Chesham United Title Chances 2012-2013 50/50Beat Cambridge City 1-0, title odds up 0.06 to 0.1% 45 points 12-9-9 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Chesham United 1 Cambridge City 0 | +0.1 | | +1.4 | | -0.1 | | +1.1 | | Gosport Borough 3 Leamington 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Hemel Hempstead 4 Bedford Town 3 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | Stourbridge 3 Bideford 1 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | Hitchin Town 1 Weymouth 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | St Albans City 0 St Neots Town 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Bashley 1 Arlesey Town 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Kettering Town 1 AFC Totton 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | Banbury United 1 Bedworth United 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Bedford Town vs Chesham United | -0.1-0.1+0.1 | | -1.5-0.6+1.9 | | | | -1.0-0.2+1.1 | | Bedworth United vs Hemel Hempstead | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | St Neots Town vs Stourbridge | | | +0.1+0.0-0.2 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Barwell vs St Albans City | | | -0.2+0.1+0.1 | | | | | | Cambridge City vs Gosport Borough | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | | | | | Weymouth vs Banbury United | | | -0.2+0.1+0.2 | | | | | | Arlesey Town vs Chippenham Town | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | AFC Totton vs Redditch United | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chesham United finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 81 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 75.7 | % | 81.7 | % | 76 | 23 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,146 | | 79 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 56.0 | | 67.0 | | 56 | 40 | 4 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,267 | | 78 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 43.4 | | 57.5 | | 43 | 49 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,154 | | 77 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 30.5 | | 47.9 | | 31 | 55 | 13 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,394 | | 76 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 21.8 | | 41.3 | | 22 | 55 | 20 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 14,036 | | 75 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | 12.5 | | 34.4 | | 13 | 52 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,253 | * | 74 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 7.0 | | 30.2 | | 7 | 43 | 38 | 11 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 42,805 | | 73 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 3.2 | | 27.4 | | 3 | 32 | 43 | 19 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 82,403 | * | 72 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 1.1 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 20 | 41 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 117,523 | * | 71 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 0.3 | | 24.5 | | 0 | 11 | 34 | 37 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 204,991 | * | 70 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 22.9 | | 0 | 5 | 23 | 38 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 307,331 | * | 69 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 20.1 | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 33 | 34 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 409,528 | * | 68 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 15.7 | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22 | 35 | 27 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 599,594 | * | 67 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 9.8 | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 423,612 | | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 10.9 | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 30 | 34 | 18 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 340,117 | * | 66 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 5.6 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 733,888 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 5.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 188,726 | * | 65 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 2.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 902,107 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 2.5 | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 247,299 | * | 64 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.7 | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 29 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 693,862 | * | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 592,576 | | 63 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 1,100,574 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 286,444 | * | 62 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,080,608 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 415,708 | * | 61 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 882,847 | * | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 591,842 | | 60 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 1,101,705 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 167,475 | * | | 5 | - | 0 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 28 | 33 | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 139,332 | | 59 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 18 | 32 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 912,285 | * | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 33 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 408,130 | | 58 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 33 | 23 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 670,410 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 33 | 25 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 465,557 | * | 57 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 27 | 33 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 821,295 | * | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 126,063 | * | 56 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 31 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 516,542 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 251,960 | * | 55 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 27 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 335,325 | | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 233,523 | * | 54 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 25 | 35 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 403,447 | * | 53 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 277,070 | * | 52 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 35 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 170,758 | * | 51 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 36 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 97,696 | * | 50 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 33 | 33 | 15 | 3 | 0 | | 0.2 | | 55,093 | * | 49 | | 1 | - | 1 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 27 | 8 | 1 | | 0.8 | | 26,169 | * | 48 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 18 | 2 | | 2.4 | | 10,812 | * | 47 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 39 | 29 | 7 | | 7.0 | | 4,286 | | 46 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 33 | 43 | 16 | | 16.3 | | 1,280 | | 45 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 21 | 46 | 29 | | 28.6 | | 2,140 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.1 | % | 3.1 | % | 0 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 8 | 9 | 11 | 11 | 11 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 17,486,988 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |