Points
Chance Will Win Championship

Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
Chance will win titlePremier LeagueChance will finish season at seedLeague One
2/28PGW-D-LGD%Change%Change123456789101112131415161718192021222324Avg.Change%ChangeRPIStrengthTuesday
DerbyLFulham 0-26519-8-73140.8%-8.871.9%-7.54122151064200000002.4-0.34No1.656at BrightonDerby County
NorwichWIpswich 2-06218-8-82918.4+10.852.2+14.918201816139420000000003.4+0.87No2.643WiganNorwich City
MiddlesbroughLSheff Wed 0-26318-9-72617.5-7.551.0-11.5171918161395200000003.5-0.60No4.679MillwallMiddlesbrough
WatfordWLeeds 3-26219-5-102711.3+6.542.2+11.311151717161283000000004.0+0.75No5.623FulhamWatford
BournemouthTBlackburn 0-06017-9-8307.8+0.137.1-1.781316171714104100000000004.3-0.18No3.647WolvesAFC Bournemouth
IpswichLNorwich 0-26017-9-8183.0-0.724.5-3.93710131720181120000000005.3-0.41No6.600at LeedsIpswich Town
BrentfordLBirmingham 0-15818-4-1290.9-0.513.8-4.81247121927205100000000006.4-0.58No7.542HuddersfieldBrentford
WolvesWCardiff 1-05716-9-970.3+0.26.7+3.00123611223812310000000007.3+0.48No8.535at BournemouthWolverhampton Wanderers
Nottm ForestWReading 3-05013-11-1080.0+0.00.5+0.30000014133820116321100000009.7+0.660.0%-0.011.533at CharltonNottingham Forest
Sheff WedWMiddlesbrough 2-04611-13-10-20.00.0+0.00000001313211813107532110000011.7+1.200.0-0.19.473BlackburnSheffield Wednesday
BlackburnTBournemouth 0-04511-12-11-10.00.0-0.00000001314201713107543211000011.8-0.080.0-0.012.484at Sheff WedBlackburn Rovers
CharltonWHuddersfield 3-0429-15-10-6No0.0+0.0000000149121212111087643100013.9+1.140.2-0.610.449Nottm ForestCharlton Athletic
CardiffLWolves 0-14110-11-13-6No0.0-0.0000000026911111111109764200014.6-1.260.4+0.217.451at RotherhamCardiff City
BirminghamWBrentford 1-04210-12-12-110.00.00000000025810111111109875300015.0+1.060.4-1.015.422BlackpoolBirmingham City
HuddersfieldLCharlton 0-34211-9-14-12No-0.00.0-0.0000000024681010111110986410015.4-1.300.6+0.314.424at BrentfordHuddersfield Town
LeedsLWatford 2-34111-8-15-9No0.0-0.000000002468910101010987410015.5-1.170.8+0.413.429IpswichLeeds United
BoltonWBrighton 1-04011-7-16-11No0.0000000013578910111111108510016.0+0.831.3-1.716.426ReadingBolton Wanderers
ReadingLNottm Forest 0-34011-7-16-16No0.0-0.0000000013467810111213131120017.1-1.402.4+1.318.390at BoltonReading
FulhamWDerby 2-03911-6-17-12No0.0000000001245789111213131130017.3+1.133.1-4.920.426at WatfordFulham
BrightonLBolton 0-1378-13-13-5No0.0-0.0000000112346791114161761018.2-1.067.1+3.021.456DerbyBrighton and Hove Albion
RotherhamWMillwall 2-1378-13-13-16No0.0000000011234681013172482018.9+0.519.7-6.819.386CardiffRotherham United
MillwallLRotherham 1-2317-10-17-23NoNo000000000000113104436422.2-0.4484.2+12.822.340at MiddlesbroughMillwall
WiganWBlackpool 3-1286-10-18-16NoNo0000000000001263150822.5+0.4089.9-3.723.378at NorwichWigan Athletic
BlackpoolLWigan 1-3224-10-20-39NoNo00000000000002108823.9-0.2099.8+0.724.278at BirminghamBlackpool

Big Games

Who should we root for?   Explain

Week of 2/28
Fulham 2 Derby 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-12.3
-8.7
-0.4
Norwich+2.0
+1.7
Middlesbrough+5.3
+2.0
Watford+1.3
+1.3
Bournemouth+2.2
+1.8
Ipswich+1.2
+1.2
Brentford+0.4
+0.7
Fulham-4.8
+1.1
Rotherham+0.8
Millwall+2.1
Wigan+0.7
Sheff Wed 2 Middlesbrough 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby+5.0
+1.9
Norwich+1.2
+2.0
Middlesbrough-9.1
-10.2
-0.5
Watford+0.8
+1.6
Bournemouth+1.1
+2.2
Ipswich+0.6
+1.5
Brentford+0.3
+0.8
Sheff Wed+1.1
Norwich 2 Ipswich 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-0.7
-0.5
Norwich+3.5
+7.4
+0.5
Middlesbrough-0.5
-0.6
Bournemouth-0.4
Ipswich-1.9
-5.5
-0.4
Leeds 2 Watford 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby-1.1
-1.1
Norwich-0.3
-1.0
Middlesbrough-0.7
-1.3
Watford+2.6
+6.5
+0.5
Bournemouth-0.3
-1.1
Ipswich-0.9
Brentford-0.8
Leeds-0.7
Bournemouth 0 Blackburn 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby+1.2
+0.9
Norwich+0.3
+0.8
Middlesbrough+0.7
+1.2
Watford+0.6
Bournemouth-2.6
-4.8
-0.3
Ipswich+0.6
Brentford+0.5
Blackburn*No
+0.1
Birmingham 1 Brentford 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby+0.4
+0.5
Norwich+0.7
Middlesbrough+0.6
Watford+0.8
Bournemouth+0.8
Ipswich+0.9
Brentford-0.9
-4.8
-0.5
Birmingham-1.0
+1.1
Cardiff 0 Wolves 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Wolves+2.1
+0.4
Cardiff-0.9
Reading 0 Nottm Forest 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Nottm Forest+0.6
Reading+0.8
-0.9
Charlton 3 Huddersfield 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Charlton-0.6
+0.9
Huddersfield-0.8
Bolton 1 Brighton 0
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton-1.9
+1.0
BrightonNo
+2.1
-0.8
Rotherham 2 Millwall 1
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Fulham-0.8
Brighton-0.4
Rotherham-8.4
+0.6
Millwall+9.9
-0.3
Wigan+0.5
Blackpool 1 Wigan 3
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Fulham+0.7
Rotherham+1.2
Millwall+0.8
Wigan-4.2
+0.3
Blackpool+0.6
-0.2
Brighton vs DerbyIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby29.436.451.1
62.569.080.0
2.82.52.0
Norwich21.619.615.4
54.352.950.3
3.33.33.4
Middlesbrough20.718.714.6
53.051.649.2
3.43.43.5
Brighton0.00.0No
2.96.810.0
17.218.318.9
Norwich vs WiganHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby39.043.044.5
70.773.374.5
2.42.32.3
Norwich22.813.19.3
58.045.739.5
3.03.74.1
Wigan92.489.280.1
22.622.522.1
Middlesbrough vs MillwallHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby39.143.044.4
70.873.374.4
2.42.32.3
Middlesbrough21.412.38.8
56.344.338.4
3.13.84.2
Rotherham8.710.213.7
18.918.919.0
Millwall87.582.670.4
22.322.121.7
Watford vs FulhamHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Watford14.87.75.2
48.036.631.3
3.64.34.7
Fulham4.02.50.8
17.817.215.9
Bournemouth vs WolvesHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth11.15.23.3
43.732.626.7
3.84.65.1
Wolves0.10.20.7
4.56.711.9
7.67.36.6
Leeds vs IpswichHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich1.22.15.0
18.322.130.7
5.95.54.8
Leeds0.20.71.3
14.315.616.3
Brentford vs HuddersfieldHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Brentford1.40.40.2
17.311.28.7
6.06.67.0
Huddersfield0.90.50.1
16.015.314.0
Charlton vs Nottm ForestHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Nottm Forest0.20.30.9
0.00.0No
10.19.79.1
Charlton0.00.20.4
12.914.114.8
Sheff Wed vs BlackburnHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Sheff Wed0.00.0No
10.911.912.6
BlackburnNoNo0.0
12.411.810.8
Bolton vs ReadingHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton0.41.52.7
15.116.517.3
Reading3.62.10.6
17.817.115.7
Rotherham vs CardiffHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Cardiff0.80.30.1
15.514.813.5
Rotherham0.0NoNo
4.710.414.8
18.019.119.7
Birmingham vs BlackpoolHomeDrawAway
Tue100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Birmingham0.10.51.0
14.315.516.2
Week of 3/7
Derby vs BirminghamIf winner is:HomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby47.933.526.7
77.766.359.8
2.12.63.0
Norwich16.320.422.3
50.953.554.9
3.43.33.2
Middlesbrough15.519.521.4
49.752.253.6
3.53.43.3
Birmingham0.50.30.1
15.414.813.6
Nottm Forest vs MiddlesbroughHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby43.742.037.7
73.772.670.0
2.32.42.5
Middlesbrough10.714.724.9
41.948.060.3
4.03.62.9
Nottm Forest1.00.30.2
No0.00.0
9.19.710.1
Millwall vs NorwichHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Derby44.242.638.4
74.273.070.3
2.32.32.4
Norwich10.014.024.2
40.947.259.6
4.03.63.0
Millwall72.784.488.9
21.722.222.3
Wolves vs WatfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Watford6.59.617.8
34.140.452.3
4.54.03.3
Wolves0.50.10.0
10.25.63.8
6.87.47.8
Fulham vs BournemouthHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Bournemouth3.55.511.6
28.233.244.3
4.94.53.8
Fulham0.92.84.5
16.117.418.0
Ipswich vs BrentfordHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich4.71.91.1
30.521.416.3
4.85.66.1
Brentford0.30.72.1
9.813.921.6
6.86.35.5
Blackpool vs Sheff WedHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Sheff WedNo0.00.0
12.511.911.0
Blackburn vs BoltonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Blackburn0.00.0No
11.112.112.8
Bolton1.91.10.3
16.716.014.7
Huddersfield vs RotherhamHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Huddersfield0.10.71.5
14.515.816.6
RotherhamNoNo0.0
13.09.03.9
19.518.917.7
Cardiff vs CharltonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Charlton0.40.20.0
14.613.912.7
Cardiff0.10.50.9
13.715.015.8
Wigan vs LeedsHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Leeds1.50.60.1
16.315.614.4
Wigan84.592.194.7
22.322.622.7
Reading vs BrightonHomeDrawAway
Sat100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*League One100.0*Average seed
Reading0.72.54.4
16.117.418.1
BrightonNoNo0.0
10.67.12.9
19.118.417.2

* A starred outcome could have no effect or just a really small effect. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

Thank you Anonymous for adding this league.