"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 +0.3
+1.0
-4.5
+0.9
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
+0.7
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 -0.1
-0.3
Newport County 4 Chesterfield 1 -0.1
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 +0.2
Yeovil Town 2 Coventry City 0 +0.2
Port Vale 0 Crewe Alexandra 1 -0.2
Cambridge United 0 Morecambe 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.5-0.1+1.1
-1.7-0.2+3.3
+2.2-0.3-3.9
-0.8-0.0+1.5
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.2
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Lincoln City vs Luton Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.0+0.1-0.0
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.2
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1-0.0
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.0+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Colchester United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
101-130YesYes100No27,137*
10030-6-699.5%Yes1000No201*
9929-8-599.7Yes1000No354*
9829-7-6YesYes100No689*
9729-6-799.9Yes1000No1,113*
9628-8-699.6Yes1000No1,898*
9528-7-799.7Yes1000No3,123*
9428-6-899.4Yes991No5,222*
9327-8-799.3Yes991No8,247*
9227-7-898.9Yes991No13,256*
9126-9-798.5Yes9910No20,532*
9026-8-897.7Yes9820No31,403*
8926-7-996.7Yes9730No47,175*
8825-9-895.1100.0%95500No70,578*
8725-8-993.3100.093700No102,664*
8625-7-1090.4100.090900No148,376*
8524-9-986.7100.0871310No211,373*
8424-8-1082.1100.08217100No294,740*
8323-10-976.199.97622200No406,786*
8223-9-1069.199.86927400No552,937*
8123-8-1160.799.461326100No739,588*
8022-10-1051.398.75137101000No978,050*
7922-9-1141.497.141411530000No1,270,532*
7822-8-1231.594.131422151000No1,629,365*
7721-10-1122.188.922402792000No2,058,121*
7621-9-1214.280.514343215410000No2,566,347*
7521-8-138.168.4827342282000No3,151,398*
7420-10-124.053.1418312814410000No3,814,554*
7320-9-131.736.5210253021920000No4,548,718*
7219-11-120.621.415162727166100000No5,350,740*
7119-10-130.110.202820282413410000No6,215,920*
7019-9-140.03.70031122272110310000No7,113,059*
6918-11-130.01.00015132426199310000No8,011,249*
6818-10-140.00.200016152426188200000No8,905,626*
6718-9-150.00.0000026152425178200000No9,764,850*
6617-11-14No0.00000261524251782000000No10,555,351*
6517-10-15No0.00000261524251782000000No11,236,645*
6417-9-16No0.000000261524251882000000No11,807,168*
6316-11-15NoNo000016142325189310000No12,225,781*
6216-10-16NoNo0000015132326199310000No12,471,723*
6116-9-17NoNo000015132226191031000No12,549,045*
6015-11-16NoNo00000151322262010310000.0%12,434,417*
5915-10-17NoNo0000015132326209300000.012,145,690*
5814-12-16NoNo00001513232619920000.011,693,071*
5714-11-17NoNo0000161525261872000.211,091,131*
5614-10-18NoNo000027172626155101.010,365,691*
5513-12-17NoNo00002920282412303.39,538,966*
5413-11-18NoNo0001412243021718.58,646,990*
5313-10-19NoNo00001617292915317.47,722,624*
5212-12-18NoNo0000210243323629.86,791,606*
5112-11-19NoNo000151733321244.15,878,853*
5012-10-20NoNo000021129392058.45,010,010*
4911-12-19NoNo0001622422971.14,202,684*
4811-11-20NoNo000316414081.13,470,933*
4711-10-21NoNo000110385088.32,816,677*
4610-12-20NoNo0016336193.22,248,459*
4510-11-21NoNo0004276996.21,767,587*
4410-10-22NoNo002217798.01,360,661*
439-12-21NoNo001168399.01,033,052*
429-11-22NoNo00118899.5770,594*
419-10-23NoNo0089299.8564,874*
408-12-22NoNo0069499.9405,876*
398-11-23NoNo0496100.0286,419*
388-10-24NoNo0397100.0198,503*
377-12-23NoNo0298100.0134,803*
367-11-24NoNo0199100.089,832*
357-10-25NoNo199Yes58,256*
346-12-24NoNo0100Yes37,423*
336-11-25NoNo0100Yes23,576*
326-10-26NoNo0100Yes14,218*
316-9-27NoNo0100Yes8,511*
305-11-26NoNo0100Yes5,117*
295-10-27NoNo0100Yes2,897*
4-28NoNo100Yes30,381*
Total:1.9%7.0%22333344444445555555555510.4%268,897,376

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship