Cheltenham Town Title Chances 2016-2017 50/50Lost to Exeter City 3-4, title odds down 0.9 to 2.1% 3 points 1-0-3 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/26 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cheltenham Town 3 Exeter City 4 | -1.0 | | -2.7 | | +2.7 | | -1.1 | | Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 | +0.1 | | | | *+0.1 | | | | Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 | | | *+0.1 | | | | | | Colchester United 5 Forest Green Ro 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | League One | 100.0* | Conference | 100.0* | Average seed | Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage | +0.9-0.3-0.8 | | +2.6-0.7-2.2 | | -3.7+0.6+3.3 | | +1.2-0.3-1.0 | | Exeter City vs Newport County | | | -0.1+0.1*+0.0 | | | | | | Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Swindon Town vs Barnet | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Port Vale vs Notts County | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro | | | -0.1+0.1+0.0 | | -0.1-0.0+0.1 | | | | Lincoln City vs Luton Town | | | *+0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Morecambe vs Accrington Stan | | | *-0.0+0.1-0.0 | | +0.1-0.0-0.0 | | | | Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town | | | -0.0+0.1*-0.0 | | | | | | Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Chesterfield vs Coventry City | | | +0.0+0.1-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Cambridge United vs Colchester United | | | | | *+0.0-0.1+0.0 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cheltenham Town finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | League | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | One | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Conference | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | -129 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,812 | * | 97 | | 29 | - | 7 | - | 6 | 99.6 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 562 | * | 96 | | 29 | - | 6 | - | 7 | 99.9 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 815 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,310 | * | 94 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,277 | * | 93 | | 28 | - | 6 | - | 8 | 99.5 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,437 | * | 92 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,512 | * | 91 | | 27 | - | 7 | - | 8 | 98.7 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,210 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 98.4 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 12,632 | * | 89 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 97.2 | | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 18,658 | * | 88 | | 26 | - | 7 | - | 9 | 95.9 | | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 27,220 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 94.3 | | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,182 | * | 86 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 91.9 | | 100.0 | % | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 55,302 | * | 85 | | 25 | - | 7 | - | 10 | 88.8 | | 100.0 | | 89 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 76,669 | * | 84 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.2 | | 100.0 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,935 | * | 83 | | 24 | - | 8 | - | 10 | 78.9 | | 99.9 | | 79 | 19 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 144,927 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 72.3 | | 99.8 | | 72 | 25 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 193,481 | * | 81 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 64.5 | | 99.6 | | 64 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 255,642 | * | 80 | | 23 | - | 8 | - | 11 | 55.2 | | 99.0 | | 55 | 35 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 332,741 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 45.2 | | 97.8 | | 45 | 40 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,237 | * | 78 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 35.1 | | 95.4 | | 35 | 42 | 19 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 543,211 | * | 77 | | 22 | - | 8 | - | 12 | 25.2 | | 91.0 | | 25 | 41 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 679,346 | * | 76 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 16.6 | | 83.5 | | 17 | 36 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 838,788 | * | 75 | | 21 | - | 9 | - | 12 | 9.7 | | 72.3 | | 10 | 29 | 34 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,022,551 | * | 74 | | 21 | - | 8 | - | 13 | 5.0 | | 57.7 | | 5 | 20 | 32 | 26 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,228,553 | * | 73 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 2.2 | | 40.8 | | 2 | 12 | 27 | 30 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,459,460 | * | 72 | | 20 | - | 9 | - | 13 | 0.8 | | 24.7 | | 1 | 6 | 18 | 29 | 26 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,708,182 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.2 | | 12.2 | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,972,408 | * | 70 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 4.7 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,250,275 | * | 69 | | 19 | - | 9 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 1.3 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,533,562 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.2 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 2,815,997 | * | 67 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,086,853 | * | 66 | | 18 | - | 9 | - | 15 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 24 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,335,736 | * | 65 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 3,566,328 | * | 64 | | 17 | - | 10 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,758,177 | * | 63 | | 17 | - | 9 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 23 | 25 | 18 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 3,906,384 | * | 62 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 25 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 4,009,904 | * | 61 | | 16 | - | 10 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | 4,063,741 | * | 60 | | 16 | - | 9 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 4,053,117 | * | 59 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,998,565 | * | 58 | | 15 | - | 10 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 3,888,316 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 3,727,703 | * | 56 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 27 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 1.2 | | 3,527,833 | * | 55 | | 14 | - | 10 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 3.9 | | 3,292,288 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 8 | 1 | 9.7 | | 3,028,142 | * | 53 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 3 | 19.4 | | 2,747,900 | * | 52 | | 13 | - | 10 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 7 | 32.5 | | 2,461,386 | * | 51 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 34 | 13 | 47.1 | | 2,169,134 | * | 50 | | 12 | - | 11 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 27 | 40 | 22 | 61.4 | | 1,887,428 | * | 49 | | 12 | - | 10 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 21 | 42 | 32 | 73.6 | | 1,615,232 | * | 48 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14 | 41 | 42 | 83.1 | | 1,364,206 | * | 47 | | 11 | - | 11 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 37 | 53 | 89.8 | | 1,133,295 | * | 46 | | 11 | - | 10 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 63 | 94.1 | | 929,132 | * | 45 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 96.8 | | 748,896 | * | 44 | | 10 | - | 11 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19 | 79 | 98.3 | | 593,167 | * | 43 | | 10 | - | 10 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 14 | 85 | 99.2 | | 464,469 | * | 42 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 99.6 | | 356,945 | * | 41 | | 9 | - | 11 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 92 | 99.8 | | 269,257 | * | 40 | | 9 | - | 10 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 95 | 99.9 | | 200,681 | * | 39 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 97 | 100.0 | | 146,416 | * | 38 | | 8 | - | 11 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | 100.0 | | 105,132 | * | 37 | | 8 | - | 10 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 74,075 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 99 | 100.0 | | 51,519 | * | 35 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 35,139 | * | 34 | | 7 | - | 10 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 23,378 | * | 33 | | 7 | - | 9 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 15,051 | * | 32 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 9,891 | * | 31 | | 6 | - | 10 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,189 | * | 30 | | 6 | - | 9 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,688 | * | 29 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,206 | * | 3 | -28 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 12,135 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 2.1 | % | 7.3 | % | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 12.9 | % | 90,490,048 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |