How are these numbers calculated?

Big Games

How we did last week and who we should root for this week.   Explain

Week of 8/19100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Arsenal 2 Burnley 1 -2.2
-5.6
+3.2
-1.0
Manchester City 2 Tottenham Hotspur 2 +0.1
+0.2
Southampton 1 Liverpool 2 -0.1
-0.2
Brighton & Hove 1 West Ham United 1 +0.1
+0.2
Wolverhampton 1 Manchester United 1 +0.1
+0.2
-0.1
Everton 1 Watford 0 -0.1
-0.1
Aston Villa 1 Bournemouth 2 -0.1
Chelsea 1 Leicester City 1 +0.2
-0.1
Norwich City 3 Newcastle United 1 *-0.1
*+0.1
Sheffield United 1 Crystal Palace 0 *-0.1
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Wolverhampton vs Burnley-1.6-0.6+2.1
-4.9-1.4+6.0
+3.9+0.5-4.3
-1.0-0.2+1.1
Liverpool vs Arsenal-0.0+0.1-0.1
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Brighton & Hove vs Southampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Tottenham Hotspur vs Newcastle United-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.2+0.1+0.1
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Aston Villa vs Everton+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Manchester United vs Crystal Palace-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1-0.1+0.1
Sheffield United vs Leicester City-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Bournemouth vs Manchester City-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
Norwich City vs Chelsea-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.1*+0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Watford vs West Ham United-0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1-0.1*+0.0
If winner is:HomeDrawAway
Week of 8/31100.0*Chance wins title100.0*UEFA CL100.0*Championship100.0*Average seed
Burnley vs Liverpool+2.2-0.5-1.7
+6.1-1.4-5.0
-4.2+0.6+3.8
+1.1-0.2-1.0
Arsenal vs Tottenham Hotspur-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.0
-0.0-0.0+0.1
Southampton vs Manchester United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.1+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Chelsea vs Sheffield United+0.0+0.1-0.1
+0.0+0.1-0.2
+0.1-0.1-0.1
Everton vs Wolverhampton-0.1+0.1+0.0
-0.1+0.2*-0.0
-0.0-0.1+0.1
Leicester City vs Bournemouth+0.0+0.1-0.1
*-0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
West Ham United vs Norwich City+0.0+0.1-0.1
*+0.0+0.2-0.1
+0.1-0.1-0.0
Manchester City vs Brighton & Hove-0.0+0.1-0.0
-0.1+0.2-0.1
+0.0-0.1+0.0
Crystal Palace vs Aston Villa-0.1+0.1-0.0
*+0.0-0.1+0.1
Newcastle United vs Watford-0.0+0.1-0.0
+0.0-0.1+0.0

* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know.

What If

Chances based on how well the Burnley finish out the regular season.   Explain

100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100100
If finish:ChanceChance will finish season at seed
TPW-D-Lwins titleUEFA CL1234567891011121314151617181920ChampionshipCount
86-111YesYes100No30,297*
8525-7-499.9%Yes1000No1,256*
8425-6-599.9Yes1000No2,129*
8324-8-499.9Yes1000No3,745*
8224-7-599.9Yes1000No6,380*
8124-6-699.9Yes1000No10,306*
8023-8-599.8Yes1000No16,916*
7923-7-699.6Yes1000No26,315*
7822-9-599.5Yes9910No41,542*
7722-8-699.1Yes9910No63,733*
7622-7-798.7Yes9910No96,281*
7521-9-698.0Yes9820No140,858*
7421-8-796.9Yes9730No206,163*
7321-7-895.4Yes9550No292,793*
7220-9-793.2Yes93700No411,095*
7120-8-890.2Yes901000No567,927*
7019-10-786.1Yes861310No770,485*
6919-9-880.7100.0%8118100No1,027,095*
6819-8-973.8100.07424200No1,350,148*
6718-10-865.4100.065305000No1,746,533*
6618-9-955.7100.0563681000No2,222,309*
6518-8-1044.999.94540132000No2,778,146*
6417-10-933.999.534431940000No3,414,771*
6317-9-1023.498.623412681000No4,138,758*
6216-11-914.596.41536321430000No4,933,744*
6116-10-107.891.3827352271000No5,799,425*
6016-9-113.581.541732291441000No6,689,181*
5915-11-101.366.019243122920000No7,600,057*
5815-10-110.345.90414282917610000No8,497,596*
5715-9-120.125.701618292614510000No9,359,984*
5614-11-110.010.8002921292412410000No10,138,386*
5514-10-120.03.100031022282210310000No10,804,310*
5414-9-130.00.6000131123282110300000No11,334,518*
5313-11-12No0.10001412232820920000No11,695,003*
5213-10-13No0.00000141224282092000000.0%11,873,715*
5113-9-14No0.0000141224282092000000.011,865,850*
5012-11-13No0.0000014122428209200000.011,653,099*
4912-10-14NoNo0001412242820920000.011,262,247*
4811-12-13NoNo00001413252819820000.210,706,022*
4711-11-14NoNo000151426281871001.49,995,741*
4611-10-15NoNo000016162828165105.69,181,088*
4510-12-14NoNo000027193026123015.48,286,224*
4410-11-15NoNo00003102432228131.37,351,785*
4310-10-16NoNo00001415303116350.46,397,595*
429-12-15NoNo00018223526768.35,480,067*
419-11-16NoNo000031433361482.14,606,377*
409-10-17NoNo0001826412391.03,796,104*
398-12-16NoNo000419433495.93,071,845*
388-11-17NoNo000212404698.32,440,838*
378-10-18NoNo0017355899.41,898,942*
367-12-17NoNo004286899.81,449,431*
357-11-18NoNo002227699.91,083,803*
347-10-19NoNo011683100.0794,094*
336-12-18NoNo001188100.0568,469*
326-11-19NoNo00892100.0397,887*
316-10-20NoNo00595100.0272,263*
305-12-19NoNo0397Yes182,006*
295-11-20NoNo00298100.0119,410*
285-10-21NoNo0199Yes75,627*
275-9-22NoNo199Yes46,915*
264-11-21NoNo0100Yes28,376*
254-10-22NoNo0100Yes16,792*
244-9-23NoNo0100Yes9,467*
233-11-22NoNo0100Yes5,409*
21-22NoNo100Yes4,149*
203-8-25NoNo0100Yes738*
3-19NoNo100Yes29,360*
Total:5.0%20.6%5555555555555555554413.3%231,169,920

* Row combines multiple less frequent records.

Points
Chance Will Win Championship