How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/20100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Sheffield Wedne 1 Luton Town 0 -0.1
-0.1
Hull City 0 Blackburn Rovers 1 +0.2
Derby County 1 Bristol City 2 +0.1
Middlesbrough 1 Wigan Athletic 0 +0.1
Birmingham City 2 Barnsley 0 +0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Blackburn Rovers vs Cardiff City-0.4-0.0+0.8
-0.8-0.1+1.8
+3.1-0.5-6.0
-0.7+0.1+1.6
Cardiff City vs Huddersfield Town+0.4-0.3-0.5
+0.9-0.6-1.2
-4.1+2.0+6.1
+0.9-0.5-1.3
Preston North End vs Sheffield Wedne+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Stoke City vs Leeds United+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Middlesbrough vs Millwall+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Leeds United vs Brentford-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*-0.0+0.2
Derby County vs West Brom+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
Charlton Athletic vs Brentford-0.1*-0.0+0.2
QPR vs Swansea City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
West Brom vs Reading-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Charlton Athletic vs Nottingham Forest-0.0-0.0+0.1
Hull City vs Bristol City+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
Fulham vs Nottingham Forest-0.0*-0.0+0.1
Swansea City vs Birmingham City-0.0*-0.0+0.1
QPR vs Wigan Athletic-0.1-0.1+0.2
Preston North End vs Stoke City-0.1-0.1+0.3
Huddersfield Town vs Reading+0.2-0.1-0.1
Barnsley vs Luton Town*+0.0-0.1+0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Cardiff City vs Fulham+0.5-0.3-0.6
+1.1-0.6-1.2
-4.2+1.7+5.4
+1.0-0.5-1.2
Sheffield Wedne vs QPR-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Millwall vs Hull City-0.1+0.0+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Reading vs Charlton Athletic+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.2-0.1-0.2
West Brom vs Blackburn Rovers-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Leeds United vs Swansea City-0.0+0.1*+0.0
Birmingham City vs Stoke City-0.1-0.0+0.3
Bristol City vs Middlesbrough-0.1-0.0+0.2
Brentford vs Derby County+0.0-0.1*-0.0
Luton Town vs Huddersfield Town+0.1-0.2*-0.0
Wigan Athletic vs Barnsley+0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardiff City finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
94-132YesYes100No12,496*
9327-9-799.4%Yes991No1,065*
9227-8-899.3Yes991No1,649*
9126-10-798.8Yes991No2,701*
9026-9-898.3Yes982No4,297*
8926-8-997.4Yes973No7,118*
8825-10-896.2100.0%9640No10,888*
8725-9-994.599.99550No16,792*
8624-11-892.399.89270No25,061*
8524-10-989.199.6891000No36,921*
8424-9-1085.299.2851410No53,594*
8323-11-980.198.5801810No77,816*
8223-10-1074.097.37423300No109,753*
8123-9-1165.995.26629400No152,524*
8022-11-1057.491.857347100No209,529*
7922-10-1147.986.74839122000No282,377*
7821-12-1037.879.23841173000No377,062*
7721-11-1127.869.32842236100No495,679*
7621-10-1219.057.1193829112000No641,148*
7520-12-1111.843.51232331751000No814,824*
7420-11-126.529.962333241020000No1,024,381*
7320-10-133.018.1315292917610000No1,266,746*
7219-12-121.29.3182230241131000No1,545,572*
7119-11-130.43.904132528198200000No1,856,507*
7018-13-120.11.301617272615610000No2,196,604*
6918-12-130.00.3002920272313510000No2,566,476*
6818-11-140.00.100131121272111410000No2,946,971*
6717-13-130.00.000014122226201031000No3,335,304*
6617-12-14No0.0000151322262010310000No3,726,531*
6517-11-15No0.00000151322261910310000No4,098,814*
6416-13-14NoNo0000151322262010310000No4,439,737*
6316-12-15NoNo0000151222262010310000No4,739,378*
6216-11-16NoNo0000141221262011410000No4,984,308*
6115-13-15NoNo000014112126211141000No5,157,791*
6015-12-16NoNo0000141121262111410000.0%5,260,469*
5915-11-17NoNo0000141121262111410000.05,286,104*
5814-13-16NoNo0000141121262111310000.15,226,061*
5714-12-17NoNo000014122227201030000.55,089,987*
5613-14-16NoNo0000151424271982002.24,884,285*
5513-13-17NoNo000026162627166106.94,608,193*
5413-12-18NoNo000028192825133016.34,278,707*
5312-14-17NoNo000013112430228130.63,912,883*
5212-13-18NoNo00001516292915347.53,524,521*
5112-12-19NoNo000029243424764.13,117,218*
5011-14-18NoNo000151733321277.72,714,067*
4911-13-19NoNo000021029392087.42,326,540*
4811-12-20NoNo001622422993.51,958,506*
4710-14-19NoNo000316414096.91,619,661*
4610-13-20NoNo00110385098.61,319,212*
4510-12-21NoNo0016336099.41,054,955*
449-14-20NoNo004276999.8827,481*
439-13-21NoNo002217799.9637,170*
429-12-22NoNo0011683100.0482,959*
418-14-21NoNo011288100.0358,223*
408-13-22NoNo00891100.0261,833*
398-12-23NoNo00694100.0186,911*
387-14-22NoNo0496Yes130,300*
377-13-23NoNo0397Yes89,475*
367-12-24NoNo298Yes59,999*
356-14-23NoNo199Yes39,962*
346-13-24NoNo199Yes25,313*
336-12-25NoNo0100Yes15,966*
326-11-26NoNo0100Yes9,787*
315-13-25NoNo0100Yes5,891*
305-12-26NoNo0100Yes3,396*
295-11-27NoNo0100Yes1,984*
284-13-26NoNo100Yes1,144*
274-12-27NoNo0100Yes616*
3-26NoNo100Yes11,679*
Total:1.2%2.9%12223333444445555566666617.9%106,549,872

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship