How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 9/15100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Wolverhampton 1 Burnley 0 -0.4
-2.2
+6.0
-0.9
Manchester City 3 Fulham 0 -0.1
-0.2
Chelsea 4 Cardiff City 1 -0.1
-0.4
Watford 1 Manchester United 2 +0.3
Newcastle United 1 Arsenal 2 -0.2
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Everton vs West Ham United-0.3*-0.1+0.4
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 9/22100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA100.0*Demotion100.0*Average seed
Burnley vs Bournemouth+0.3-0.1-0.3
+2.0-0.6-1.6
-7.4+1.4+6.4
+1.0-0.2-0.8
West Ham United vs Chelsea+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.6*-0.1-0.5
Liverpool vs Southampton-0.1+0.1*+0.1
-0.3*-0.1+0.3
Cardiff City vs Manchester City+0.1*+0.0-0.1
+0.6*-0.0-0.5
Fulham vs Watford+0.1*+0.1-0.1
+0.4*-0.1-0.3
Crystal Palace vs Newcastle United-0.2-0.2+0.3
Leicester City vs Huddersfield Town*-0.1-0.2+0.3

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Burnley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA1234567891011121314151617181920DemotionCount
79-100YesYes100No322*
7824-5-495.0%Yes955No20*
7724-4-597.1Yes973No35*
7623-6-496.3Yes964No80*
7523-5-594.4Yes946No107*
7423-4-690.1Yes9091No181*
7322-6-587.4Yes87121No277*
7222-5-681.6Yes82171No450*
7121-7-577.2Yes77212No716*
7021-6-671.2Yes712720No1,067*
6921-5-762.6Yes633250No1,588*
6820-7-653.1100.0%5338810No2,300*
6720-6-742.799.843411420No3,279*
6619-8-631.899.7324321400No4,597*
6519-7-722.298.9224128710No6,459*
6419-6-814.796.815363313300No8,917*
6318-8-78.092.682835216100No11,759*
6218-7-83.984.84193328123000No15,524*
6118-6-91.571.51112732207100No19,948*
6017-8-80.653.715183028144100No25,638*
5917-7-90.134.4029233022102000No32,001*
5817-6-100.017.7004142630187100No38,983*
5716-8-90.06.80016172827155100No47,237*
5616-7-10No1.80028202925134100No56,563*
5515-9-9No0.3000292129231131000No65,537*
5415-8-10No0.0000311232922103000No75,075*
5315-7-11No0.000131224292092000No85,371*
5214-9-10NoNo00141325291982000No94,738*
5114-8-11NoNo0015142628187100No103,903*
5014-7-12NoNo001516272716610000.0%111,427*
4913-9-11NoNo00161728271551000.1117,666*
4813-8-12NoNo00028192925134100.6122,256*
4713-7-13NoNo000210223023102002.6125,341*
4612-9-12NoNo0014122630207108.1125,353*
4512-8-13NoNo0015172929154018.7124,086*
4412-7-14NoNo000292232259134.5120,551*
4311-9-13NoNo001414303217352.2114,746*
4211-8-14NoNo00017223527768.9107,649*
4111-7-15NoNo0031533351381.8100,103*
4010-9-14NoNo0001827412290.490,381*
3910-8-15NoNo00420433295.480,180*
3810-7-16NoNo00214424297.970,290*
379-9-15NoNo019375499.259,954*
369-8-16NoNo005316499.750,621*
358-10-15NoNo03257299.941,847*
348-9-16NoNo0011980100.033,879*
338-8-17NoNo011485100.026,670*
327-10-16NoNo001090100.020,803*
317-9-17NoNo0793Yes15,905*
307-8-18NoNo0495Yes11,860*
296-10-17NoNo0397Yes8,578*
286-9-18NoNo298Yes6,282*
276-8-19NoNo199Yes4,356*
266-7-20NoNo199Yes2,968*
255-9-19NoNo0100Yes1,996*
245-8-20NoNo0100Yes1,234*
235-7-21NoNo0100Yes780*
1-22NoNo100Yes1,486*
Total:0.5%4.3%1112223344556678810111333.7%2,401,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship