Cinderford Town Playoff Chances 2019-2020
Beat Totton 4-2, playoff odds up 9 to 38.7%
43 points 13-4-9
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/7 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Cinderford Town 4 Totton 2 | +6.8 | +0.0 | +0.5 | |||
| Melksham Town 2 Bideford 3 | +2.4 | +0.1 | ||||
| Slimbridge 1 Winchester City 2 | -2.1 | -0.1 | ||||
| Cirencester Town 4 Larkhall Athletic 0 | -0.5 | |||||
| Barnstaple Town 0 Sholing 0 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers 2 Frome Town 2 | +0.4 | +0.0 | ||||
| Evesham United 0 Bristol Manor F 0 | +0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town 1 Willand Rovers 1 | +0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Cinderford Town vs Sholing | +10.2-6.4-14.9 | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | +0.6-0.3-0.9 | |||
| Mangotsfield vs Cirencester Town | +2.6+1.0-2.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Basingstoke Town vs Thatcham Town | +0.1+0.0-0.0 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/14 | 100.0* | Chance in playoffs | 100.0* | Premier Division South | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Bideford vs Cinderford Town | -10.0-2.1+14.5 | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | -0.6-0.1+0.8 | |||
| Larkhall Athletic vs Barnstaple Town | -1.3+1.8+3.5 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Willand Rovers vs Cirencester Town | +2.3+0.7-2.4 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Paulton Rovers vs Slimbridge | -1.8+1.4+2.8 | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Barnstaple Town | -1.1+1.7+3.2 | -0.0+0.1+0.1 | ||||
| Totton vs Melksham Town | +1.7+0.6-2.1 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Sholing vs Paulton Rovers | +1.1+0.4-2.5 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Winchester City vs Cirencester Town | -0.1+0.8-0.7 | |||||
| Moneyfields vs Sholing | +0.6+0.3-0.7 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Thatcham Town vs Evesham United | +0.1-0.1-0.5 | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |||
| Willand Rovers vs Slimbridge | *-0.0+0.1-0.1 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well the Cinderford Town finish out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance in | Premier | Chance will finish regular season at seed | Level 9 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | playoffs | Division South | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | Playoff | Count | |||||
| 79 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | In | 62.1 | % | 62 | 35 | 3 | No | 3,133 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 77 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | In | 32.9 | 33 | 51 | 16 | 0 | No | 4,989 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 76 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | In | 20.5 | 21 | 53 | 26 | 0 | No | 5,345 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 75 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | In | 13.3 | 13 | 50 | 37 | 0 | No | 19,640 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 74 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | In | 6.5 | 6 | 42 | 50 | 1 | 0 | No | 42,176 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 73 | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 100.0 | % | 3.0 | 3 | 33 | 61 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 69,051 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 72 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 100.0 | 1.2 | 1 | 22 | 70 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 148,161 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 100.0 | 0.4 | 0 | 14 | 72 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 227,609 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 99.9 | 0.1 | 0 | 7 | 69 | 22 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 362,764 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 99.7 | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 59 | 32 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 560,119 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 7 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 98.9 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 46 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 431,799 | |||||||||||||||||
| 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 98.6 | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 44 | 41 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 318,562 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 96.0 | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 31 | 44 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,019,917 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 89.2 | No | 0 | 18 | 41 | 31 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 867,437 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 90.5 | No | 0 | 19 | 42 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 417,518 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 78.3 | No | 0 | 9 | 32 | 37 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,041,052 | |||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 76.6 | No | 0 | 8 | 31 | 37 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 463,548 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 60.2 | No | 0 | 4 | 20 | 37 | 29 | 10 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,362,667 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 61.9 | No | 0 | 4 | 21 | 37 | 28 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 366,089 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 39.2 | No | 1 | 10 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,000,516 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 42.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 846,178 | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 23.1 | No | 0 | 4 | 19 | 36 | 30 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,503,755 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 20.3 | No | 0 | 3 | 17 | 35 | 32 | 12 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 372,110 | |||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 9.6 | No | 0 | 1 | 8 | 27 | 38 | 21 | 4 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,357,796 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 11.2 | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 29 | 38 | 19 | 3 | 0 | No | 477,353 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 60 | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 3.7 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17 | 38 | 32 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | No | 905,417 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 3.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16 | 36 | 34 | 10 | 1 | 0 | No | 775,551 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 59 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.9 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 28 | 42 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,063,268 | |||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.7 | No | 0 | 1 | 6 | 26 | 41 | 22 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 221,970 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 7 | - | 2 | 1.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 31 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 179,842 | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 0.1 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15 | 40 | 33 | 8 | 1 | 0 | No | 822,561 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | 0.2 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18 | 42 | 30 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 396,747 | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 33 | 41 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 552,860 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 1 | 7 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | No | 398,001 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 43 | 29 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 504,178 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 7 | - | 3 | 0.0 | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20 | 43 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | No | 201,647 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 55 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 8 | 33 | 40 | 16 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 299,349 | ||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 10 | 37 | 37 | 13 | 2 | 0 | No | 195,122 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | Out | No | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22 | 41 | 26 | 7 | 1 | 0 | No | 322,703 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 53 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 36 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 198,184 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 52 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 23 | 39 | 26 | 7 | 0 | 0 | No | 113,744 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 1 | - | 5 | - | 6 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 12 | 33 | 37 | 15 | 2 | 0 | No | 59,659 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 5 | 22 | 40 | 28 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 29,199 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 34 | 39 | 13 | 1 | 0 | No | 12,976 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 0 | - | 5 | - | 7 | Out | No | 0 | 4 | 22 | 43 | 26 | 5 | 0 | No | 4,982 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | Out | No | 0 | 1 | 11 | 35 | 40 | 11 | 1 | 0 | No | 1,723 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | Out | No | 4 | 23 | 42 | 24 | 6 | 0 | No | 520 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | Out | No | 1 | 6 | 42 | 41 | 9 | 1 | No | 102 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | Out | No | 41 | 18 | 29 | 12 | No | 17 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | Out | No | 1 | 11 | 35 | 37 | 14 | 1 | No | 2,554 | |||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | 38.7 | % | 0.1 | % | 0 | 1 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 20,552,160 | ||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Make Playoffs
Updated Saturday, 2023-11-4 2:30 PM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
