"...per the brilliant Sports Club Stats"
(thank you Mr. Dater)

How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/25100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Cardiff 2 Sheffield W 1 +0.3
+0.6
-4.5
+0.9
Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 +0.1
+0.4
Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 -0.1
-0.4
Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 -0.1
-0.4
Preston 2 Swansea 1 -0.1
Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 -0.1
Southampton 2 QPR 1 -0.1
Millwall 1 Stoke 0 +0.2
Watford 0 Blackburn 1 +0.1
West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 -0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/2100.0*Chance wins title100.0*Premier League100.0*Football League One100.0*Average seed
Ipswich vs Cardiff-0.3-0.0+0.8
-0.7-0.0+1.8
+2.3-0.5-4.9
-0.7+0.1+1.5
Rotherham vs Norwich+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1+0.0-0.1
+0.3-0.1-0.3
Birmingham vs Millwall-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.1*+0.0+0.2
Leicester vs Hull-0.1+0.1+0.1
-0.0*+0.0+0.1
Stoke vs Preston+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.0-0.1
Sunderland vs Southampton+0.0+0.0-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.2
West Brom vs Huddersfield-0.0+0.0+0.1
-0.2*-0.0+0.4
Plymouth vs Blackburn+0.1-0.1-0.1
Leeds vs Sheffield W-0.1-0.0+0.3
Swansea vs Bristol City+0.1-0.1-0.1
Middlesbrough vs QPR+0.1-0.2-0.1

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Cardiff finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChancePremierChance will finish season at seedFootball
TPW-D-Lwins titleLeague123456789101112131415161718192021222324League OneCount
98-130YesYes100No19,116*
9728-9-599.5%Yes1000No205*
9628-8-6YesYes100No382*
9528-7-799.5Yes1000No646*
9427-9-699.3Yes991No1,207*
9327-8-799.1Yes991No1,987*
9226-10-698.8Yes991No3,223*
9126-9-797.8Yes982No5,433*
9026-8-896.9100.0%9730No8,512*
8925-10-795.9100.09640No13,540*
8825-9-894.099.99460No20,914*
8725-8-991.899.89280No32,388*
8624-10-888.399.5881100No48,652*
8524-9-984.499.2841510No71,486*
8423-11-879.398.57919100No105,028*
8323-10-972.997.17324300No149,764*
8223-9-1065.695.16630500No211,688*
8122-11-956.891.857357100No295,673*
8022-10-1047.786.7483912200No405,983*
7922-9-1137.979.73842173000No544,998*
7821-11-1028.470.32842236100No725,269*
7721-10-1119.758.7203929102000No948,784*
7620-12-1012.545.71333331641000No1,224,605*
7520-11-117.232.5725342392000No1,557,158*
7420-10-123.620.6417312815410000No1,943,718*
7319-12-111.511.3210243122920000No2,396,017*
7219-11-120.55.31516282716610000No2,907,016*
7119-10-130.12.00292128231241000No3,474,341*
7018-12-120.00.6014122428209300000No4,094,334*
6918-11-130.00.1001615252617720000No4,745,858*
6818-10-140.00.00002717262515610000No5,418,851*
6717-12-130.00.0000029192623135100000No6,107,115*
6617-11-14No0.00001310202622124100000No6,766,727*
6516-13-13NoNo000131021262212410000No7,387,514*
6416-12-14NoNo000141121262111410000No7,948,339*
6316-11-15NoNo0000141121262111410000No8,417,580*
6215-13-14NoNo0000141222262111310000No8,770,862*
6115-12-15NoNo000014122226201031000No9,015,816*
6015-11-16NoNo00001412232620103100000.0%9,115,356*
5914-13-15NoNo000015132326199200000.09,070,126*
5814-12-16NoNo00001514242618820000.08,894,014*
5714-11-17NoNo00002616262617610000.28,574,770*
5613-13-16NoNo0000281827251451000.98,146,331*
5513-12-17NoNo0000310212823113003.37,605,613*
5413-11-18NoNo00014132529207108.96,992,106*
5312-13-17NoNo000016172927154018.96,323,655*
5212-12-18NoNo00003102331239132.85,621,141*
5111-14-17NoNo0001516303015348.84,919,609*
5011-13-18NoNo00029243424664.24,234,993*
4911-12-19NoNo000151734321177.03,581,024*
4810-14-18NoNo00021130381886.52,970,685*
4710-13-19NoNo0001624422792.62,427,947*
4610-12-20NoNo000418423696.01,948,402*
459-14-19NoNo000213404598.01,534,697*
449-13-20NoNo00018365599.11,189,554*
439-12-21NoNo0005316499.6900,831*
428-14-20NoNo003257299.9672,959*
418-13-21NoNo0022079100.0490,411*
408-12-22NoNo011584100.0351,803*
397-14-21NoNo001189100.0246,694*
387-13-22NoNo00892100.0169,826*
377-12-23NoNo0694Yes113,473*
367-11-24NoNo0496Yes75,193*
356-13-23NoNo0297Yes48,562*
346-12-24NoNo0298Yes30,519*
336-11-25NoNo199Yes18,697*
325-13-24NoNo199Yes11,448*
315-12-25NoNo0100Yes6,644*
305-11-26NoNo0100Yes3,932*
294-13-25NoNo0100Yes2,145*
284-12-26NoNo0100Yes1,098*
274-11-27NoNo0100Yes574*
264-10-28NoNo100Yes301*
253-12-27NoNo199Yes152*
4-24NoNo100Yes18,978*
Total:1.0%2.6%12223334445555556666555413.4%182,104,992

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship