How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 10/13100.0*Chance wins title100.0*National League100.0*Average seed
Telford United 1 Chorley 1 +0.1
+0.1
+0.0
Bradford Park A 1 Kidderminster H 2 -0.1
Spennymoor Town 5 Ashton United 0 -0.1
Guiseley 2 Brackley Town 1 *+0.0
Southport 1 York City 2 -0.1
-0.1
Stockport County 1 Hereford 1 +0.1
+0.0
Boston United 4 Blyth Spartans 0 -0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Chester finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceNationalChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague12345678910111213141516171819202122DemotionCount
102-110YesYes100No290,476*
10123-3-199.9%99.9%1000No840*
99-100YesYes100No6,467*
9822-3-2100.0100.01000No9,825*
9722-2-399.999.91000No20,460*
9621-4-299.999.91000No40,382*
9521-3-399.899.91000No78,712*
9420-5-299.899.81000No146,148*
9320-4-399.699.61000No266,710*
9220-3-499.399.49910No467,742*
9119-5-398.999.19910No794,226*
9019-4-498.298.59820No1,316,515*
8919-3-597.297.79730No2,115,758*
8818-5-495.896.59640No3,310,930*
8718-4-593.894.894600No5,043,897*
8617-6-491.092.591900No7,477,272*
8517-5-587.389.4871200No10,807,178*
8417-4-682.685.58317100No15,242,547*
8316-6-576.680.57722100No20,962,340*
8216-5-669.574.66928300No28,130,241*
8115-7-561.267.661345000No36,857,709*
8015-6-651.960.052398100No47,131,915*
7915-5-742.251.94244131000No58,899,725*
7814-7-632.643.83346193000No71,881,822*
7714-6-723.636.32445255000No85,688,674*
7614-5-815.929.9164132101000No99,879,113*
7513-7-79.824.81034371630000No113,746,709*
7413-6-85.421.2526382361000No126,639,961*
7313-5-92.718.93183630122000No137,836,469*
7212-7-81.217.611129351951000No146,665,838*
7112-6-90.417.005213527102000No152,550,352*
7011-8-80.116.702133032174100No155,126,479*
6911-7-90.016.401722342592000No154,191,765*
6811-6-100.015.80031430311751000No149,760,090*
6710-8-90.014.70017223325102000No142,266,017*
6610-7-100.012.800031329321851000No132,019,827*
6510-6-110.010.1000162133261120000No119,714,915*
649-8-10No7.000031228321951000No106,061,319*
639-7-11No4.200016193228122000No91,777,363*
629-6-12No2.100021026332171000No77,553,298*
618-8-11No0.8000141731291430000No63,969,468*
608-7-12No0.30001924332382000No51,501,107*
598-6-13No0.100031430301651000No40,451,303*
587-8-12No0.000017213225112000No30,973,331*
577-7-13No0.0000031227312071000No23,113,412*
567-6-14No0.0000151730281441000No16,808,572*
556-8-13No0.00002923312392000No11,912,438*
546-7-14NoNo000414283018610000.0%8,201,258*
536-6-15NoNo000161931271330000.05,491,410*
525-8-14NoNo000210253222810000.03,573,333*
515-7-15NoNo000141630301640000.02,257,223*
505-6-16NoNo00018223325920000.11,384,351*
494-8-15NoNo00031329321851000.5821,502*
484-7-16NoNo0016203427102001.8472,464*
474-6-17NoNo002112934195005.1262,139*
463-8-16NoNo0015203528101011.3139,262*
453-7-17NoNo002123035183021.671,614*
443-6-18NoNo0162237278035.435,520*
432-8-17NoNo00214343514150.216,737*
422-7-18NoNo017274022364.97,581*
412-6-19NoNo03184033579.13,278*
402-5-20NoNo021137401087.11,367*
391-7-19NoNo0532451795.1513*
381-6-20NoNo319532496.5172*
371-5-21NoNo216532998.255*
360-7-20NoNo146818Yes22*
351-3-23NoNo100Yes2*
340-5-22NoNo6733Yes3*
290-0-27NoNo0892Yes289,941
Total:9.1%20.6%9121313121097542211000000000.0%2,564,537,404

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship