Points  (Full Screen)
Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Explain

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Chance will win titlePremier LeagueChance will finish season at seedLeague One
12/6PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthFriday
DerbyWBrighton 3-03811-5-41931.1%+3.662.9%+6.031221611853211000000000000003.0+0.490.0%2.616Derby County
MiddlesbroughWMillwall 5-13610-6-41822.5+4.454.2+8.323201713964321100000000000003.5+0.760.0-0.05.632Middlesbrough
BournemouthWWolves 2-13610-6-41820.5+0.752.1+3.8202017131075321100000000000003.6+0.440.0-0.01.603AFC Bournemouth
IpswichWLeeds 4-13710-7-31214.8+2.144.1+6.1151716141296432110000000000004.2+0.730.0-0.03.575Ipswich Town
Watford329-5-6145.1-2.825.6-4.2581113131210865321110000000005.9-0.230.0-0.06.580Watford
BrentfordLHuddersfield 1-23410-4-652.5-4.417.3-9.835791112111087543211000000007.1-1.070.0+0.07.516Brentford
NorwichWWigan 1-0308-6-661.0+0.110.1+2.712468101011109865432110000008.7+1.300.1-0.39.526Norwich City
BlackburnLSheff Wed 1-2318-7-530.8-2.08.8-6.91235791010109875432111000009.0-1.220.1+0.011.500Blackburn Rovers
Nottm ForestTCharlton 1-1297-8-550.5-0.76.9-2.31134689101010986543211000009.6-0.290.2-0.110.516Nottingham Forest
CardiffTRotherham 0-0308-6-620.4-0.66.1-2.4012457891010987543211100009.9-0.380.2-0.114.497Cardiff City
CharltonTNottm Forest 1-1296-11-310.3-0.35.3-1.201235689101010976532211000010.3+0.020.3-0.24.489Charlton Athletic
Sheff WedWBlackburn 2-1286-10-400.2+0.13.9+1.70112457891010987643221100011.0+1.890.5-1.88.479Sheffield Wednesday
WolvesLBournemouth 1-2277-6-7-80.0-0.10.8-0.700001123457899998764321014.4-0.673.5+0.312.416Wolverhampton Wanderers
ReadingTBolton 0-0257-4-9-50.0-0.00.7-0.400001123456899998765432014.7-0.124.5-0.815.440Reading
HuddersfieldWBrentford 2-1246-6-8-60.0+0.00.5+0.200001122346789999876532015.2+1.575.8-7.713.436Huddersfield Town
LeedsLIpswich 1-4236-5-9-60.0-0.00.3-0.500000111234578999987653116.3-1.059.4+2.416.432Leeds United
BoltonTReading 0-0226-4-10-60.0-0.00.2-0.100000011223467899999865116.9+0.3212.1-3.419.428Bolton Wanderers
Fulham226-4-10-90.0-0.00.1-0.0000000111234578991099875117.2+0.3413.9-3.418.424Fulham
MillwallLMiddlesbrough 1-5204-8-8-90.0-0.00.1-0.20000000011223467891011111110418.6-1.2925.0+8.221.407at BrightonMillwall
BrightonLDerby 0-3183-9-8-70.0-0.00.0-0.10000000001123356781011121313519.2-0.8131.4+6.222.418MillwallBrighton and Hove Albion
BirminghamLBlackpool 0-1225-7-8-140.0-0.00.0-0.00000000001122356781011121313419.2-0.6130.4+4.317.358Birmingham City
RotherhamTCardiff 0-0204-8-8-100.00.0-0.0000000000111234568911131415619.6+0.2634.9-5.220.379Rotherham United
WiganLNorwich 0-1173-8-9-60.0-0.00.0-0.0000000000111234568911121415619.6-0.6535.3+5.323.424Wigan Athletic
BlackpoolWBirmingham 1-0122-6-12-170.00.00000000000000000011237157023.4+0.2792.1-3.924.325Blackpool

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 12/5
Wolves 1 Bournemouth 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-1.6
-1.2
Middlesbrough-1.1
-1.1
Bournemouth+5.3
+7.0
+0.5
Ipswich-0.8
-0.9
Watford-0.6
-0.8
Brentford-0.5
-0.7
Wolves-0.6
+1.2
-0.8
Millwall 1 Middlesbrough 5
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-1.4
-1.2
Middlesbrough+4.9
+6.8
+0.5
Bournemouth-1.1
-1.1
Ipswich-0.8
-1.0
Watford-0.5
-0.8
Brentford-0.5
-0.8
Millwall+4.2
-0.7
Brighton-0.5
Birmingham-0.5
Rotherham-0.6
Wigan-0.6
Derby 3 Brighton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby+4.6
+5.2
+0.4
Middlesbrough-1.1
-0.9
Bournemouth-1.1
-0.9
Ipswich-0.8
-0.8
Watford-0.6
-0.7
Brentford-0.5
-0.6
Fulham-0.4
Millwall-0.4
Brighton+3.6
-0.4
Birmingham-0.5
Rotherham-0.6
Wigan-0.5
Ipswich 4 Leeds 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-0.9
-0.9
Middlesbrough-0.6
-0.8
Bournemouth-0.7
-0.8
Ipswich+3.2
+5.3
+0.5
Watford-0.3
-0.6
Brentford-0.3
-0.6
Leeds-0.3
+1.7
-0.6
Huddersfield 2 Brentford 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby+0.6
+0.8
Middlesbrough+0.4
+0.7
Bournemouth+0.5
+0.7
Ipswich+0.3
+0.6
Watford+0.2
+0.6
Brentford-2.3
-5.1
-0.7
Huddersfield+0.2
-4.7
+0.9
Brighton+0.6
Rotherham+0.7
Wigan+0.6
Fulham 0 Watford 5
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Watford+1.7
+5.1
+0.9
Fulham-0.3
+3.3
-0.9
Blackburn 1 Sheff Wed 2
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Blackburn-1.3
-4.7
-1.0
Sheff Wed+1.5
-1.3
+1.3
Wigan 0 Norwich 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Norwich+0.6
+2.9
-0.3
+1.0
Huddersfield-0.6
Bolton-0.6
Fulham-0.7
Millwall-0.7
Brighton-0.9
Birmingham-0.9
Rotherham-1.1
Wigan+6.9
-0.7
Nottm Forest 1 Charlton 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Nottm Forest-0.3
-1.4
-0.4
Charlton-0.2
+0.0
Cardiff 0 Rotherham 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Cardiff-0.3
-1.5
-0.4
Fulham*+0.1
Millwall*+0.1
Brighton*+0.1
Rotherham-0.6
+0.0
Wigan*+0.1
Reading 0 Bolton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Reading-0.3
+0.7
-0.4
Bolton-0.3
-0.0
Blackpool 1 Birmingham 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brighton-0.5
Birmingham+6.1
-0.7
Rotherham-0.7
Wigan-0.6
Blackpool-2.1
+0.2
Week of 12/12
Middlesbrough vs DerbyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby24.431.542.4
56.963.572.9
3.32.92.4
Middlesbrough29.019.713.9
61.451.244.7
3.03.74.1
Bournemouth vs CardiffHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby29.632.133.1
61.963.664.3
Bournemouth24.817.414.2
57.848.543.5
3.23.84.3
Cardiff0.20.41.0
4.6*6.19.6
0.30.20.1
10.59.98.8
Bolton vs IpswichHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby32.531.629.6
64.163.361.6
2.92.93.0
Ipswich10.613.219.4
37.542.050.9
4.74.33.7
Bolton0.30.10.1
7.312.415.7
15.917.017.6
Watford vs WiganHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Watford6.53.82.8
29.522.419.2
5.46.36.8
Wigan39.634.124.5
20.019.518.6
Brentford vs BlackburnHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brentford3.61.91.4
21.215.312.4
6.57.48.0
Blackburn0.50.71.5
6.68.612.9
9.69.07.9
Norwich vs HuddersfieldHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Norwich1.40.70.5
12.48.46.7
8.09.19.7
Huddersfield0.30.51.0
7.35.42.9
15.815.113.9
Rotherham vs Nottm ForestHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Nottm Forest0.30.40.9
4.86.09.3
0.40.20.1
10.49.98.8
Rotherham25.936.041.7
18.819.720.2
Charlton vs BlackpoolHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Charlton0.50.20.1
6.64.13.2
0.10.40.7
9.710.811.4
BlackpoolNoNo0.1
94.092.086.7
23.523.423.0
Sheff Wed vs WolvesHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Sheff Wed0.30.10.1
5.13.12.3
0.20.61.0
10.211.412.1
Wolves0.50.71.4
4.63.31.6
15.014.313.1
Birmingham vs ReadingHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Reading0.40.61.1
6.74.52.2
15.514.813.7
Birmingham22.232.138.0
18.419.419.9
Leeds vs FulhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Leeds0.40.20.1
6.010.614.1
15.416.617.3
Fulham0.10.10.3
17.613.68.0
17.817.216.1
Brighton vs MillwallHomeDrawAway
Fri100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Millwall30.724.415.8
19.218.617.6
Brighton23.934.341.1
18.619.520.1

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.