Chance of winning the title: 0.1%Change:-0.0
being promoted:1.3%-0.0
being demoted:21.1%0.10
Average finish:16.04-0.02

Record:   20 points, 6 - 2 - 10    -8

How are these numbers calculated? (show)

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.

Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Carlisle United:

1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title.

2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad.

The week’s total impact on Carlisle United is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings.

How do I know a matches impact? (show)

Week of 11/29Impact
Northampton1Colchester2(-0.01)
Worst-0.01(-0.01)-0.00 (-0.02)(0.04)-0.01Best
Week of 12/6
WinWinDraw
Swindon (-0.91) Carlisle (1.06) (-0.23) 10:00 AM Sat
Leicester (0.03) Southend (-0.03) (0.01) 9:30 AM Sat
Brighton (-0.05) Milton Keynes (0.04) (0.01) 2:45 PM Fri
Millwall (0.03) Bristol Rovers (-0.05) (0.01) 10:00 AM Sat
Oldham (0.03) Brighton (-0.04) (0.01) 10:00 AM Sat
-0.15(-1.07)0.00 (0.00)(1.19)0.05
Games Above .500  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

Chance Will Win Championship  (Full Screen)

Flash Chart

What If

Chances based on how well Carlisle United finishs out the season.   Explain (show)

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:Chance team will finish the season at position
W-D-LPCTPromoted123456789101112131415161718192021222324DemotedCount
28-0-01.000Yes100No1,000
25-1-2.905Yes100No1
24-1-3.869Yes100No1
23-3-2.857Yes100No6
23-2-3.845Yes100No11
23-1-4.833Yes100No20
23-0-5.821Yes8911No37
22-2-4.810Yes928No77
22-1-5.79899.59091No144
22-0-6.78698.782172No228
21-2-5.77497.572253No428
21-1-6.76296.4662940No773
21-0-7.75093.65734810No1,234
20-2-6.73890.44840112No2,031
20-1-7.72684.737421730No3,322
20-0-8.71477.6274323610No5,395
19-2-7.70267.71839301020No8,040
19-1-8.69057.612323417510No12,210
19-0-9.67947.762435249200No17,861
18-2-8.66738.7316313016410No25,913
18-1-9.65531.4182431239200No36,506
18-0-10.64326.504152829176100No50,112
17-2-9.63122.1018202925123100No68,144
17-1-10.61917.5003122529208200No90,521
17-0-11.60712.40015162727166100No116,699
16-2-10.5957.300281928251341000No147,964
16-1-11.5833.4000310222822103000No184,518
16-0-12.5711.200141324282082000No225,218
15-2-11.5600.300015152627177200No270,186
15-1-12.5480.000171727261551000No317,514
15-0-13.5360.0000281928241341000No365,954
14-2-12.5240.000039212823124100No412,191
14-1-13.512No001311222821103100No456,778
14-0-14.500No00141324282092000No496,283
13-2-13.488No0001514252718720000.0529,498
13-1-14.476No0001616262616610000.0552,597
13-0-15.464No000281928251441000.1564,546
12-2-14.452No0003102128231130000.4567,499
12-1-15.440No00141324292082001.8558,633
12-0-16.429No00161628281651005.7539,103
11-2-15.417No000282130251120013.9508,377
11-1-16.405No00131226312061026.9469,727
11-0-17.393No00016183128133043.8426,396
10-2-16.381No002112633216161.0378,770
10-1-17.369No001518333012175.7328,149
10-0-18.357No000211293519386.5279,600
9-2-17.345No0016223727793.3232,280
9-1-18.333No0031535351297.1188,233
9-0-19.321No001930411898.8149,804
8-2-18.310No00524452699.6116,084
8-1-19.298No000317453599.887,952
8-0-20.286No00112424599.964,864
7-2-19.274No0183854100.046,676
7-1-20.262No0053263100.032,771
7-0-21.250No0032771100.022,262
6-2-20.238No0012178100.014,514
6-1-21.226No11584Yes9,458
6-0-22.214No001188Yes5,827
5-2-21.202No0892Yes3,546
5-1-22.190No0793Yes2,125
4-3-21.179No0496Yes1,189
4-2-22.167No298Yes590
4-1-23.155No298Yes325
3-3-22.143No199Yes161
3-2-23.131No100Yes64
3-1-24.119No298Yes45
2-3-23.107No100Yes4
1-5-22.095No100Yes6
0-7-21.083No100Yes4
1-3-24.071No100Yes1
0-0-28.000No100Yes1,000
Total:1.3%00011122344556677888765321.1%10,000,000