Carlisle United Title Chances 2013-2014 50/50
Lost to Port Vale 1-2, average seed down 0.9 to 17.8
37 points 10-7-17
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How are these numbers calculated?
Big Games
How we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain
| Week of 3/8 | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Port Vale 2 Carlisle 1 | -0.1 | +8.1 | -1.1 | |||
| Peterborough 4 Crewe 2 | -1.0 | +0.1 | ||||
| Gillingham 1 Crawley Town 0 | +0.6 | |||||
| Oldham 1 Preston 3 | -0.6 | +0.1 | ||||
| Stevenage 3 Tranmere 1 | +0.5 | |||||
| Colchester 2 Coventry 1 | +0.4 | |||||
| Notts County 0 Leyton Orient 0 | -0.2 | +0.0 | ||||
| Brentford 2 Bradford City 0 | -0.2 | +0.1 | ||||
| Shrewsbury 2 Bristol City 3 | +0.2 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Sheffield Utd vs Carlisle | +9.6+1.8-10.8 | -1.1-0.3+1.3 | ||||
| Peterborough vs Bristol City | -1.0-0.2+1.2 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Notts County vs MK Dons | +0.9-0.3-0.7 | |||||
| Port Vale vs Leyton Orient | +0.1*-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| Walsall vs Crewe | -1.1-0.3+1.3 | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Shrewsbury vs Crawley Town | +1.0-0.3-0.8 | |||||
| Stevenage vs Preston | +1.3-0.3-1.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Oldham vs Rotherham | +1.1-0.2-1.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Brentford vs Tranmere | -0.9-0.1+1.0 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Gillingham vs Coventry | +0.3-0.1-0.2 | |||||
| Colchester vs Bradford City | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | |||||
| If winner is:HomeDrawAway | ||||||
| Week of 3/15 | 100.0* | Championship | 100.0* | League Two | 100.0* | Average seed |
| Carlisle vs Stevenage | -11.9+1.3+11.0 | +1.3-0.3-1.2 | ||||
| Coventry vs Port Vale | +0.3*-0.0-0.3 | |||||
| Preston vs Sheffield Utd | -0.1*+0.0+0.1 | |||||
| Bristol City vs Swindon | +1.1-0.2-1.0 | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | ||||
| Crawley Town vs Wolverhampton | +0.2*-0.0-0.2 | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | ||||
| Rotherham vs Walsall | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | |||||
| Wolverhampton vs Shrewsbury | -1.0-0.3+1.3 | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | ||||
| Colchester vs Shrewsbury | -0.5-0.3+0.7 | |||||
| Crewe vs Oldham | +0.4-0.5-0.1 | |||||
| Tranmere vs Notts County | +0.3-0.4*+0.0 | |||||
| Crawley Town vs Colchester | -0.3-0.0+0.3 | |||||
| Bradford City vs Gillingham | -0.2-0.1+0.3 | |||||
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.
What If
Chances based on how well Carlisle finishes out the regular season. Explain
| 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | |||||||||||||||
| If finish: | Chance | Chance will finish season at seed | League | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Championship | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Two | Count | |||||
| 73 | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | No | 19.9 | % | 0 | 11 | 68 | 20 | 0 | No | 13,847 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 71 | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | No | 14.0 | 3 | 53 | 40 | 4 | 0 | No | 7,656 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 70 | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | No | 10.7 | 1 | 42 | 47 | 9 | 1 | 0 | No | 11,423 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 69 | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 7.7 | 0 | 31 | 53 | 15 | 1 | 0 | No | 28,112 | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 68 | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | No | 4.5 | 0 | 18 | 51 | 26 | 5 | 0 | 0 | No | 84,199 | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 67 | 10 | - | 0 | - | 2 | No | 2.5 | 0 | 10 | 43 | 35 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | No | 126,503 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 66 | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 1.1 | 0 | 4 | 31 | 39 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 281,237 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 65 | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 0.4 | 0 | 1 | 18 | 36 | 30 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 516,351 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 64 | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 0.1 | 0 | 8 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 773,658 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 63 | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 30 | 30 | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,367,580 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 62 | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 27 | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,020,301 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 61 | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 21 | 30 | 24 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,806,259 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 60 | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 4,083,563 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 59 | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,671,597 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 22 | 29 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 2,538,185 | ||||||||||||||||
| 58 | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 5,256,284 | ||||||||||||||||
| 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | No | 1,226,776 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 57 | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 24 | 30 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | % | 5,921,427 | ||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2,121,389 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 56 | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 29 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 5,257,875 | |||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 3,771,985 | * | |||||||||||||||
| 55 | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 7,886,885 | ||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | 1,166,123 | |||||||||||||||||
| 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 30 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0.3 | 894,100 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 54 | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12 | 25 | 30 | 20 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.6 | 7,103,888 | |||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 29 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3,581,859 | * | |||||||||||||||||
| 53 | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 15 | 28 | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6.0 | 6,576,040 | ||||||||||||||||
| 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 30 | 19 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 7.7 | 3,995,680 | * | ||||||||||||||||
| 52 | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 20.6 | 7,884,402 | |||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 29 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 19.1 | 2,335,900 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 51 | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 31 | 29 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 45.3 | 5,918,845 | ||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 32 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 39.4 | 3,613,604 | * | ||||||||||||||||||
| 50 | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 66.3 | 5,255,829 | |||||||||||||||||||
| 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 1 | 69.5 | 2,983,716 | * | |||||||||||||||||||
| 49 | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 36 | 18 | 3 | 85.9 | 5,260,155 | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 35 | 17 | 3 | 84.3 | 1,660,988 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||
| 48 | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 37 | 32 | 9 | 95.7 | 3,383,601 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 20 | 38 | 29 | 7 | 94.4 | 2,178,225 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 47 | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10 | 32 | 41 | 16 | 98.7 | 2,624,470 | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 42 | 18 | 98.9 | 1,491,488 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 46 | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21 | 46 | 30 | 99.8 | 2,939,977 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||
| 45 | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11 | 42 | 45 | 100.0 | 1,987,902 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||
| 44 | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 5 | 34 | 60 | 100.0 | 1,218,225 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 43 | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 2 | 25 | 73 | 100.0 | 704,253 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||
| 42 | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 1 | 16 | 83 | Yes | 382,612 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 41 | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | 0 | 0 | 9 | 91 | Yes | 179,232 | * | ||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 40 | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | 0 | 5 | 95 | Yes | 74,001 | * | |||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 39 | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 28,121 | ||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 38 | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | 1 | 99 | Yes | 7,690 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| 37 | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | 0 | 100 | Yes | 13,838 | |||||||||||||||||||||||||||
| Total: | No | 0.0 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 4 | 28.5 | % | 124,217,856 | |||||||||||
* Row combines multiple less frequent records.
Points
Chance Will Win Championship
Updated Sunday, 2023-10-22 12:12 AM Eastern (GMT-04:00)
