How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 +0.8
+2.4
-4.0
+1.2
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
+0.2
Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.9-0.3+1.1
-2.5-0.8+3.0
+3.0+0.4-3.3
-1.1-0.3+1.2
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1*-0.0
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Lincoln City vs Luton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Colchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
99-130YesYes100No9,803*
9829-7-699.8%Yes1000No497*
9729-6-7YesYes100No849*
9628-8-699.6Yes1000No1,365*
9528-7-799.7Yes1000No2,334*
9427-9-699.5Yes1000No3,624*
9327-8-799.4Yes991No5,596*
9227-7-899.2Yes991No8,331*
9126-9-798.8Yes9910No12,599*
9026-8-898.0Yes9820No18,658*
8926-7-997.4Yes9730No27,019*
8825-9-895.8Yes9640No39,322*
8725-8-994.1100.0%94600No54,791*
8625-7-1091.7100.092800No77,014*
8524-9-988.5100.0881100No106,020*
8424-8-1084.2100.0841510No144,410*
8323-10-978.899.97919200No193,381*
8223-9-1072.099.87225300No255,921*
8123-8-1163.999.664305000No331,872*
8022-10-1055.099.055369100No429,081*
7922-9-1145.097.84540132000No543,987*
7822-8-1234.895.33542194000No679,510*
7721-10-1125.190.82541258100No840,206*
7621-9-1216.483.31636311330000No1,021,876*
7521-8-139.672.010293420710000No1,230,108*
7420-10-124.957.352032261231000No1,458,740*
7320-9-132.140.621226302082000No1,707,099*
7219-11-120.724.5161828261551000No1,973,953*
7119-10-130.212.0021022282211410000No2,251,789*
7019-9-140.04.6014132427209310000No2,537,101*
6918-11-130.01.30015152526188200000No2,809,299*
6818-10-140.00.200026162525167200000No3,085,212*
6718-9-15No0.00002716252516720000No3,338,815*
6617-11-14No0.000002716252416720000No3,566,906*
6517-10-15No0.0000027162425167200000No3,759,585*
6417-9-16NoNo000026152425178200000No3,909,049*
6316-11-15NoNo00001614232518831000No4,008,280*
6216-10-16NoNo00001513232519931000No4,057,292*
6116-9-17NoNo000015132226201031000No4,052,869*
6015-11-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.0%3,999,438*
5915-10-17NoNo0000141222262010310000.03,885,490*
5814-12-16NoNo00001513232620930000.03,728,122*
5714-11-17NoNo0000151424271982000.33,532,544*
5614-10-18NoNo000026162627176101.23,292,342*
5513-12-17NoNo00002819282513403.93,030,901*
5413-11-18NoNo0001311233022819.72,749,201*
5313-10-19NoNo00001516293016319.42,461,928*
5212-12-18NoNo000029233425732.52,170,525*
5112-11-19NoNo000141632341347.11,882,918*
5012-10-20NoNo0002927402261.31,612,839*
4911-12-19NoNo001521423273.61,364,475*
4811-11-20NoNo000214414283.11,132,336*
4711-10-21NoNo0019375389.8927,534*
4610-12-20NoNo0005316394.1748,997*
4510-11-21NoNo003257296.8594,908*
4410-10-22NoNo002197998.3463,597*
439-12-21NoNo01158599.2357,276*
429-11-22NoNo00108999.6270,299*
419-10-23NoNo0079299.8200,470*
408-12-22NoNo0059599.9146,434*
398-11-23NoNo0397100.0104,824*
388-10-24NoNo0298100.074,482*
377-12-23NoNo199Yes51,349*
367-11-24NoNo0199100.034,906*
357-10-25NoNo199Yes23,526*
346-12-24NoNo0100Yes15,209*
336-11-25NoNo0100Yes9,772*
326-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,104*
316-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,765*
305-11-26NoNo100Yes2,207*
295-10-27NoNo0100Yes1,337*
4-28NoNo100Yes10,710*
Total:2.7%9.0%33334444444444445555555510.7%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship