Colchester United Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Beat Forest Green Ro 5-1, title odds up 0.8 to 2.7% 4 points 1-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 | +0.8 | | +2.4 | | -4.0 | | +1.2 | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | | | +0.1 | | +0.2 | | | | Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 | | | *-0.1 | | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | -0.9-0.3+1.1 | | -2.5-0.8+3.0 | | +3.0+0.4-3.3 | | -1.1-0.3+1.2 | | Exeter City vs Newport County | | | -0.1+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.0-0.0+0.1 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | | | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Colchester United finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -130 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,803 | * | 98 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.8 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 497 | * | 97 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 849 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.6 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,365 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.7 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,334 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,624 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.4 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,596 | * | 92 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 99.2 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,331 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,599 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 98.0 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,658 | * | 89 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 97.4 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,019 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 95.8 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,322 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 94.1 | | 100.0 | % | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 54,791 | * | 86 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 91.7 | | 100.0 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 77,014 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 88.5 | | 100.0 | | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 106,020 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 84.2 | | 100.0 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,410 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 78.8 | | 99.9 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,381 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 72.0 | | 99.8 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255,921 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 63.9 | | 99.6 | | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 331,872 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 55.0 | | 99.0 | | 55 | 36 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,081 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 45.0 | | 97.8 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 543,987 | * | 78 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 34.8 | | 95.3 | | 35 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 679,510 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 25.1 | | 90.8 | | 25 | 41 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 840,206 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 16.4 | | 83.3 | | 16 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,021,876 | * | 75 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 9.6 | | 72.0 | | 10 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,230,108 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 4.9 | | 57.3 | | 5 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,458,740 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 2.1 | | 40.6 | | 2 | 12 | 26 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,707,099 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.7 | | 24.5 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 28 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,973,953 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.2 | | 12.0 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,251,789 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 4.6 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,537,101 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 1.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,809,299 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,085,212 | * | 67 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,338,815 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,566,906 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,759,585 | * | 64 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,909,049 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 4,008,280 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 4,057,292 | * | 61 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 4,052,869 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 3,999,438 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,885,490 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,728,122 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 3,532,544 | * | 56 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | | 3,292,342 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | | 3,030,901 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 9.7 | | 2,749,201 | * | 53 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 19.4 | | 2,461,928 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 32.5 | | 2,170,525 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 13 | 47.1 | | 1,882,918 | * | 50 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 61.3 | | 1,612,839 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 32 | 73.6 | | 1,364,475 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 83.1 | | 1,132,336 | * | 47 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 89.8 | | 927,534 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 94.1 | | 748,997 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 96.8 | | 594,908 | * | 44 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 98.3 | | 463,597 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 85 | 99.2 | | 357,276 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 10 | 89 | 99.6 | | 270,299 | * | 41 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 99.8 | | 200,470 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 146,434 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 104,824 | * | 38 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 74,482 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 51,349 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 34,906 | * | 35 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 23,526 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,209 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,772 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,104 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,765 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 2,207 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 10 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,337 | * | 4 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 10,710 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.7 | % | 9.0 | % | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 10.7 | % | 90,490,048 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |