"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester 2 Fleetwood Town 1 +0.3
+1.1
-7.2
+1.1
Barnsley 3 Bradford 1 +0.2
Gillingham 0 Scunthorpe 3 +0.2
Crewe 2 Coventry 1 +0.2
Port Vale 4 Yeovil 1 *+0.2
Crawley Town 1 Peterborough 4 *-0.1
Sheff Utd 2 Leyton Orient 2 *-0.1
Oldham 2 Walsall 1 *-0.1
Week of 10/18100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Championship100.0*League Two100.0*Average seed
Colchester 2 Chesterfield 1 +0.3
+1.3
-6.6
+1.2
Scunthorpe 1 Colchester 1 -0.1
-0.5
+1.1
-0.3
Coventry 1 Bristol City 3 -0.1
-0.4
Preston 2 Port Vale 0 -0.1
-0.3
Crewe 1 Peterborough 0 +0.1
+0.4
Yeovil 1 Swindon 1 *-0.1
Leyton Orient 0 Milton Keynes D 0 *-0.1
Bristol City 2 Bradford 2 *-0.1
Gillingham 0 Preston 1 -0.3
Port Vale 2 Scunthorpe 2 -0.3
Peterborough 2 Barnsley 1 -0.2
Doncaster 0 Leyton Orient 2 +0.2
Sheff Utd 2 Yeovil 0 *-0.2
Rochdale 1 Gillingham 1 *-0.2
Barnsley 2 Notts County 3 *-0.1
Notts County 5 Crawley Town 3 *-0.1
Oldham 4 Coventry 1 *-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well Colchester finishes out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seedLeague
TPW-D-Lwins titleChampionship123456789101112131415161718192021222324TwoCount
90-101YesYes100No19,488*
8923-3-296.1%Yes964No76*
8823-2-394.8Yes955No173*
8722-4-294.2Yes946No327*
8622-3-391.299.7%9190No669*
8521-5-284.299.284151No1,326*
8421-4-381.698.7821720No2,458*
8321-3-473.698.0742430No4,526*
8220-5-365.896.5663040No8,005*
8120-4-457.594.05735710No14,183*
8019-6-347.890.448391110No23,742*
7919-5-437.484.73742173000No39,001*
7819-4-527.877.72843236100No63,154*
7718-6-419.268.719392910200No99,119*
7618-5-511.858.5123334174100No152,464*
7518-4-66.448.362535248200No230,330*
7417-6-53.039.13163130154100No336,741*
7317-5-61.232.01924322392000No485,700*
7216-7-50.426.6041529291651000No685,709*
7116-6-60.122.20182130251231000No944,518*
7016-5-70.017.300312242920920000No1,271,762*
6915-7-60.011.8001515262717720000No1,688,200*
6815-6-70.06.4000171827261551000No2,189,518*
6715-5-8No2.6000281928241341000No2,783,892*
6614-7-7No0.700002920272312410000No3,465,124*
6514-6-8No0.100003102127221141000No4,226,670*
6414-5-9No0.0000131021272211410000No5,064,628*
6313-7-8No0.000013112127221141000No5,951,687*
6213-6-9No0.0000013102127221141000No6,850,456*
6112-8-8NoNo0000131021272212410000.0%7,741,979*
6012-7-9NoNo000131021272212410000.08,570,734*
5912-6-10NoNo000131121272211410000.19,309,766*
5811-8-9NoNo0000141121272211310000.79,911,027*
5711-7-10NoNo00014122227211030003.210,350,400*
5611-6-11NoNo0001513242719820010.310,596,191*
5510-8-10NoNo000161526271761024.210,638,445*
5410-7-11NoNo000027192926133043.310,458,465*
5310-6-12NoNo00003102331239163.310,084,129*
529-8-11NoNo0001515293116379.59,527,185*
519-7-12NoNo00028223426790.18,814,613*
509-6-13NoNo000041532351495.97,989,339*
498-8-12NoNo0001827412398.57,088,983*
488-7-13NoNo0000419423399.56,159,359*
478-6-14NoNo000213404599.95,234,818*
467-8-13NoNo00183556100.04,349,878*
457-7-14NoNo00042966100.03,536,271*
447-6-15NoNo00022375100.02,804,130*
436-8-14NoNo0011782100.02,172,974*
426-7-15NoNo001288Yes1,645,215*
416-6-16NoNo00892Yes1,213,552*
405-8-15NoNo00694Yes872,289*
395-7-16NoNo0496Yes611,052*
385-6-17NoNo0298Yes416,454*
374-8-16NoNo0199Yes275,958*
364-7-17NoNo199Yes176,570*
354-6-18NoNo0100Yes109,633*
343-8-17NoNo0100Yes66,133*
333-7-18NoNo0100Yes38,978*
323-6-19NoNo0100Yes21,649*
312-8-18NoNo0100Yes11,647*
302-7-19NoNo0100Yes6,011*
292-6-20NoNo0100Yes2,940*
17-28NoNo100Yes21,843*
Total:0.1%0.9%0001111222334455667889101239.9%187,432,256

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship