Cirencester Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020
Beat Larkhall Athletic 4-0, playoff odds up 16.9 to 51.7%
45 points 14-3-10
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | +10.3 | +0.1 | +0.6 | |||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +2.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -2.3 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | -1.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.6 | +0.0 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.5 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | -14.0-5.1+12.0 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.7-0.2+0.6 | |||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | -1.4+1.4+1.4 | -0.0+0.1+0.0 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -10.8+1.3+19.4 | -0.1-0.0+0.2 | -0.5+0.1+0.9 | |||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | -12.7-3.6+13.4 | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | -0.6-0.2+0.7 | |||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.4+1.9+3.6 | -0.1+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -1.9+1.5+2.9 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | +2.0+0.4-2.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -1.2+1.8+3.5 | -0.0+0.1+0.2 | ||||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.9+0.7-2.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +1.2+0.5-2.7 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.7+0.3-0.9 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.1*-0.0-0.6 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Frome Town vs Moneyfields | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cirencester Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 78 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 47.9 | % | 48 | 44 | 8 | No | 5,534 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 21.6 | 22 | 54 | 24 | 0 | No | 21,728 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 12.6 | 13 | 50 | 37 | 0 | No | 20,998 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 7.3 | 7 | 44 | 48 | 1 | 0 | No | 73,254 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 3.1 | 3 | 33 | 61 | 3 | 0 | No | 137,046 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 1.4 | 1 | 24 | 70 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 208,239 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 15 | 74 | 11 | 0 | 0 | No | 403,925 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 99.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 8 | 70 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 367,784 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 4 | - | 0 | 100.0 | 0.2 | 0 | 9 | 73 | 17 | 1 | 0 | No | 189,816 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.8 | 0.0 | 0 | 4 | 64 | 28 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 695,424 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 0 | - | 3 | 99.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 109,861 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.1 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 942,505 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 0 | 99.4 | 0.0 | 0 | 2 | 54 | 36 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 171,674 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 97.5 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 37 | 44 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 781,752 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 96.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 32 | 45 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 554,868 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 92.0 | No | 0 | 21 | 43 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,398,027 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 4 | 90.4 | No | 0 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 121,071 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 0 | 93.8 | No | 0 | 25 | 44 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 111,622 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 81.0 | No | 0 | 10 | 34 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,228,661 | |||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 83.9 | No | 0 | 12 | 36 | 35 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 600,018 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 67.5 | No | 0 | 5 | 24 | 38 | 25 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,380,827 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 63.7 | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 38 | 27 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 529,702 | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 46.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 32 | 35 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,540,620 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 48.7 | No | 2 | 14 | 33 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 408,345 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 26.2 | No | 0 | 5 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 988,428 | |||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 29.3 | No | 0 | 6 | 23 | 37 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 854,346 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 13.5 | No | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 36 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,203,734 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 11.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 30 | 37 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 333,451 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 1 | 15.8 | No | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 35 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 115,168 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 4.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 38 | 30 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,020,744 | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 5.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21 | 38 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 399,647 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 1.5 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 32 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 600,109 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 1.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 40 | 17 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 540,725 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 58 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 42 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 631,398 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.3 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 20 | 41 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 235,277 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 9 | 33 | 39 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 439,687 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 36 | 38 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 185,559 | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 42 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 232,704 | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 21 | 41 | 28 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 186,329 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | No | 264,483 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 155,861 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 84,611 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 4 | 23 | 40 | 26 | 6 | 0 | 0 | No | 42,361 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 1 | 12 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 19,781 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 41 | 27 | 5 | 0 | No | 7,931 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 40 | 12 | 1 | No | 2,822 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 2 | 23 | 44 | 25 | 5 | 0 | No | 897 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 9 | Out | No | 8 | 39 | 38 | 12 | 2 | No | 213 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 10 | Out | No | 8 | 22 | 46 | 22 | 3 | No | 37 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 11 | Out | No | 1 | 10 | 33 | 38 | 15 | 3 | 0 | No | 2,556 | ||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 51.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 2 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 16 | 13 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,552,160 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
