How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2 -1.8
-1.5
Telford United 1 Chorley 1 -0.7
-0.5
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 -0.6
-0.5
Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1 +0.4
+0.3
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 -0.2
-0.2
Southport 1 York City 2 -0.2
-0.1
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1 +0.1
+0.1
Leamington 0 Curzon Ashton 1 *+0.1
*+0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chorley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
106-111YesYes100No291,650*
10524-3-0100.0%100.0%1000No2,722*
10424-2-1YesYes100No7,601
10324-1-2100.0100.01000No15,652*
10223-3-1100.0100.01000No36,079*
10123-2-2100.0100.01000No73,834*
10022-4-1100.0100.01000No143,884*
9922-3-2100.0100.01000No277,929*
9822-2-3100.0100.01000No501,541*
9721-4-2100.0100.01000No886,198*
9621-3-399.9100.01000No1,507,909*
9520-5-299.999.91000No2,458,110*
9420-4-399.999.91000No3,921,690*
9320-3-499.999.91000No6,034,145*
9219-5-399.899.810000No9,002,360*
9119-4-499.799.710000No13,080,926*
9018-6-399.499.59910No18,421,883*
8918-5-499.199.29910No25,278,790*
8818-4-598.598.89910No33,768,409*
8717-6-497.698.098200No43,893,148*
8617-5-596.396.996400No55,637,504*
8516-7-494.395.3946000No68,778,765*
8416-6-591.592.9928000No82,859,739*
8316-5-687.789.78812000No97,465,196*
8215-7-582.685.583161000No111,873,869*
8115-6-676.080.076222000No125,378,614*
8015-5-768.073.368284000No137,204,408*
7914-7-658.665.559346000No146,650,516*
7814-6-748.357.04840111000No153,142,051*
7713-8-637.748.138431630000No156,236,158*
7613-7-727.539.628432351000No155,765,058*
7513-6-818.532.1194030102000No151,743,011*
7412-8-711.326.11134351640000No144,508,189*
7312-7-86.221.8625362481000No134,437,289*
7212-6-93.019.131733301430000No122,271,232*
7111-8-81.217.71926332271000No108,651,635*
7011-7-90.417.0051831291430000No94,346,290*
6911-6-100.116.5021025322281000No80,073,875*
6810-8-90.016.00151730291540000No66,356,701*
6710-7-100.014.9002923322392000No53,739,504*
669-9-90.013.000141529301751000No42,489,259*
659-8-100.010.300017213226102000No32,802,376*
649-7-110.07.1000031227321961000No24,728,277*
638-9-10No4.1000161832281330000No18,183,458*
628-8-11No2.000021025332271000No13,041,820*
618-7-12No0.800141630301540000No9,128,258*
607-9-11No0.20001822332492000No6,228,250*
597-8-12No0.100031328311851000No4,140,031*
587-7-13No0.00016193227123000No2,676,455*
576-9-12No0.000021025322181000No1,685,793*
566-8-13NoNo0014162929165100No1,031,173*
556-7-14NoNo00018213125112000No613,898*
545-9-13NoNo003122631197100No355,762*
535-8-14NoNo00161830281430000.0%198,547*
525-7-15NoNo0029233223920000.0107,820*
514-9-14NoNo014142931175100.057,145*
504-8-15NoNo0017203226102000.228,914*
494-7-16NoNo002122733196100.714,254*
483-9-15NoNo01618342911202.56,756*
473-8-16NoNo0210283322516.32,928*
463-7-17NoNo016193329112012.91,316*
452-9-16NoNo0210283719322.0559*
442-8-17NoNo142238286135.3232*
432-7-18NoNo1231411657.685*
422-6-19NoNo4293825466.724*
411-8-18NoNo1338381387.58*
401-7-19NoNo100Yes1
300-0-27NoNo0991Yes289,941
Total:40.5%49.8%40211396432110000000000000.0%2,564,537,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship