Chorley Title Chances 2018-2019 50/50Did not play, title odds down 0.7 to 19.7% 30 points 9-3-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 10/13 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | National League | 100.0* | Demotion | 100.0* | Average seed | Telford United 1 Chorley 1 | -1.5 | | -1.3 | | *-0.0 | | -0.1 | | Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2 | -0.6 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 | -0.5 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 | -0.4 | | -0.4 | | | | | | Southport 1 York City 2 | -0.3 | | -0.3 | | | | | | Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1 | +0.2 | | *+0.2 | | | | | | Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1 | *+0.2 | | *+0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chorley finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | National | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Demotion | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 99 | -111 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 93,808 | * | 98 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 99.9 | % | 99.9 | % | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,547 | * | 97 | | 21 | - | 4 | - | 2 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,999 | * | 96 | | 21 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,192 | * | 95 | | 20 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,467 | * | 94 | | 20 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 21,655 | * | 93 | | 20 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 100.0 | | 100.0 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 38,763 | * | 92 | | 19 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 68,128 | * | 91 | | 19 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 115,577 | * | 90 | | 19 | - | 3 | - | 5 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,354 | * | 89 | | 18 | - | 5 | - | 4 | 99.9 | | 99.9 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 310,501 | * | 88 | | 18 | - | 4 | - | 5 | 99.8 | | 99.8 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 490,606 | * | 87 | | 17 | - | 6 | - | 4 | 99.7 | | 99.7 | | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 756,337 | * | 86 | | 17 | - | 5 | - | 5 | 99.5 | | 99.6 | | 100 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,139,370 | * | 85 | | 17 | - | 4 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | 99.4 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,676,932 | * | 84 | | 16 | - | 6 | - | 5 | 98.8 | | 99.0 | | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,411,152 | * | 83 | | 16 | - | 5 | - | 6 | 98.2 | | 98.5 | | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,395,920 | * | 82 | | 16 | - | 4 | - | 7 | 97.2 | | 97.6 | | 97 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,672,217 | * | 81 | | 15 | - | 6 | - | 6 | 95.7 | | 96.4 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 6,301,756 | * | 80 | | 15 | - | 5 | - | 7 | 93.5 | | 94.6 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,309,245 | * | 79 | | 14 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 90.5 | | 92.1 | | 91 | 9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 10,751,131 | * | 78 | | 14 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 86.4 | | 88.7 | | 86 | 13 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,600,555 | * | 77 | | 14 | - | 5 | - | 8 | 81.0 | | 84.2 | | 81 | 18 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 16,873,593 | * | 76 | | 13 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 74.1 | | 78.4 | | 74 | 23 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,482,523 | * | 75 | | 13 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 65.7 | | 71.4 | | 66 | 30 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 24,379,407 | * | 74 | | 13 | - | 5 | - | 9 | 56.0 | | 63.3 | | 56 | 36 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 28,440,557 | * | 73 | | 12 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 45.3 | | 54.4 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,493,860 | * | 72 | | 12 | - | 6 | - | 9 | 34.4 | | 45.3 | | 34 | 43 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 36,395,543 | * | 71 | | 12 | - | 5 | - | 10 | 24.0 | | 36.7 | | 24 | 41 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,938,454 | * | 70 | | 11 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 15.2 | | 29.3 | | 15 | 36 | 32 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,947,503 | * | 69 | | 11 | - | 6 | - | 10 | 8.4 | | 23.7 | | 8 | 28 | 35 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,269,583 | * | 68 | | 10 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 4.0 | | 20.0 | | 4 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,720,114 | * | 67 | | 10 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 1.6 | | 17.9 | | 2 | 10 | 26 | 32 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 47,262,542 | * | 66 | | 10 | - | 6 | - | 11 | 0.5 | | 16.9 | | 0 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 28 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 46,839,300 | * | 65 | | 9 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 0.1 | | 16.1 | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 45,442,937 | * | 64 | | 9 | - | 7 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 14.8 | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 43,188,089 | * | 63 | | 9 | - | 6 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 12.2 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 28 | 18 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 40,171,814 | * | 62 | | 8 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 0.0 | | 8.3 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 16 | 27 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 36,587,178 | * | 61 | | 8 | - | 7 | - | 12 | No | 4.3 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 17 | 27 | 26 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 32,575,220 | * | 60 | | 8 | - | 6 | - | 13 | No | 1.5 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 28,379,966 | * | 59 | | 7 | - | 8 | - | 12 | No | 0.4 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 24,179,824 | * | 58 | | 7 | - | 7 | - | 13 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 20,131,172 | * | 57 | | 7 | - | 6 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 24 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 16,372,477 | * | 56 | | 6 | - | 8 | - | 13 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 12,994,753 | * | 55 | | 6 | - | 7 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 24 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 10,067,214 | * | 54 | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 7,597,728 | * | 53 | | 5 | - | 8 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | | 5,594,032 | * | 52 | | 5 | - | 7 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.5 | | 4,007,751 | * | 51 | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 28 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 5.5 | | 2,792,407 | * | 50 | | 4 | - | 8 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 14.4 | | 1,894,715 | * | 49 | | 4 | - | 7 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 28.8 | | 1,243,149 | * | 48 | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 30 | 14 | 2 | 46.5 | | 790,757 | * | 47 | | 3 | - | 8 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 5 | 64.0 | | 487,521 | * | 46 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 33 | 11 | 78.5 | | 290,941 | * | 45 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 30 | 40 | 18 | 88.4 | | 166,645 | * | 44 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 23 | 44 | 28 | 94.4 | | 92,429 | * | 43 | | 2 | - | 7 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16 | 43 | 39 | 97.5 | | 48,592 | * | 42 | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 39 | 50 | 99.0 | | 24,578 | * | 41 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 6 | 33 | 61 | 99.6 | | 11,808 | * | 40 | | 1 | - | 7 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 70 | 100.0 | | 5,346 | * | 39 | | 1 | - | 6 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 22 | 77 | Yes | 2,323 | * | 38 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 15 | 84 | Yes | 912 | * | 37 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 9 | 90 | Yes | 338 | * | 36 | | 0 | - | 6 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | Yes | 109 | * | 35 | | 0 | - | 5 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 3 | 3 | 95 | Yes | 37 | * | 32 | -34 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 10 | * | 30 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 100 | Yes | 92,441 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 19.7 | % | 29.1 | % | 20 | 15 | 12 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | % | 817,647,404 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |