How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Demotion
Telford United 1 Chorley 1 +0.2
+0.2
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2 -0.1
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 -0.1
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 -0.1
-0.1
-0.1
Southport 1 York City 2 -0.1
Altrincham 3 Alfreton Town 1 +0.1
FC United 1 Darlington 2 *-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
97-110YesYes100No95,265*
9621-4-2100.0%100.0%1000No3,111*
9521-3-3100.0100.01000No6,203*
9420-5-299.9100.01000No11,695*
9320-4-3100.0100.01000No21,594*
9220-3-499.999.91000No38,859*
9119-5-399.999.91000No67,685*
9019-4-499.999.91000No115,855*
8919-3-599.899.91000No191,627*
8818-5-499.899.81000No310,596*
8718-4-599.699.71000No490,912*
8617-6-499.499.59910No756,832*
8517-5-599.199.29910No1,139,399*
8417-4-698.698.89910No1,677,290*
8316-6-597.898.298200No2,411,899*
8216-5-696.797.29730No3,396,315*
8116-4-795.095.895500No4,676,983*
8015-6-692.693.893700No6,300,556*
7915-5-789.391.18910000No8,315,089*
7814-7-684.987.48514100No10,749,977*
7714-6-779.182.67919100No13,593,992*
7614-5-872.076.672253000No16,866,725*
7513-7-763.469.563315000No20,481,568*
7413-6-853.561.354379100No24,377,841*
7313-5-942.952.443411420000No28,431,569*
7212-7-832.243.532432040000No32,501,503*
7112-6-922.235.222412781000No36,384,534*
7012-5-1013.828.21435331430000No39,918,808*
6911-7-97.623.08273522710000No42,949,697*
6811-6-103.519.641833291330000No45,246,829*
6710-8-91.417.8110253222820000No46,722,812*
6610-7-100.416.8041629291651000No47,266,889*
6510-6-110.116.101821302512310000No46,829,306*
649-8-100.014.700311242921920000No45,453,171*
639-7-110.012.1001414262818720000No43,191,098*
629-6-120.08.20001516272716610000No40,187,455*
618-8-11No4.2000161727261551000No36,585,801*
608-7-12No1.500002718272514510000No32,586,287*
598-6-13No0.300002819282514410000No28,395,277*
587-8-12No0.00000281928251341000No24,189,411*
577-7-13No0.00000281928241341000No20,127,494*
567-6-14No0.000002920282412410000.0%16,374,264*
556-8-13No0.000002920282412310000.013,003,736*
546-7-14NoNo000031022292311300000.010,060,993*
536-6-15NoNo0001311232921920000.37,599,917*
525-8-14NoNo000141325291971001.55,592,713*
515-7-15NoNo00015162828165105.54,009,125*
505-6-16NoNo00027203126122014.32,794,784*
494-8-15NoNo0003112532217128.71,891,514*
484-7-16NoNo0001517313014246.41,241,589*
474-6-17NoNo00029253523564.0789,118*
463-8-16NoNo00041735331178.5487,737*
453-7-17NoNo0021030401888.4290,437*
443-6-18NoNo01523432994.4166,491*
433-5-19NoNo00215433997.692,012*
422-7-18NoNo0110395099.048,723*
412-6-19NoNo05336199.724,643*
402-5-20NoNo03277099.912,064*
391-7-19NoNo01207999.95,468*
381-6-20NoNo11584Yes2,365*
371-5-21NoNo01090Yes968*
361-4-22NoNo694Yes323*
350-6-21NoNo595Yes128*
340-5-22NoNo1090Yes30*
31-33NoNo100Yes12*
290-0-27NoNo0100Yes92,441
Total:15.7%25.0%161311108765543322111100000.4%817,647,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship