harrogate Town 0 Histon 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Histon+2.3
+4.0
-0.8
+1.1
Harrogate Town-4.0
-5.1
+0.2
-0.8
Leamington 0 Solihull Moors 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town-1.0
-0.8
Solihull Moors+3.4
+4.4
+0.7
Altrincham-0.5
-0.6
Barrow-0.5
Leamington-0.3
+4.9
-0.7
Oxford City-0.5
Worcester City-0.5
Stockport County-0.5
Gainsborough Tr-0.6
Solihull Moors 2 North Ferriby U 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Solihull Moors+2.5
+3.6
-0.3
+0.8
North Ferriby U-2.6
-3.5
+0.2
-0.6
Altrincham 2 Oxford City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town+0.6
+0.5
Hednesford Town+0.3
+0.3
Solihull Moors+0.3
+0.3
Altrincham-2.4
-2.5
-0.3
North Ferriby U+0.3
+0.3
Harrogate Town+0.4
+0.3
Oxford City-0.2
Hednesford Town 2 Vauxhall Motors 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town+2.3
+3.4
-0.3
+0.7
Vauxhall Motors-0.4
-1.1
+1.5
-0.7
Stalybridge Cel 3 Harrogate Town 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town+0.6
+0.5
Harrogate Town-2.2
-3.5
+0.3
-0.7
Stalybridge Cel+0.5
-5.5
+1.0
Worcester City+0.6
Gainsborough Tr+0.6
Gloucester City 2 Brackley Town 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town-2.1
-1.9
-0.1
Hednesford Town+0.4
+0.3
Solihull Moors+0.3
+0.3
Altrincham+0.4
+0.3
North Ferriby U+0.2
+0.2
Boston United+0.2
+0.2
Histon+0.3
+0.3
Harrogate Town+0.2
+0.2
Gloucester City-0.2
+0.2
-0.1
North Ferriby U 3 Workington 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town-0.5
-0.4
North Ferriby U+1.7
+2.9
-0.3
+0.7
Workington-0.4
+3.1
-0.7
Gainsborough Tr-0.4
Bradford Park A 3 AFC Telford Utd 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd-1.3
-2.5
+0.7
-0.8
Bradford Park A+0.6
-4.8
+0.9
Boston United 3 Guiseley 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United+1.2
+2.3
-0.7
+0.8
Guiseley-0.2
-0.7
+2.3
-0.7
Oxford City 1 Boston United 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town+0.2
+0.2
Boston United-0.7
-1.0
-0.2
Oxford City+1.3
-0.2
Worcester City-0.2
Stockport County-0.2
Gainsborough Tr-0.2
Workington 4 Gloucester City 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Gloucester City-0.3
-0.9
+2.5
-0.8
Workington+0.3
-6.4
+0.8
Guiseley 0 Bradford Park A 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Bradford Park A+0.2
+0.9
-3.7
+1.1
Guiseley-0.4
+5.2
-0.9
Vauxhall Motors 2 Stockport County 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vauxhall Motors+0.2
+0.7
-3.2
+0.8
Stockport County+5.2
-0.6
Colwyn Bay 0 Worcester City 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Colwyn Bay-0.2
-0.5
+0.8
-0.4
Worcester City+0.2
-0.1
Gainsborough Tr 2 Barrow 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Barrow-0.4
+4.6
-0.8
Gainsborough Tr-7.6
+0.6
Barrow 1 Colwyn Bay 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Colwyn Bay-0.2
+0.1
-0.1
Barrow+1.6
-0.3
Stockport County 1 Leamington 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Leamington+0.3
-0.1
Stockport County+1.9
-0.3
Worcester City 2 Gainsborough Tr 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Worcester City+2.4
-0.3
Gainsborough Tr+0.3
-0.1
Week of 9/21
Harrogate Town vs Brackley TownIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Brackley Town20.123.931.4
32.936.944.4
4.33.93.3
Harrogate Town5.53.22.2
14.210.28.2
0.40.81.2
7.18.18.7
Guiseley vs Hednesford TownHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Hednesford Town14.517.223.4
26.729.936.6
5.04.63.9
Guiseley0.60.30.2
20.027.732.1
15.316.416.9
Bradford Park A vs Solihull MoorsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Solihull Moors13.516.322.3
25.629.035.6
5.14.73.9
Bradford Park A1.20.60.4
5.03.12.4
2.64.56.0
10.311.412.1
North Ferriby U vs AltrinchamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham10.012.618.0
21.024.430.8
5.85.34.5
North Ferriby U11.47.45.5
23.317.814.9
0.10.20.4
5.46.36.8
Altrincham vs Gloucester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Altrincham16.211.49.4
28.722.920.1
0.10.10.2
4.75.56.0
Gloucester City0.10.20.4
0.91.22.1
14.211.57.3
14.313.712.6
Gloucester City vs Boston UnitedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United3.74.77.3
11.013.017.4
0.8*0.50.2
7.97.36.3
Gloucester City0.30.10.1
1.91.10.8
7.912.315.1
12.713.914.5
Boston United vs Bradford Park AHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Boston United6.94.43.4
16.812.510.5
0.20.50.8
6.57.58.0
Bradford Park A0.40.71.3
2.53.35.2
5.64.32.4
11.911.310.1
Barrow vs HistonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Histon2.53.25.3
8.710.414.1
1.2*0.80.4
8.68.07.0
Barrow0.70.40.2
18.225.429.7
15.016.116.6
AFC Telford Utd vs Colwyn BayHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd2.11.20.9
7.45.04.0
1.52.83.9
9.110.210.9
Colwyn Bay0.20.30.6
1.41.93.0
10.28.04.8
13.412.811.6
AFC Telford Utd vs Worcester CityHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
AFC Telford Utd2.11.20.9
7.35.04.0
1.52.94.0
9.110.310.9
Worcester City0.10.20.4
39.434.526.0
17.617.116.1
Vauxhall Motors vs Oxford CityHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Vauxhall Motors0.90.50.3
4.12.62.1
3.25.67.6
10.711.912.5
Oxford City0.10.20.5
36.731.923.6
17.316.815.8
Stalybridge Cel vs Stockport CountyHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Stalybridge Cel0.40.20.1
2.11.30.9
6.710.914.1
12.413.614.2
Stockport County0.10.10.3
44.238.829.5
18.017.516.5
Worcester City vs WorkingtonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Workington0.40.50.9
25.721.014.2
16.115.514.4
Worcester City0.30.20.1
27.336.542.1
16.317.317.8
Leamington vs Gainsborough TrHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Promoted100.0*Relegated100.0*Average seed
Leamington0.40.20.1
23.932.838.6
15.916.917.5
Gainsborough Tr0.00.10.2
54.648.538.2
18.818.417.5

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you kevinyoung90 for adding this league.