Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePremier LeagueChance will finish season at seedLeague One
3/21PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrength4/4
BournemouthWMiddlesbrough 3-07321-10-84245.1%+22.278.2%+17.145261584200002.1+0.72No1.687at IpswichAFC Bournemouth
MiddlesbroughLBournemouth 0-37221-9-92923.0-15.260.5-12.32325211694200002.8-0.58No2.678WiganMiddlesbrough
WatfordLIpswich 0-17222-6-113217.7-13.253.8-14.518222217126210003.2-0.67No6.641at DerbyWatford
NorwichWNottm Forest 3-17020-10-93310.5+5.443.9+9.8111721211694100003.7+0.63No4.652at BrightonNorwich City
Derby6719-10-10262.6+0.627.4+0.03713182219136000004.9-0.06No3.627WatfordDerby County
IpswichWWatford 1-06719-10-10160.8+0.617.3+6.612510172522171000005.9+0.77No5.584BournemouthIpswich Town
BrentfordTMillwall 2-26620-6-13120.2-0.311.5-5.701361220292630000006.5-0.60No8.553at FulhamBrentford
Wolves6518-11-10110.1+0.07.4-0.60013815254151000007.0-0.03No7.556at Nottm ForestWolverhampton Wanderers
Nottm ForestLNorwich 1-35715-12-128No-0.00.1-0.200000164323138420000009.9-0.30No10.533WolvesNottingham Forest
BlackburnLBrighton 0-15414-12-131No0.0-0.10000119222015116310000011.1-0.70No12.498at LeedsBlackburn Rovers
CharltonWReading 3-25413-15-11-2No0.000000114212017138421000011.4+0.69No-0.09.481at MillwallCharlton Athletic
Sheff WedWRotherham 3-25313-14-12-4No0.000000511151819169410000012.5+0.990.0%11.462HuddersfieldSheffield Wednesday
LeedsTBlackpool 1-15214-10-15-4No0.0-0.0000005111416181811521000012.7-0.410.013.467BlackburnLeeds United
CardiffWBirmingham 2-05113-12-14-2No0.00000591418191710521000012.7+0.790.0-0.014.481at ReadingCardiff City
BirminghamLCardiff 0-247111-14-13-12No0.00000124813201713106310015.6-0.810.0+0.015.421RotherhamBirmingham City
BoltonTWigan 1-14512-9-18-11NoNo000012511161817151030017.2-0.210.2-0.316.430BlackpoolBolton Wanderers
BrightonWBlackburn 1-04510-15-14-3NoNo000012511171816141040017.2+1.190.4-2.317.473NorwichBrighton and Hove Albion
ReadingLCharlton 2-344112-8-18-19NoNo-0.000000135101416161512610017.4-0.630.5+0.118.386CardiffReading
HuddersfieldLFulham 0-24411-11-17-19NoNo000001259131620231110018.4-1.081.2+0.519.396at Sheff WedHuddersfield Town
FulhamWHuddersfield 2-04312-7-20-18NoNo00001259131720201220018.5+1.032.1-6.620.404BrentfordFulham
RotherhamLSheff Wed 2-3409-13-17-20NoNo000000113591748141020.4-0.6415.7+5.521.377at BirminghamRotherham United
WiganTBolton 1-1358-11-20-17NoNo000000013135726022.0-0.1483.5+3.822.379at MiddlesbroughWigan Athletic
MillwallTBrentford 2-2337-12-20-31NoNo0000000032471122.7+0.0696.3-0.923.311CharltonMillwall
BlackpoolTLeeds 1-1234-11-24-48NoNo000019924.0-0.01100.0+0.024.247at BoltonBlackpool

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 3/7
Nottm Forest 2 Middlesbrough 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+2.0
+2.1
Middlesbrough-9.9
-9.8
-0.5
Watford+2.5
+2.2
Derby+3.4
+2.2
Nottm ForestNo
+0.7
Derby 2 Birmingham 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+1.3
+1.3
Middlesbrough+2.2
+1.4
Watford+1.5
+1.4
Derby-6.3
-6.2
-0.3
Birmingham+0.2
Fulham 1 Bournemouth 5
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+5.8
+8.3
+0.5
Middlesbrough-1.7
-1.8
Watford-1.3
-1.7
Derby-1.7
-1.8
Fulham*No
+2.1
-0.6
Millwall 1 Norwich 4
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Norwich+3.6
+6.5
+0.4
Rotherham-1.4
Millwall+3.5
Wolves 2 Watford 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Middlesbrough+0.9
+0.7
Watford-2.6
-2.3
Derby+0.8
+0.7
Wolves-0.8
Ipswich 1 Brentford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich-0.6
-2.7
-0.3
Brentford-0.3
+0.3
Blackburn 1 Bolton 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Blackburn+0.6
BoltonNo
+0.6
-0.6
Cardiff 1 Charlton 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Charlton+1.2
Cardiff-1.1
Blackpool 0 Sheff Wed 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Sheff Wed+0.8
Wigan 0 Leeds 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Leeds+1.1
Rotherham-3.8
Wigan+8.5
-0.3
Huddersfield 0 Rotherham 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
HuddersfieldNo
+1.6
-1.2
Rotherham-9.8
+1.0
Wigan+4.1
Week of 3/14
Derby 0 Middlesbrough 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-1.9
-0.6
Middlesbrough+13.8
+14.0
+0.7
Derby-9.6
-12.3
-0.6
Wigan 0 Watford 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-3.0
-2.3
Middlesbrough-2.1
-2.1
Watford+7.7
+8.6
+0.4
Norwich-1.1
-1.6
Derby-1.5
-2.1
Brighton-1.2
Fulham-1.7
Rotherham-2.9
Wigan+7.3
-0.2
Middlesbrough 4 Ipswich 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-1.7
-1.4
Middlesbrough+6.2
+8.1
+0.5
Ipswich-0.6
-3.6
-0.4
Cardiff 1 Bournemouth 1
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-5.5
-4.1
-0.2
Middlesbrough+1.7
+1.1
Watford+1.6
+1.1
Norwich+0.8
+0.8
Derby+1.3
+1.0
Bournemouth 4 Blackpool 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+5.2
+5.5
+0.3
Middlesbrough-1.1
-1.2
Watford-1.2
-1.2
Norwich-1.2
-1.2
Derby-1.4
-1.2
Watford 4 Reading 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth-1.5
-1.5
Watford+5.0
+6.5
+0.4
Norwich-1.1
-1.3
Derby-1.1
-1.4
ReadingNo
-0.4
Norwich 1 Derby 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+1.8
+1.3
Norwich-4.2
-4.5
-0.2
Derby-0.4
+0.5
Huddersfield 2 Norwich 2
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth+1.0
+1.1
Norwich-3.0
-4.3
-0.2
Huddersfield-0.3
-0.0
Brentford 1 Cardiff 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brentford-1.3
-6.5
-0.7
Cardiff+1.2
Blackburn 2 Brentford 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brentford+0.4
+5.3
+0.6
Blackburn-0.6
-0.6
Ipswich 1 Bolton 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich+2.8
+0.4
BoltonNo
+0.4
-0.5
Brighton 1 Wolves 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Wolves-0.6
Brighton+0.2
-0.3
Wolves 3 Sheff Wed 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Wolves+1.7
+0.4
Sheff Wed-0.5
Nottm Forest 2 Rotherham 0
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Nottm Forest+0.4
Rotherham+2.5
-0.4
Wigan-1.6
Leeds 0 Nottm Forest 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Leeds-0.2
Charlton 1 Blackburn 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Blackburn+0.8
Charlton-0.9
Sheff Wed 1 Fulham 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Sheff Wed-0.3
Fulham-0.6
Blackpool 0 Charlton 3
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Charlton+0.7
Fulham 0 Leeds 3
Wed100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
LeedsNo
+1.0
Fulham+3.6
-0.8
Wigan-2.2
Birmingham 1 Huddersfield 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Birmingham-0.4
Huddersfield*No
-0.3
Rotherham 1 Wigan 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Rotherham+6.9
-0.8
Wigan-11.5
+0.4
Bolton 2 Millwall 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton-1.4
+0.7
Millwall+2.7
Millwall 0 Brighton 0
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brighton+0.2
-0.3
Millwall+0.9

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.