Bromley Title Chances 2012-2013Beat Dorchester Town 2-1, title odds unchanged at 0.0003% 42 points 12-6-12 How are these numbers calculated? Big GamesHow we did last week and who we should root for this week. Explain Week of 3/2 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Bromley 2 Dorchester Town 1 | | | +0.3 | | -0.4 | | +0.9 | | Welling United 3 Maidenhead 2 | | | | | | | +0.1 | | Boreham Wood 4 Tonbridge 2 | | | -0.1 | | | | +0.0 | | Dover Athletic 2 Bath City 0 | | | -0.1 | | | | +0.1 | | Staines Town 1 Chelmsford City 3 | | | | | -0.1 | | | | Farnborough 1 AFC Hornchurch 1 | | | | | | | +0.0 | | Truro City 1 Hayes and Y 0 | | | | | | | +0.1 | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Sutton United vs Bromley | -0.0No+0.0 | | -0.4-0.1+0.6 | | +0.1-0.0-0.1 | | -0.8-0.1+1.2 | | Maidenhead vs Dover Athletic | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Eastbourne vs Dorchester Town | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Chelmsford City | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Salisbury City vs Basingstoke | | | | | | | +0.0*+0.0-0.1 | | | If winner is:HomeDrawAway | Week of 3/9 | 100.0* | Chance wins title | 100.0* | Promoted | 100.0* | Relegated | 100.0* | Average seed | Bromley vs Truro City | +0.0-0.0No | | +0.3-0.3-0.5 | | -0.1+0.0+0.2 | | +0.7-0.5-1.1 | | Weston-S-Mare vs Salisbury City | | | -0.1*+0.0+0.0 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Dorchester Town vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | Dover Athletic vs Havant and W | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Eastleigh vs Boreham Wood | | | +0.1+0.1-0.1 | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.0 | | Maidenhead vs Eastleigh | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | | | | | Chelmsford City vs Tonbridge | | | -0.0+0.0+0.1 | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | | Sutton United vs Truro City | | | | | | | -0.1+0.0+0.1 | | AFC Hornchurch vs Bath City | | | | | | | +0.1+0.0-0.1 | | Welling United vs Basingstoke | | | | | | | +0.0*-0.0-0.1 | | Basingstoke vs Maidenhead | | | | | | | +0.0+0.0-0.1 | | Welling United vs Tonbridge | | | | | | | +0.0-0.0-0.1 | |
* A starred number could be exactly 0 or just really small. The simulation did not run long enough to know. What IfChances based on how well the Bromley finish out the regular season. Explain | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | 100 | | If finish: | Chance | | Chance will finish season at seed | | | TP | W | - | D | - | L | wins title | Promoted | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | 10 | 11 | 12 | 13 | 14 | 15 | 16 | 17 | 18 | 19 | 20 | 21 | 22 | Relegated | Count | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 78 | | 12 | - | 0 | - | 0 | 2.0 | % | 26.4 | % | 2 | 37 | 52 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,585 | | 76 | | 11 | - | 1 | - | 0 | 0.7 | | 25.4 | | 1 | 18 | 52 | 28 | 2 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 457 | | 75 | | 11 | - | 0 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 25.0 | | 0 | 9 | 43 | 41 | 6 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 707 | | 74 | | 10 | - | 2 | - | 0 | No | 24.9 | | | 5 | 43 | 45 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 1,998 | | 73 | | 10 | - | 1 | - | 1 | 0.1 | | 24.6 | | 0 | 2 | 30 | 49 | 17 | 2 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 5,850 | | 72 | | 9 | - | 3 | - | 0 | No | 24.0 | | | 1 | 19 | 51 | 25 | 4 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 9,379 | * | 71 | | 9 | - | 2 | - | 1 | No | 22.9 | | | 0 | 11 | 44 | 36 | 8 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 22,146 | | 70 | | 9 | - | 1 | - | 2 | No | 20.5 | | | 0 | 5 | 33 | 44 | 17 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 41,538 | * | 69 | | 8 | - | 3 | - | 1 | No | 17.8 | | | 0 | 2 | 23 | 46 | 26 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 65,494 | * | 68 | | 8 | - | 2 | - | 2 | No | 13.7 | | | 0 | 1 | 13 | 41 | 38 | 7 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 120,393 | * | 67 | | 8 | - | 1 | - | 3 | No | 9.4 | | | | 0 | 6 | 31 | 46 | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 182,007 | * | 66 | | 7 | - | 3 | - | 2 | No | 5.7 | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20 | 47 | 25 | 5 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 263,562 | * | 65 | | 7 | - | 2 | - | 3 | No | 2.8 | | | | 0 | 1 | 11 | 41 | 35 | 11 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 393,806 | * | 64 | | 6 | - | 4 | - | 2 | No | 1.3 | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31 | 40 | 20 | 4 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 273,172 | | | 7 | - | 1 | - | 4 | No | 0.9 | | | | | 0 | 4 | 27 | 40 | 23 | 6 | 1 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | | No | 242,755 | * | 63 | | 6 | - | 3 | - | 3 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 17 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 540,382 | | | 7 | - | 0 | - | 5 | No | 0.4 | | | | | 0 | 1 | 16 | 37 | 32 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | | No | 124,162 | * | 62 | | 6 | - | 2 | - | 4 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 7 | 25 | 37 | 24 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 598,527 | | | 5 | - | 5 | - | 2 | No | 0.1 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 9 | 29 | 36 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 239,395 | * | 61 | | 5 | - | 4 | - | 3 | No | 0.0 | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 15 | 33 | 32 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | | No | 583,112 | | | 6 | - | 1 | - | 5 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 13 | 31 | 33 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 380,496 | * | 60 | | 5 | - | 3 | - | 4 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 35 | 26 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 856,009 | | | 4 | - | 6 | - | 2 | No | 0.0 | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 141,716 | | | 6 | - | 0 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 34 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | | No | 86,957 | * | 59 | | 5 | - | 2 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9 | 26 | 34 | 22 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 751,044 | | | 4 | - | 5 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | | No | 427,294 | * | 58 | | 4 | - | 4 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16 | 32 | 31 | 14 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 761,609 | | | 5 | - | 1 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14 | 30 | 32 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 421,507 | * | 57 | | 4 | - | 3 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 20 | 34 | 27 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 885,640 | | | 3 | - | 6 | - | 3 | No | No | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 21 | 34 | 26 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | | No | 274,084 | * | 56 | | 4 | - | 2 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 34 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 640,480 | | | 3 | - | 5 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 27 | 34 | 21 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | | No | 446,102 | * | 55 | | 3 | - | 4 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13 | 30 | 32 | 17 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 620,806 | | | 4 | - | 1 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 322,033 | * | 54 | | 3 | - | 3 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18 | 33 | 29 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 596,235 | | | 2 | - | 6 | - | 4 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 5 | 19 | 33 | 28 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | | | | | No | 201,241 | * | 53 | | 3 | - | 2 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 365,946 | | | 2 | - | 5 | - | 5 | No | No | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 25 | 35 | 23 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | | No | 270,324 | * | 52 | | 2 | - | 4 | - | 6 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12 | 29 | 33 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | | | No | 341,005 | * | | 3 | - | 1 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10 | 28 | 34 | 20 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | % | 129,865 | | 51 | | 2 | - | 3 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 30 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 0 | | | 0.0 | | 332,617 | * | 50 | | 2 | - | 2 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7 | 23 | 34 | 25 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | | 0.1 | | 222,403 | * | 49 | | 1 | - | 4 | - | 7 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11 | 28 | 33 | 20 | 5 | 1 | 0 | | 0.6 | | 133,857 | * | 48 | | 1 | - | 3 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 31 | 13 | 3 | 0 | | 2.8 | | 76,414 | * | 47 | | 1 | - | 2 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 7 | 22 | 35 | 25 | 8 | 1 | | 8.8 | | 40,368 | * | 46 | | 0 | - | 4 | - | 8 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 2 | 12 | 31 | 35 | 17 | 3 | | 20.4 | | 18,414 | * | 45 | | 0 | - | 3 | - | 9 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 0 | 5 | 19 | 37 | 30 | 8 | | 38.1 | | 7,197 | * | 44 | | 0 | - | 2 | - | 10 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 18 | | 59.5 | | 2,634 | | 43 | | 0 | - | 1 | - | 11 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 3 | 19 | 41 | 36 | | 77.3 | | 655 | | 42 | | 0 | - | 0 | - | 12 | No | No | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | 0 | 1 | 6 | 35 | 58 | 0 | 92.6 | | 1,589 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | Total: | 0.0 | % | 0.7 | % | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 12 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.1 | % | 13,466,968 | |
* Row combines multiple less frequent records. Chance Will Win Championship |