Colchester Title Chances 2014-2015 50/50Lost to Coventry 0-1, title odds down 0.07 to 0.08% 17 points 4-5-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/11 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 | +0.3 | | +1.1 | | -7.2 | | +1.1 | | Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Crewe 2 Coventry 1 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 | | | | | *+0.2 | | | | Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Oldham 2 Walsall 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | | Week of 10/18 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed | Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 | +0.3 | | +1.3 | | -6.6 | | +1.2 | | Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 | -0.1 | | -0.5 | | +1.1 | | -0.3 | | Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 | | | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Preston 2 Port Vale 0 | | | -0.1 | | -0.3 | | | | Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 | | | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Gillingham 0 Preston 1 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 | | | | | -0.3 | | | | Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 | | | | | -0.2 | | | | Doncaster 0 Leyton Orient 2 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 | | | | | *-0.2 | | | | Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | | Oldham 4 Coventry 1 | | | | | *-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well Colchester finishes out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | League | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 90 | -101 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,488 | * | 89 | | 23 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.1 | % | Yes | 96 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76 | * | 88 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 94.8 | | Yes | 95 | 5 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 173 | * | 87 | | 22 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 94.2 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 327 | * | 86 | | 22 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 91.2 | | 99.7 | % | 91 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 669 | * | 85 | | 21 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 84.2 | | 99.2 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,326 | * | 84 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 81.6 | | 98.7 | | 82 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,458 | * | 83 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 73.6 | | 98.0 | | 74 | 24 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,526 | * | 82 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 65.8 | | 96.5 | | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,005 | * | 81 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 57.5 | | 94.0 | | 57 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,183 | * | 80 | | 19 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 47.8 | | 90.4 | | 48 | 39 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 23,742 | * | 79 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 37.4 | | 84.7 | | 37 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,001 | * | 78 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 27.8 | | 77.7 | | 28 | 43 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 63,154 | * | 77 | | 18 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 19.2 | | 68.7 | | 19 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 99,119 | * | 76 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 11.8 | | 58.5 | | 12 | 33 | 34 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 152,464 | * | 75 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 6.4 | | 48.3 | | 6 | 25 | 35 | 24 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 230,330 | * | 74 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 3.0 | | 39.1 | | 3 | 16 | 31 | 30 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 336,741 | * | 73 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 1.2 | | 32.0 | | 1 | 9 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 485,700 | * | 72 | | 16 | - | 7 | - | 5 | 0.4 | | 26.6 | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 29 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 685,709 | * | 71 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 0.1 | | 22.2 | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 25 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 944,518 | * | 70 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 17.3 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 20 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,271,762 | * | 69 | | 15 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 11.8 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,688,200 | * | 68 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 0.0 | | 6.4 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 18 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,189,518 | * | 67 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 8 | No | 2.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,783,892 | * | 66 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 7 | No | 0.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 27 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 3,465,124 | * | 65 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 8 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 4,226,670 | * | 64 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,064,628 | * | 63 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 8 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 5,951,687 | * | 62 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 9 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 6,850,456 | * | 61 | | 12 | - | 8 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | 0.0 | % | 7,741,979 | * | 60 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 8,570,734 | * | 59 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 9,309,766 | * | 58 | | 11 | - | 8 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 27 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.7 | | 9,911,027 | * | 57 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 27 | 21 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | | 10,350,400 | * | 56 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 10.3 | | 10,596,191 | * | 55 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 24.2 | | 10,638,445 | * | 54 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 19 | 29 | 26 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 43.3 | | 10,458,465 | * | 53 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 63.3 | | 10,084,129 | * | 52 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 29 | 31 | 16 | 3 | 79.5 | | 9,527,185 | * | 51 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 7 | 90.1 | | 8,814,613 | * | 50 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 35 | 14 | 95.9 | | 7,989,339 | * | 49 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 41 | 23 | 98.5 | | 7,088,983 | * | 48 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 19 | 42 | 33 | 99.5 | | 6,159,359 | * | 47 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 99.9 | | 5,234,818 | * | 46 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 56 | 100.0 | | 4,349,878 | * | 45 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 29 | 66 | 100.0 | | 3,536,271 | * | 44 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23 | 75 | 100.0 | | 2,804,130 | * | 43 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17 | 82 | 100.0 | | 2,172,974 | * | 42 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 12 | 88 | Yes | 1,645,215 | * | 41 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | Yes | 1,213,552 | * | 40 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 872,289 | * | 39 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 611,052 | * | 38 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 416,454 | * | 37 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | Yes | 275,958 | * | 36 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 176,570 | * | 35 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 109,633 | * | 34 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 66,133 | * | 33 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 38,978 | * | 32 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 21,649 | * | 31 | | 2 | - | 8 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 11,647 | * | 30 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,011 | * | 29 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,940 | * | 17 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 21,843 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 0.9 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 39.9 | % | 187,432,256 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |