Chelmsford City Title Chances 2012-2013Beat Staines Town 3-1, title odds up 0.8 to 3.4% 53 points 16-5-8 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | +1.2 | | +2.0 | | No | | +0.3 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | -0.7 | | -0.5 | | | | | | Salisbury City 1 Weston-S-Mare 1 | +0.3 | | +0.2 | | | | | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | -0.1 | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.2 | | | | -0.1 | | Havant and W 3 Sutton United 0 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | +0.1 | | | | | | Eastleigh 1 Eastbourne 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | -1.8-0.9+2.0 | | -2.4-0.7+2.4 | | | | -0.3-0.1+0.3 | | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | -0.4+0.3+0.7 | | -0.3+0.3+0.5 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1*+0.0-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Chelmsford City vs AFC Hornchurch | +1.3-1.3-2.1 | | +1.6-1.4-2.8 | | | | +0.2-0.2-0.4 | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | +1.3-1.3-2.0 | | +1.6-1.4-2.8 | | | | +0.2-0.2-0.4 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | -0.9+0.8+2.0 | | -0.7+0.6+1.5 | | | | | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | -0.9+0.7+1.8 | | -0.7+0.6+1.4 | | | | | | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | +0.6+0.2-0.6 | | +0.2+0.2-0.3 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.1+0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Farnborough | | | +0.1*+0.1-0.2 | | | | | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.1*+0.0-0.2 | | | | | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Dorchester Town vs Farnborough | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Chelmsford City finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 92 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 98.8 | % | 99.1 | % | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,928 | | 90 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 94.2 | | 95.6 | | 94 | 6 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,237 | | 89 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 87.3 | | 90.4 | | 87 | 13 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,702 | | 88 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 0 | 84.0 | | 88.0 | | 84 | 16 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 11,385 | | 87 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 73.5 | | 80.1 | | 74 | 26 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 26,102 | | 86 | | 10 | - | 3 | - | 0 | 65.6 | | 74.2 | | 66 | 33 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 39,782 | * | 85 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 1 | 54.2 | | 65.7 | | 54 | 43 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 84,015 | | 84 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 2 | 42.2 | | 56.7 | | 42 | 52 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 130,252 | * | 83 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 1 | 32.1 | | 49.1 | | 32 | 58 | 9 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 197,057 | * | 82 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 2 | 22.2 | | 41.6 | | 22 | 62 | 16 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 309,240 | * | 81 | | 8 | - | 4 | - | 1 | 15.6 | | 36.7 | | 16 | 61 | 23 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 208,065 | | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 3 | 12.7 | | 34.5 | | 13 | 61 | 26 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 202,706 | | 80 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 2 | 8.5 | | 31.4 | | 8 | 56 | 34 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 549,952 | * | 79 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 3 | 4.1 | | 28.1 | | 4 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 519,355 | | | 7 | - | 5 | - | 1 | 5.3 | | 28.9 | | 5 | 49 | 43 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 190,993 | | 78 | | 7 | - | 4 | - | 2 | 2.3 | | 26.7 | | 2 | 39 | 53 | 6 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 531,284 | | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 4 | 1.8 | | 26.4 | | 2 | 37 | 54 | 7 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 301,839 | * | 77 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 3 | 0.9 | | 25.6 | | 1 | 28 | 60 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 783,741 | | | 6 | - | 6 | - | 1 | 1.0 | | 25.7 | | 1 | 28 | 59 | 11 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 189,429 | * | 76 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 4 | 0.3 | | 25.2 | | 0 | 18 | 61 | 19 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 646,566 | | | 6 | - | 5 | - | 2 | 0.4 | | 25.3 | | 0 | 19 | 62 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 429,703 | * | 75 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 3 | 0.1 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 11 | 59 | 27 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 777,508 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 5 | 0.1 | | 25.1 | | 0 | 11 | 58 | 28 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 344,523 | * | 74 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 6 | 51 | 37 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 848,757 | | | 5 | - | 6 | - | 2 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 6 | 53 | 35 | 5 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 293,031 | * | 73 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 5 | 0.0 | | 24.9 | | 0 | 3 | 41 | 45 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 553,345 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 3 | 0.0 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 3 | 43 | 44 | 10 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 546,839 | * | 72 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 4 | 0.0 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 1 | 31 | 49 | 17 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 714,835 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 6 | 0.0 | | 24.8 | | 0 | 1 | 31 | 50 | 18 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 294,715 | * | 71 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | 24.5 | | | 0 | 21 | 50 | 27 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 618,238 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | 24.6 | | | 0 | 22 | 50 | 25 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 282,037 | * | 70 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | 23.9 | | | 0 | 13 | 47 | 36 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 400,527 | | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | 23.7 | | | 0 | 12 | 46 | 37 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 358,835 | * | 69 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | 22.3 | | | 0 | 7 | 38 | 45 | 10 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 612,235 | * | 68 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | 19.8 | | | 0 | 3 | 27 | 49 | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 474,907 | * | 67 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | 16.2 | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 47 | 28 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 348,308 | * | 66 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | 11.7 | | | | 0 | 8 | 38 | 37 | 14 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 243,888 | * | 65 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | 7.1 | | | | 0 | 3 | 25 | 40 | 24 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 163,162 | * | 64 | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 6 | No | 3.6 | | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 34 | 34 | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 102,448 | * | 63 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | 1.3 | | | | | 0 | 5 | 22 | 36 | 26 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 60,828 | * | 62 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 34,268 | * | 61 | | 1 | - | 5 | - | 7 | No | 0.1 | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 15 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 17,537 | * | 60 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 27 | 12 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,415 | * | 59 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 32 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 3,672 | * | 58 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 10 | 24 | 33 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 1,499 | * | 57 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | 1 | 2 | 12 | 32 | 31 | 15 | 7 | 1 | | | | | | | | No | 534 | * | 56 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 1 | 1 | 14 | 28 | 34 | 19 | 3 | 1 | | | | | | | No | 181 | * | 55 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 6 | 18 | 29 | 29 | 3 | 12 | 3 | | | | | | No | 34 | | 54 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 14 | 29 | 29 | 14 | | | | | | | No | 7 | | 53 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 13 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | | | | No | 1,522 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 3.4 | % | 26.1 | % | 3 | 18 | 35 | 25 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |