How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 12/11100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wedne 0 Wolverhampton 1 -4.3
-0.9
-0.1
Cardiff City 1 Hull City 0 +3.0
+4.8
No
+0.2
Reading 2 Cardiff City 2 -1.8
-1.6
No
-0.0
Bristol City 2 Nottingham Forest 1 -0.2
-1.6
-0.0
Derby County 2 Aston Villa 0 -0.1
-0.7
Preston North End 1 Sheffield United 0 +0.3
Millwall 2 Middlesbrough 1 +0.2
Leeds United 1 Norwich City 0 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 12/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Bolton Wanderers vs Cardiff City-7.2-3.7+4.1
-9.5-4.2+5.1
+0.0NoNo
-0.3-0.1+0.2
Wolverhampton vs Ipswich Town-3.1+3.3+6.8
-0.5+0.6+1.0
-0.0+0.0+0.1
QPR vs Bristol City+0.5+0.2-0.5
+2.6+1.0-2.7
Derby County vs Millwall-0.3+0.3+0.4
-1.6+1.4+2.6
-0.0+0.0+0.1
Aston Villa vs Sheffield United-0.0+0.1*+0.0
-0.2+0.4+0.1
Leeds United vs Hull City-0.2+0.2+0.2
Preston North End vs Nottingham Forest-0.1+0.1+0.1
Sheffield Wedne vs Middlesbrough+0.0+0.0-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardiff City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
113-119YesYes100No36,609*
11221-2-199.9%Yes1000No8,480
11120-4-099.9Yes1000No16,732*
11020-3-199.8Yes1000No36,198*
10920-2-299.6Yes1000No68,310*
10819-4-199.3Yes991No125,806*
10719-3-298.8Yes991No223,000*
10618-5-198.1Yes982No373,429*
10518-4-297.1100.0%9730No614,461*
10418-3-395.7100.09640No959,892*
10317-5-293.8100.09460No1,451,415*
10217-4-391.2100.09190No2,129,554*
10116-6-288.0100.088120No3,009,864*
10016-5-383.9100.084160No4,130,064*
9916-4-479.299.9792100No5,491,728*
9815-6-373.699.9742600No7,072,878*
9715-5-467.499.7673200No8,858,672*
9615-4-560.699.5613910No10,764,972*
9514-6-453.499.0534610No12,713,040*
9414-5-545.998.14652200No14,622,943*
9313-7-438.596.73858300No16,335,464*
9213-6-531.394.53163500No17,776,338*
9113-5-624.691.22567900No18,812,789*
9012-7-518.686.819681310No19,394,691*
8912-6-613.480.8136718100No19,464,347*
8811-8-59.273.496424200No19,028,059*
8711-7-66.064.665931400No18,104,199*
8611-6-73.654.8451377000No16,775,172*
8510-8-62.144.42424312100No15,143,860*
8410-7-71.134.21334618200No13,308,721*
8310-6-80.524.702446254000No11,398,723*
829-8-70.216.601642328100No9,498,365*
819-7-80.110.30103638142000No7,699,221*
809-6-90.05.8062841214000No6,078,725*
798-8-80.02.90319392891000No4,667,685*
788-7-90.01.301123435153000No3,486,784*
777-9-80.00.50062637237100No2,532,079*
767-8-90.00.2003173430133000No1,790,866*
757-7-10No0.001102834206100No1,226,000*
746-9-9No0.0005193328122000No816,837*
736-8-10No0.0002112733206100No526,291*
726-7-11No0.0001519322812300No328,797*
715-9-10NoNo002102633217100No199,595*
705-8-11NoNo015173129143000No116,650*
695-7-12NoNo00292433238100No66,349*
684-9-11NoNo00415303015410No36,080*
674-8-12NoNo01821332510200No19,141*
664-7-13NoNo00312283118610No9,817*
653-9-12NoNo01518312713400No4,671*
643-8-13NoNo029253022820No2,235*
633-7-14NoNo141530301640No1,035*
622-9-13NoNo172231241130No438*
612-8-14NoNo11419362162No170*
602-7-15NoNo9133226181No68*
592-6-16NoNo41121322111No28*
581-8-15NoNo1111333311No9*
571-7-16NoNo17175017No6
470-0-24NoNo0073043182020.0%30,816
Total:24.9%69.4%2545188310000000000000000000.0%297,389,168

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship