Cardiff Title ChancesDid not play, title odds down 0.002 to 1% 4 points 1-1-2 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 8/25 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Cardiff 2 Sheffield W 1 | +0.3 | | +0.6 | | -4.5 | | +0.9 | | Ipswich 3 Leeds 4 | | | +0.1 | | +0.4 | | | | Rotherham 1 Leicester 2 | | | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Huddersfield 0 Norwich 4 | | | -0.1 | | -0.4 | | | | Preston 2 Swansea 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Birmingham 2 Plymouth 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Southampton 2 QPR 1 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Millwall 1 Stoke 0 | | | | | +0.2 | | | | Watford 0 Blackburn 1 | | | | | +0.1 | | | | West Brom 4 Middlesbrough 2 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 9/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Premier League | 100.0* | Football League One | 100.0* | Average seed | Ipswich vs Cardiff | -0.3-0.0+0.8 | | -0.7-0.0+1.8 | | +2.3-0.5-4.9 | | -0.7+0.1+1.5 | | Rotherham vs Norwich | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | +0.3-0.1-0.3 | | | | Birmingham vs Millwall | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.1*+0.0+0.2 | | | | Leicester vs Hull | | | -0.1+0.1+0.1 | | -0.0*+0.0+0.1 | | | | Stoke vs Preston | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | | | Sunderland vs Southampton | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | +0.1-0.1-0.2 | | | | West Brom vs Huddersfield | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | -0.2*-0.0+0.4 | | | | Plymouth vs Blackburn | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Leeds vs Sheffield W | | | | | -0.1-0.0+0.3 | | | | Swansea vs Bristol City | | | | | +0.1-0.1-0.1 | | | | Middlesbrough vs QPR | | | | | +0.1-0.2-0.1 | | | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Cardiff finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | Premier | Chance will finish season at seed | Football | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | League | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | League One | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 98 | -130 | | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 19,116 | * | 97 | | 28 | - | 9 | - | 5 | 99.5 | % | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 205 | * | 96 | | 28 | - | 8 | - | 6 | Yes | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 382 | * | 95 | | 28 | - | 7 | - | 7 | 99.5 | | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 646 | * | 94 | | 27 | - | 9 | - | 6 | 99.3 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,207 | * | 93 | | 27 | - | 8 | - | 7 | 99.1 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,987 | * | 92 | | 26 | - | 10 | - | 6 | 98.8 | | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,223 | * | 91 | | 26 | - | 9 | - | 7 | 97.8 | | Yes | 98 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,433 | * | 90 | | 26 | - | 8 | - | 8 | 96.9 | | 100.0 | % | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 8,512 | * | 89 | | 25 | - | 10 | - | 7 | 95.9 | | 100.0 | | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 13,540 | * | 88 | | 25 | - | 9 | - | 8 | 94.0 | | 99.9 | | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 20,914 | * | 87 | | 25 | - | 8 | - | 9 | 91.8 | | 99.8 | | 92 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 32,388 | * | 86 | | 24 | - | 10 | - | 8 | 88.3 | | 99.5 | | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 48,652 | * | 85 | | 24 | - | 9 | - | 9 | 84.4 | | 99.2 | | 84 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 71,486 | * | 84 | | 23 | - | 11 | - | 8 | 79.3 | | 98.5 | | 79 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 105,028 | * | 83 | | 23 | - | 10 | - | 9 | 72.9 | | 97.1 | | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 149,764 | * | 82 | | 23 | - | 9 | - | 10 | 65.6 | | 95.1 | | 66 | 30 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 211,688 | * | 81 | | 22 | - | 11 | - | 9 | 56.8 | | 91.8 | | 57 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 295,673 | * | 80 | | 22 | - | 10 | - | 10 | 47.7 | | 86.7 | | 48 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 405,983 | * | 79 | | 22 | - | 9 | - | 11 | 37.9 | | 79.7 | | 38 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 544,998 | * | 78 | | 21 | - | 11 | - | 10 | 28.4 | | 70.3 | | 28 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 725,269 | * | 77 | | 21 | - | 10 | - | 11 | 19.7 | | 58.7 | | 20 | 39 | 29 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 948,784 | * | 76 | | 20 | - | 12 | - | 10 | 12.5 | | 45.7 | | 13 | 33 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,224,605 | * | 75 | | 20 | - | 11 | - | 11 | 7.2 | | 32.5 | | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,557,158 | * | 74 | | 20 | - | 10 | - | 12 | 3.6 | | 20.6 | | 4 | 17 | 31 | 28 | 15 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,943,718 | * | 73 | | 19 | - | 12 | - | 11 | 1.5 | | 11.3 | | 2 | 10 | 24 | 31 | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,396,017 | * | 72 | | 19 | - | 11 | - | 12 | 0.5 | | 5.3 | | 1 | 5 | 16 | 28 | 27 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 2,907,016 | * | 71 | | 19 | - | 10 | - | 13 | 0.1 | | 2.0 | | 0 | 2 | 9 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 3,474,341 | * | 70 | | 18 | - | 12 | - | 12 | 0.0 | | 0.6 | | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 24 | 28 | 20 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,094,334 | * | 69 | | 18 | - | 11 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.1 | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 4,745,858 | * | 68 | | 18 | - | 10 | - | 14 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,418,851 | * | 67 | | 17 | - | 12 | - | 13 | 0.0 | | 0.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 19 | 26 | 23 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 6,107,115 | * | 66 | | 17 | - | 11 | - | 14 | No | 0.0 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 20 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 6,766,727 | * | 65 | | 16 | - | 13 | - | 13 | No | No | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 26 | 22 | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 7,387,514 | * | 64 | | 16 | - | 12 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 7,948,339 | * | 63 | | 16 | - | 11 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 11 | 21 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 8,417,580 | * | 62 | | 15 | - | 13 | - | 14 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 21 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 8,770,862 | * | 61 | | 15 | - | 12 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 22 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 9,015,816 | * | 60 | | 15 | - | 11 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 26 | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | % | 9,115,356 | * | 59 | | 14 | - | 13 | - | 15 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 13 | 23 | 26 | 19 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 9,070,126 | * | 58 | | 14 | - | 12 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 14 | 24 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | 0.0 | | 8,894,014 | * | 57 | | 14 | - | 11 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 26 | 26 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | | 8,574,770 | * | 56 | | 13 | - | 13 | - | 16 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 27 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.9 | | 8,146,331 | * | 55 | | 13 | - | 12 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 28 | 23 | 11 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3.3 | | 7,605,613 | * | 54 | | 13 | - | 11 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 29 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 8.9 | | 6,992,106 | * | 53 | | 12 | - | 13 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 17 | 29 | 27 | 15 | 4 | 0 | 18.9 | | 6,323,655 | * | 52 | | 12 | - | 12 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 10 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 9 | 1 | 32.8 | | 5,621,141 | * | 51 | | 11 | - | 14 | - | 17 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 30 | 30 | 15 | 3 | 48.8 | | 4,919,609 | * | 50 | | 11 | - | 13 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 24 | 6 | 64.2 | | 4,234,993 | * | 49 | | 11 | - | 12 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 17 | 34 | 32 | 11 | 77.0 | | 3,581,024 | * | 48 | | 10 | - | 14 | - | 18 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 30 | 38 | 18 | 86.5 | | 2,970,685 | * | 47 | | 10 | - | 13 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 24 | 42 | 27 | 92.6 | | 2,427,947 | * | 46 | | 10 | - | 12 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 42 | 36 | 96.0 | | 1,948,402 | * | 45 | | 9 | - | 14 | - | 19 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 98.0 | | 1,534,697 | * | 44 | | 9 | - | 13 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 36 | 55 | 99.1 | | 1,189,554 | * | 43 | | 9 | - | 12 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 64 | 99.6 | | 900,831 | * | 42 | | 8 | - | 14 | - | 20 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 25 | 72 | 99.9 | | 672,959 | * | 41 | | 8 | - | 13 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 79 | 100.0 | | 490,411 | * | 40 | | 8 | - | 12 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 15 | 84 | 100.0 | | 351,803 | * | 39 | | 7 | - | 14 | - | 21 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 11 | 89 | 100.0 | | 246,694 | * | 38 | | 7 | - | 13 | - | 22 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 8 | 92 | 100.0 | | 169,826 | * | 37 | | 7 | - | 12 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 6 | 94 | Yes | 113,473 | * | 36 | | 7 | - | 11 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 4 | 96 | Yes | 75,193 | * | 35 | | 6 | - | 13 | - | 23 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 97 | Yes | 48,562 | * | 34 | | 6 | - | 12 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 98 | Yes | 30,519 | * | 33 | | 6 | - | 11 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 18,697 | * | 32 | | 5 | - | 13 | - | 24 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 11,448 | * | 31 | | 5 | - | 12 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 6,644 | * | 30 | | 5 | - | 11 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 3,932 | * | 29 | | 4 | - | 13 | - | 25 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 2,145 | * | 28 | | 4 | - | 12 | - | 26 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 1,098 | * | 27 | | 4 | - | 11 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 100 | Yes | 574 | * | 26 | | 4 | - | 10 | - | 28 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 301 | * | 25 | | 3 | - | 12 | - | 27 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 99 | Yes | 152 | * | 4 | -24 | | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | 18,978 | * | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 1.0 | % | 2.6 | % | 1 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 13.4 | % | 182,104,992 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |