How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 -1.0
-2.7
+2.7
-1.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 +0.1
*+0.1
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 *+0.1
Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.9-0.3-0.8
+2.6-0.7-2.2
-3.7+0.6+3.3
+1.2-0.3-1.0
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.0+0.1
Lincoln City vs Luton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town-0.0+0.1*-0.0
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Cambridge United vs Colchester United*+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cheltenham Town finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
98-129YesYes100No9,812*
9729-7-699.6%Yes1000No562*
9629-6-799.9Yes1000No815*
9528-8-699.5Yes991No1,310*
9428-7-799.3Yes991No2,277*
9328-6-899.5Yes991No3,437*
9227-8-799.3Yes991No5,512*
9127-7-898.7Yes991No8,210*
9026-9-798.4Yes9820No12,632*
8926-8-897.2Yes9730No18,658*
8826-7-995.9Yes9640No27,220*
8725-9-894.3Yes9460No39,182*
8625-8-991.9100.0%92800No55,302*
8525-7-1088.8100.0891100No76,669*
8424-9-984.2100.0841510No105,935*
8324-8-1078.999.97919200No144,927*
8223-10-972.399.87225300No193,481*
8123-9-1064.599.664305000No255,642*
8023-8-1155.299.055358100No332,741*
7922-10-1045.297.8454013200No429,237*
7822-9-1135.195.43542194000No543,211*
7722-8-1225.291.025412581000No679,346*
7621-10-1116.683.5173631133000No838,788*
7521-9-129.772.310293420710000No1,022,551*
7421-8-135.057.752032261231000No1,228,553*
7320-10-122.240.8212273019820000No1,459,460*
7220-9-130.824.7161829261451000No1,708,182*
7119-11-120.212.202102228221141000No1,972,408*
7019-10-130.04.701413242719931000No2,250,275*
6919-9-140.01.3001615252617820000No2,533,562*
6818-11-130.00.200027162525167200000No2,815,997*
6718-10-14No0.00002717252416720000No3,086,853*
6618-9-15No0.0000271625241672000000No3,335,736*
6517-11-14No0.0000027162425167200000No3,566,328*
6417-10-15NoNo000026152425178200000No3,758,177*
6317-9-16NoNo00002614232518831000No3,906,384*
6216-11-15NoNo00001513232519931000No4,009,904*
6116-10-16NoNo000015132226201031000No4,063,741*
6016-9-17NoNo0000151222262010310000.0%4,053,117*
5915-11-16NoNo0000141222262010310000.03,998,565*
5815-10-17NoNo00001513232620930000.03,888,316*
5714-12-16NoNo0000151424271982000.23,727,703*
5614-11-17NoNo000026162627176101.23,527,833*
5514-10-18NoNo00002819282513403.93,292,288*
5413-12-17NoNo0001311233022819.73,028,142*
5313-11-18NoNo0001516293016319.42,747,900*
5213-10-19NoNo00029233425732.52,461,386*
5112-12-18NoNo000141632341347.12,169,134*
5012-11-19NoNo00002927402261.41,887,428*
4912-10-20NoNo001521423273.61,615,232*
4811-12-19NoNo000214414283.11,364,206*
4711-11-20NoNo0019375389.81,133,295*
4611-10-21NoNo0005316394.1929,132*
4510-12-20NoNo003257296.8748,896*
4410-11-21NoNo002197998.3593,167*
4310-10-22NoNo01148599.2464,469*
429-12-21NoNo00118999.6356,945*
419-11-22NoNo0079299.8269,257*
409-10-23NoNo0059599.9200,681*
398-12-22NoNo0397100.0146,416*
388-11-23NoNo0298100.0105,132*
378-10-24NoNo0199100.074,075*
367-12-23NoNo0199100.051,519*
357-11-24NoNo199Yes35,139*
347-10-25NoNo0100Yes23,378*
337-9-26NoNo0100Yes15,051*
326-11-25NoNo0100Yes9,891*
316-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,189*
306-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,688*
295-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,206*
3-28NoNo100Yes12,135*
Total:2.1%7.3%22333334444444455555566712.9%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship