How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/26100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Lincoln City 4 Carlisle United 1 -1.7
-3.9
+1.8
-1.1
Swindon Town 0 Crawley Town 3 *+0.1
*+0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*League One100.0*Conference100.0*Average seed
Carlisle United vs Mansfield Town+1.6-0.5-1.3
+3.9-1.0-3.3
-2.4+0.3+2.2
+1.2-0.2-1.1
Exeter City vs Newport County-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
Cheltenham Town vs Stevenage+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Grimsby Town vs Crewe Alexandra+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Swindon Town vs Barnet-0.1+0.0+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
Morecambe vs Accrington Stan*+0.0+0.1-0.0
*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Wycombe Wanderers vs Forest Green Ro-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Port Vale vs Notts County+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Crawley Town vs Yeovil Town+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Lincoln City vs Luton Town*+0.0+0.1-0.1
Chesterfield vs Coventry City+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.0
Cambridge United vs Colchester United-0.0+0.1-0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Carlisle United finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
101-132YesYes100No9,734*
10029-7-699.8%Yes1000No513*
9929-6-7YesYes100No897*
9828-8-699.9Yes1000No1,451*
9728-7-799.8Yes1000No2,264*
9628-6-899.9Yes1000No3,641*
9527-8-799.7Yes1000No5,463*
9427-7-899.7Yes1000No8,293*
9326-9-799.5Yes991No12,547*
9226-8-899.3Yes991No18,609*
9126-7-998.8Yes991No27,163*
9025-9-898.0Yes9820No38,943*
8925-8-997.1Yes9730No55,158*
8825-7-1096.0Yes9640No76,766*
8724-9-994.0100.0%94600No106,382*
8624-8-1091.5100.092800No144,413*
8523-10-988.2100.0881100No193,434*
8423-9-1084.0100.08415100No255,863*
8323-8-1178.499.97820200No332,820*
8222-10-1071.699.87225300No428,718*
8122-9-1163.699.664315000No541,957*
8022-8-1254.398.954369100No680,173*
7921-10-1144.397.74440132000No838,333*
7821-9-1234.095.03442194100No1,020,840*
7721-8-1324.390.424402681000No1,228,865*
7620-10-1215.982.61636311430000No1,458,009*
7520-9-139.271.2928342071000No1,708,276*
7419-11-124.656.152032271341000No1,974,423*
7319-10-132.039.2211263020820000No2,248,873*
7219-9-140.723.41517282615510000No2,532,933*
7118-11-130.211.402921282312410000No2,814,486*
7018-10-140.04.20141223272010310000No3,084,885*
6918-9-150.01.10015142426188200000No3,337,887*
6817-11-140.00.200016152425178200000No3,571,052*
6717-10-15No0.000026162425177200000No3,758,231*
6617-9-16No0.000026152425178200000No3,907,741*
6516-11-15No0.000002615242517820000No4,012,223*
6416-10-16NoNo00001614232518831000No4,058,334*
6316-9-17NoNo000015132325199310000No4,058,075*
6215-11-16NoNo0000151322262010310000No3,996,148*
6115-10-17NoNo00001412222620103100000.0%3,888,165*
6014-12-16NoNo0000141221262111410000.03,729,059*
5914-11-17NoNo0000141121262111310000.03,529,010*
5814-10-18NoNo00014122227211030000.03,291,395*
5713-12-17NoNo00000151323271982000.33,031,361*
5613-11-18NoNo000016152527176101.32,748,668*
5513-10-19NoNo00002718282614404.22,457,338*
5412-12-18NoNo00013102330239110.22,169,280*
5312-11-19NoNo0001515283017420.21,886,807*
5212-10-20NoNo000028223426833.41,614,277*
5111-12-19NoNo000141532341448.11,361,449*
5011-11-20NoNo0002927402262.31,134,438*
4911-10-21NoNo0001520423274.4927,437*
4810-12-20NoNo00214404383.6748,966*
4710-11-21NoNo0019365490.1593,701*
4610-10-22NoNo005316494.3464,401*
459-12-21NoNo003257296.9357,559*
449-11-22NoNo002197998.4269,983*
439-10-23NoNo01148599.2200,778*
428-12-22NoNo00108999.6146,739*
418-11-23NoNo0079399.8104,829*
408-10-24NoNo059599.974,971*
397-12-23NoNo0397100.051,861*
387-11-24NoNo0298100.034,892*
377-10-25NoNo0199100.023,496*
366-12-24NoNo199Yes15,330*
356-11-25NoNo199Yes9,678*
346-10-26NoNo0100Yes6,154*
336-9-27NoNo0100Yes3,793*
325-11-26NoNo0100Yes2,208*
315-10-27NoNo0100Yes1,337*
305-9-28NoNo100Yes796*
294-11-27NoNo0100Yes402*
6-28NoNo100Yes9,554*
Total:4.3%13.0%4444444444444444444444437.1%90,490,048

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship