"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 4/16100.0*Average seed
Oxford Utd 2 Luton 3 -0.1
Leyton Orient 3 Dag & Red 2 -0.1
Cambridge 0 Carlisle 0 +0.1
Mansfield 5 Notts County 0 -0.1
Wycombe 1 Barnet 1 +0.1
Wimbledon 1 Crawley 0 -0.0
Exeter 0 Northampton 0 +0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Carlisle vs Luton+0.9-0.5-1.4
Wycombe vs Yeovil-0.1+0.1+0.2
Leyton Orient vs Plymouth-0.2+0.0+0.1
Cambridge vs Morecambe-0.1+0.1+0.2
Exeter vs Mansfield-0.0+0.1-0.0
Dag & Red vs Wimbledon+0.1+0.0-0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 4/23100.0*Average seed
Crawley vs Carlisle-0.9-0.3+1.1
Notts County vs Cambridge+0.1+0.0-0.2
Portsmouth vs Wycombe+0.1-0.0-0.2
Bristol Rovers vs Exeter+0.1-0.0-0.2
Luton vs Newport-0.1+0.1+0.1
Wimbledon vs Leyton Orient+0.1+0.0-0.1
Mansfield vs Barnet-0.1+0.1+0.1

What If

Chances based on how well the Carlisle finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceLeagueChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleOne123456789101112131415161718192021222324ConferenceCount
734-0-0NoNo24550400No39,918,894
713-1-0NoNo0145626400No101,653,771
703-0-1NoNo05433813200No146,048,059
692-2-0NoNo012241288100No96,909,411
682-1-1NoNo07273823500No276,666,218
672-0-2NoNo0111313717300No196,080,387
1-3-0NoNo0214353513100No40,796,741
661-2-1NoNo0021335361310No173,430,914
651-1-2NoNo002153834100No243,776,201
0-4-0NoNo00319413070No6,391,041
641-0-3NoNo00042143293No113,128,286
0-3-1NoNo00052543252No35,925,057
630-2-2NoNo00063252100No75,000,634
620-1-3NoNo011259280No68,795,599
610-0-4NoNo0349481No23,497,459
Total:NoNo031114161615131030No1,638,018,672
Points
Chance Will Win Championship