Bury F.C.Bury tied Aldershot 3-3, odds of winning the cup down 1.8% to 11.6% | Chance of winning the title:
| 11.6 | % | Change: | -1.8 | | | being promoted: | 37.2 | % | | -2.3 | | | being demoted: | 0.8 | % | | -0.02 | | | | Average finish: | 7.57 | | | -0.21 | | |
Record: 19 points, 5 - 4 - 0 7 How are these numbers calculated? (show) Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Each match can have 2 kinds of impact on Bury: 1. How many percentage points it changed their chance of winning the title. 2. (If in parenthesis,) how many positions it changed their average regular season finishing position, with the signed flipped so negative is bad. The week’s total impact on Bury is shown between the best and worst case outcomes. Future matches show separate impacts for each outcome. Hover your mouse over a match to hightlight it in the standings. How do I know a matches impact? (show) | |
Week of 10/4 | Impact | | | Aldershot | 3 | | Bury | 3 | | | -1.0 | | (-0.19) | | | Wycombe | 3 | | Bournemouth | 1 | | | -0.4 | | | | | Rotherham | 4 | | Grimsby | 1 | | | -0.3 | | (-0.04) | | | Brentford | 1 | | Macclesfield | 0 | | | -0.3 | | | | | Bradford | 1 | | Luton | 1 | | | 0.2 | | | | | Darlington | 1 | | Shrewsbury | 1 | | | 0.1 | | | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Dag & Red | -0.3 |
(-0.03)
| Barnet | 0.3 |
(0.02)
| 0.2 |
(0.03)
| | 3:45 PM Fri | | | Worst | -5.10 |
(-1.03)
| -1.80 | | (-0.21) | (1.16) | 5.29 | Best | | |
Week of 10/11 | | | Win | | Win | Draw | | Bury | 3.6 |
(1.03)
| Exeter City | -3.0 |
(-0.90)
| -0.9 |
(-0.18)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Grimsby | 0.5 |
(0.03)
| Wycombe | -0.5 |
(-0.03)
| 0.1 |
(0.02)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Accrington | 0.2 |
(0.01)
| Bradford | -0.3 |
(-0.03)
| 0.1 |
(0.03)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Notts County | 0.2 | | Brentford | -0.3 | | 0.2 | | | 3:45 PM Mon | | | Bournemouth | 0.2 | | Rotherham | -0.3 | | 0.1 | | | 11:00 AM Sat | | | Shrewsbury | -0.2 |
(-0.03)
| Port Vale | 0.1 |
(0.02)
| 0.1 |
(0.02)
| | 11:00 AM Sat | | | | -4.52 |
(-1.02)
| 5.86 | | (3.73) | (1.17) | 4.86 | | |
What IfChances based on how well Bury finishs out the season.
Explain (show) | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | | If finish: | | Chance team will finish the season at position | | | | W | - | D | - | L | PCT | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | 23 | 24 | Demoted | | Count | | | | | | | | | | 37 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 1.000 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,000 | | 31 | - | 1 | - | 5 | .847 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1 | | 29 | - | 4 | - | 4 | .820 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 4 | | 29 | - | 3 | - | 5 | .811 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3 | | 29 | - | 2 | - | 6 | .802 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5 | | 28 | - | 4 | - | 5 | .793 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 6 | | 28 | - | 3 | - | 6 | .784 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 22 | | 28 | - | 2 | - | 7 | .775 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 28 | | 28 | - | 1 | - | 8 | .766 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 75 | | 27 | - | 3 | - | 7 | .757 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 95 | | 27 | - | 2 | - | 8 | .748 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 164 | | 27 | - | 1 | - | 9 | .739 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 281 | | 27 | - | 0 | - | 10 | .730 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 415 | | 26 | - | 2 | - | 9 | .721 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 680 | | 26 | - | 1 | - | 10 | .712 | Yes | 100 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,200 | | 25 | - | 3 | - | 9 | .703 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 1,842 | | 25 | - | 2 | - | 10 | .694 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 2,612 | | 25 | - | 1 | - | 11 | .685 | Yes | 100 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 3,970 | | 25 | - | 0 | - | 12 | .676 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 5,741 | | 24 | - | 2 | - | 11 | .667 | Yes | 99 | 1 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 8,293 | | 24 | - | 1 | - | 12 | .658 | Yes | 99 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 11,776 | | 24 | - | 0 | - | 13 | .649 | Yes | 98 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 16,365 | | 23 | - | 2 | - | 12 | .640 | Yes | 97 | 3 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 22,536 | | 23 | - | 1 | - | 13 | .631 | Yes | 96 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 30,319 | | 23 | - | 0 | - | 14 | .622 | Yes | 94 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 40,003 | | 22 | - | 2 | - | 13 | .613 | 100.0 | 92 | 8 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 52,160 | | 22 | - | 1 | - | 14 | .604 | 100.0 | 88 | 11 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 67,405 | | 22 | - | 0 | - | 15 | .595 | 100.0 | 85 | 15 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 85,174 | | 21 | - | 2 | - | 14 | .586 | 100.0 | 80 | 19 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 106,866 | | 21 | - | 1 | - | 15 | .577 | 99.9 | 73 | 24 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 130,675 | | 21 | - | 0 | - | 16 | .568 | 99.8 | 66 | 29 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 159,195 | | 20 | - | 2 | - | 15 | .559 | 99.4 | 57 | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 189,213 | | 20 | - | 1 | - | 16 | .550 | 98.8 | 48 | 39 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 222,582 | | 20 | - | 0 | - | 17 | .541 | 97.3 | 38 | 42 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 257,197 | | 19 | - | 2 | - | 16 | .532 | 94.7 | 28 | 42 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 294,446 | | 19 | - | 1 | - | 17 | .523 | 90.2 | 19 | 39 | 29 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 330,940 | | 19 | - | 0 | - | 18 | .514 | 83.4 | 12 | 33 | 33 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 366,921 | | 18 | - | 2 | - | 17 | .505 | 74.0 | 7 | 25 | 34 | 23 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 400,926 | | 18 | - | 1 | - | 18 | .495 | 62.3 | 3 | 16 | 30 | 29 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 430,420 | | 18 | - | 0 | - | 19 | .486 | 50.1 | 1 | 9 | 23 | 31 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 455,503 | | 17 | - | 2 | - | 18 | .477 | 39.1 | 0 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 475,777 | | 17 | - | 1 | - | 19 | .468 | 30.4 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 19 | 28 | 25 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 488,282 | | 17 | - | 0 | - | 20 | .459 | 23.8 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 11 | 22 | 28 | 22 | 11 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | | 494,688 | | 16 | - | 2 | - | 19 | .450 | 17.8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 24 | 27 | 19 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 493,831 | | 16 | - | 1 | - | 20 | .441 | 11.6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 15 | 25 | 26 | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | | 485,281 | | 16 | - | 0 | - | 21 | .432 | 6.0 | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | | 468,340 | | 15 | - | 2 | - | 20 | .423 | 2.2 | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 444,837 | | 15 | - | 1 | - | 21 | .414 | 0.5 | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | | 418,503 | | 15 | - | 0 | - | 22 | .405 | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | | 385,189 | | 14 | - | 2 | - | 21 | .396 | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 16 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | | 349,120 | | 14 | - | 1 | - | 22 | .387 | 0.0 | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | | 311,942 | | 14 | - | 0 | - | 23 | .378 | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | | 275,067 | | 13 | - | 2 | - | 22 | .369 | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 238,440 | | 13 | - | 1 | - | 23 | .360 | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 16 | 25 | 25 | 17 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | No | | 202,538 | | 13 | - | 0 | - | 24 | .351 | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 25 | 16 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | | 168,926 | | 12 | - | 2 | - | 23 | .342 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 18 | 26 | 25 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | | 138,950 | | 12 | - | 1 | - | 24 | .333 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 9 | 20 | 28 | 23 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 0.5 | | 112,826 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 25 | .324 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 12 | 23 | 29 | 21 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 2.0 | | 89,583 | | 11 | - | 2 | - | 24 | .315 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 16 | 27 | 28 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 5.9 | | 69,667 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 25 | .306 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 31 | 26 | 11 | 2 | 12.9 | | 53,628 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 26 | .297 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 13 | 28 | 32 | 19 | 4 | 23.2 | | 39,936 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 25 | .288 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 20 | 34 | 29 | 9 | 37.1 | | 29,853 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 26 | .279 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 31 | 36 | 15 | 51.5 | | 21,148 | | 10 | - | 0 | - | 27 | .270 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 24 | 64.7 | | 15,105 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 26 | .261 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 19 | 43 | 33 | 76.1 | | 10,505 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 27 | .252 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 40 | 45 | 85.1 | | 7,294 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 26 | .243 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 8 | 35 | 56 | 90.8 | | 4,703 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 27 | .234 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 5 | 30 | 65 | 94.7 | | 3,099 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 28 | .225 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 23 | 74 | 96.9 | | 1,914 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 27 | .216 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 18 | 79 | 97.7 | | 1,262 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 28 | .207 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 14 | 85 | 99.4 | | 714 | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 29 | .198 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 1 | 10 | 89 | 99.3 | | 445 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 28 | .189 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 7 | 93 | Yes | | 235 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 29 | .180 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 5 | 95 | Yes | | 148 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 28 | .171 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 4 | 96 | Yes | | 85 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 29 | .162 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 35 | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 28 | .153 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 27 | | 3 | - | 7 | - | 27 | .144 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 14 | 86 | Yes | | 7 | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 28 | .135 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 10 | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 29 | .126 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 37 | .000 | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 100 | Yes | | 1,000 | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 37.2% | 12 | 10 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0.8% | | 10,000,000 |
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